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Caspian oil pipeline moves step closer to reality
By Rosalind Russell
  
TBILISI, June 20 (Reuters) - A pipeline project set to unlock a million 
barrels per day of Caspian oil moved closer to reality on Wednesday with the 
start of a $150 million feasibility study and interest from another major oil 
company. 

The head of Italian energy group ENI said the company would like to 
participate in the detailed engineering study -- which should be the last 
stage before construction of the pipeline from the Azeri capital Baku through 
Georgia to the Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan. 

The decision by existing shareholders, led by BP, to sink more funds into the 
project reflects a new confidence in the pipeline which only months ago 
looked in doubt due to its high cost and poor drilling results in the 
Caspian. 

"The pipeline partners have endorsed a significant increase in activity and 
expenditure for the next 12 months," Wref Digings, head of oil export 
development for BP in Azerbaijan told Reuters. 

"This reflects their confidence that the BTC (Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan) project is 
a credible business proposition to take forward." 

A basic engineering study completed last month raised the pipeline's price 
tag -- from initial estimates of $2.4 billion to $2.8-$2.9 billion -- but 
this is still within the bounds of commercial viability, say shareholders. 

Despite recent exploration disappointments, partners believe there is enough 
discovered oil to make the line viable with the potential of the big 
Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli complex even greater than first thought. 

Production from the field, which is managed by the BP-led Azerbaijan 
International Operating Company (AIOC), will be ramped up to 300,000 bpd by 
2005 and to one million bpd in another five years. 

PIPELINE DRAWS NEW INTEREST 

ENI chief executive Vittorio Mincato said on Wednesday the project, backed by 
the United States which wants to lessen Russian energy dominance in the 
Caspian region, had reached a stage which warranted his company's 
participation. 

"Everyone must pass from lip service to concrete assessment," he told an 
energy conference in Istanbul. "What is important right now is to move from 
political and theoretical discussion to concrete and technical evaluation of 
the facts." 

The year-long engineering study by U.S. firm Bechtel aims to finalise the 
exact route and design of the 1,700 km (1,000 mile) pipeline, its cost and 
environmental impact. 

The shareholders will then decide whether to move to the construction phase 
with first oil expected to flow through the line in early 2005. 

U.S. oil giant Chevron has also said it would like to join the project with a 
stake of about 10 percent. The largest foreign oil producer across the 
Caspian in Kazakhstan, Chevron is eyeing the possibility of feeding Kazakh 
crude into the line. 

The final assignment of parts of Azeri state oil company SOCAR's 50 percent 
interest in the pipeline is expected by the end of the year when a pipeline 
company will be established, says BP. 

Other shareholders in the pipeline are Statoil, Unocal, TPAO of Turkey, 
Itochu and Delta Hess. 

06:26 06-20-01


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