-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: RIL: 945-925 May Be A Good Demand Zone; Apparent Withdrawal Of
Arbitration Against Govt May Help Along With Operating Leverages &
Expected 4G Roll Outs
Date: Mon, 6 Jun 2016 09:16:24 +0530
From: Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To: asis...@gmail.com
*Trading Idea: RIL*
*
* *CMP: 960*
*
* *Either buy above 970-995 or in dips around 945-925 OR 885-865;*
*
* *TGT: 1015*-1070-1095*-1150 & 1165-1215-1250*-1290-1340-1410 (1-3M &
6-12M)*
*
* *TSL< 905 OR < 845*
*Note:* Consecutive closing (3 days) below 845, RIL may further fall
towards 815*-795-770 and 715-600 in the near to long term (alternative
bear/worst case scenario).
*For RIL (Standalone):*
Q4FY16 TTM EPS: 84.70 (FY:16/Actual)
Projected FWD EPS: 97-111.15-127.25 (FY:17-19/Estimated)
Average PE: 12 (Keeping in mind likely cash burn out for R-Jio for the
first few years after commercial launch).
*Median fair value: 1015-1165-1335-1530 (FY:16/TTM & FY:17-19/FWD; if
EPS delivered as par estimates).*
*As par BG metrics & current market volatility:*
Current median valuation may be around: 995 (FY:16/TTM)
Projected fair valuation might be around: 1065-1135-1215 (FY:17-19/FWD)
RELIANCE EPS BV P/E Low High Median 200-DEMA
10-DEMA
Q4FY16/TTM 84.7 667.09 12 995.15 987.15 991.15 974.34 958.74
FY17/FWD 97 730.55 12 1064.96 1056.40 1060.68
974.34 958.74
FY18/FWD 111.15 800.5 12 1139.99 1130.83 1135.41
974.34 958.74
FY19/FWD 127.25 876.25 12 1219.76 1209.96 1214.86
974.34 958.74
*Analytical Charts:*
<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-iCn5LsmrGW8/V1Twb-qZyII/AAAAAAAAHXQ/rzr0L-NDJPwvQaB6-32zh6C_yUyIPbbLgCKgB/s1600/RIL-03-06-2016.png>
<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-uzpTt3sdQVw/V1Twl2HwrYI/AAAAAAAAHXY/a9h9GzO6ciY2K11oImjX2VmuDp16b3dUACKgB/s1600/RIL-FIBB-03-06-2016.png>
<https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-rwfcmdHP5uk/V1TwnjWYGEI/AAAAAAAAHXg/UG6J6JOB71soTMsqifCWSnTCKcQTeWsrgCKgB/s1600/RIL-WK-03-06-2016.png>
<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Ur67MvE1N6o/V1Twpd0v4PI/AAAAAAAAHXo/ba8iiuYPbEQ084pm6hm_R-OEzFoxYYW2gCKgB/s1600/RIL-PATTERN-03-06-2016.png>
<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Om8qbWIsOtg/V1Twq6BKmBI/AAAAAAAAHXs/ynygs1gukscXJVZ9RLX-HStPUU0fDYKhwCKgB/s1600/RIL-TL-03-06-2016.png>
<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-B8o69Op2pjM/V1Tws5aWI2I/AAAAAAAAHX0/yRKC7fxaUvoHNkAimgfsEDI3B1iVgbY2wCKgB/s1600/RIL-EW-03-06-2016.png>
--
Thanks & Regards,
Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified
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