>> Today,
>> using much of the same data,

>No way. Even where the same climate records are used, new ways of 
>crunching them and of correlating them with each other, with other 
>evidence and with huge amounts of new data have produced new and much 
>improved information from the old records. An early 70s mainframe had 
>16kb of RAM. NASA's new climate-change supercomputer has 1024 CPUs. 
>Other areas have seen similar advances, from ground-level studies to 
>satellites. Hundreds of major institutes all over the world are 
>involved in this work.

Phooey. More memory and faster processors just make bad code execute
faster. The principles of data reduction are not new, and are not
processor-dependent. The rule is still garbage in, garbage out - and the
"garbage in" can be either bad data or flawed concepts embodied in bad
data-reduction code, or both.

My favorite story concerns the other eco-catastrophe hoodoo, the
destruction of the ozone layer. When the first Antarctic surface
ultraviolet flux measurements were made during the 1957 International
Geophysical Year, the data reduction code was written to arbitrarily
exclude data showing a flux above a certain value, which was considered
"impossible." Readings above that value would thus be indicative of
instrument failure or an error in recording the data. When the code was
rewritten years later, that bias was not included, and the Antarctic
ozone hole suddenly "appeared." It had of course been there - seasonally
- all along, but you still find that error propagating today, and the
sudden appearance of the hole used as proof of rapid decay of the ozone
layer - which of COURSE is caused by chlorofluorocarbons, as all
right-thinking people know.

Marc de Piolenc
Iligan, Philippines

-- 
Remember September 11, 2001 but don't forget July 4, 1776

They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary
safety deserve neither liberty nor safety. - Benjamin Franklin

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