June 1, 2001
A Tiger by the Tail
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN (N.Y. Times Article)
nd now for a wild prediction. Within 12 months President Bush, Vice
President Dick Cheney and all their backers in the oil industry will be
begging - begging - to revive the Kyoto protocol on climate change, the
accord Mr. Bush yanked America out of after taking office.

Why, you ask? Well, look what's happening in England. A group of celebrities
there have joined with environmentalists to launch a boycott against Exxon
Mobil gas stations, which in Europe go by the name Esso. Bianca Jagger, the
pop star Annie Lennox and Anita Rodrick, founder of the Body Shop chain,
helped launch the boycott because, as Ms. Jagger said, "This is a way to
tell Esso that it's not right for them to be claiming that there is no
connection between CO2 emissions and climate change."

People connected with Exxon reportedly contributed more than $1 million to
the Bush campaign. Exxon is a key supporter of research and advertisements
that try to cast doubt on the seriousness of global warming and its link to
fossil fuel emissions. Exxon was a big backer of President Bush's decision
to pull the U.S. out of the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which called for
industrialized nations to steadily reduce their carbon dioxide emissions.
Exxon is also a major force behind the Global Climate Coalition, a business
lobby that opposed Kyoto.

The "Stop Esso Campaign" is asking British drivers to shun Esso stations
until the company supports Kyoto (see www.stopesso.com). The campaign
recently spread to France. What's funny is that probably none of this would
have happened had Mr. Bush not bowed to the oil companies and pulled the
U.S. out of Kyoto. That may turn out to be his greatest gift to
environmentalism.

You see, as long as everyone was discussing how to implement Kyoto, no one
wanted to take any radical steps. Governments could say they were working on
the problem, but that negotiations were hard. Corporations could mumble nice
words about environmentalism, but not worry anything serious was going to
happen. And environmentalists could feel their cause was being advanced,
even though implementation was far off.

"As long as Kyoto was there, everyone could avoid real accountability and
pretend that something was happening," says Paul Gilding, the former head of
Greenpeace and now chairman of Ecos, one of Australia's leading
environmental consulting firms. "But now George Bush, by trashing Kyoto, has
blown everyone's cover. If you care about the environment you can't pretend
anymore. Emissions are increasing, the climate is changing and people can
now see for themselves that the world is fiddling while Rome burns."

The result: Environmentalists refuse to sit on their hands anymore. Instead,
the smart ones are mobilizing consumers to fight multinational polluters on
their own ground. You have to admire it. It's so Republican - using the free
market.

If I were Exxon, I would be worried - especially when U.S. college students
come back to campus in the fall. Remember Monsanto? It was going to sell
genetically modified food to Europeans. But environmentalists in Europe -
worried, rightly or wrongly, about the safety of what they were eating -
mobilized the weakest link in the value chain: consumers. Consumers demanded
"G.M.O.-free" food. So supermarkets demanded it from their suppliers,
suppliers demanded it from farmers and farmers demanded it from Monsanto.
Goodbye, Monsanto.

This is real globalization activism. "The smart activists are now saying,
`O.K., You want to play markets - let's play,' " says Mr. Gilding. They
don't waste time throwing stones or lobbying governments. That takes forever
and can easily be counter- lobbied by corporations. No, no, no. They start
with consumers at the pump, get them to pressure the gas stations, get the
station owners to pressure the companies and the companies to pressure
governments. After all, consumers do have choices where they buy their gas,
and there are differences now. Shell and BP- Amoco (which is also the
world's biggest solar company) both withdrew from the oil industry lobby
that has been dismissing climate change.

What Mr. Bush did in trashing Kyoto was to leave serious environmental
activists with nowhere else to turn but the market. The smart ones get it.
You will be hearing from them soon - at a gas station near you.

Biofuel at Journey to Forever:
http://journeytoforever.org/biofuel.html
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