Abandon this top-down, decentralized, think-big view and instead do 
everything to encourage small-scale, local production, from backyards 
up, including coops and on-farm operations, and I think the picture 
would be rather a different one.

Keith


http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/19036/story.htm

Canada ethanol plants need federal help-industry

CANADA: December 13, 2002

WINNIPEG, Manitoba - Lack of startup capital and marginal returns 
could put the brakes on plans to expand Canada's ethanol industry, 
despite an optimistic outlook announced in one Prairie province.

The Manitoba government said it will consider fostering the industry 
by mandating the use of cleaner ethanol-blended gasoline in the 
province.

But unless the federal government creates more appealing tax 
incentives, similar to those available for U.S. ethanol producers, 
plans in Manitoba and other parts of Canada will stall, said Bliss 
Baker, president of the Canadian Renewable Fuels Association.

"Without these additional incentives, I suspect we will not have much 
of an ethanol industry - period - in the future," Baker told Reuters.

The lobby group met with federal finance officials this week to plead 
for Ottawa to double tax incentives to 20 Canadian cents (13 U.S. 
cents) a litre in the next federal budget, due in February.

U.S. incentives equal to 23 Canadian cents a litre have helped boost 
that market enough to spur the opening of one new ethanol plant each 
month this year, Baker said.

Five Canadian plants currently produce about 235 million litres (62 
million U.S. gallons) a year of the high-octane, water-free alcohol 
made from grain, and import another 100 million litres annually from 
the United States.

Ethanol-blended gasoline emits lower levels of greenhouse gases. By 
2010, Ottawa wants a third of Canadian gasoline to contain ethanol as 
part of its plan to implement the Kyoto protocol.

That would create an annual market for 1.33 billion litres of 
ethanol, Baker said.

But current returns on ethanol production are "marginal, at best," 
Baker said, meaning investors and banks are reluctant to sink money 
into plants that cost C$100 million ($64 million) on average.

"Our view is we can't get there without some type of initial 
incentives to help finance plants," Baker said.

MANITOBA SAYS WANTS TO BECOME LEADER

Manitoba, the province that was home to the country's first ethanol 
plant 20 years ago, could produce up to 140 million litres a year, 
according to a government-commission study released this week.

"We've intentionally focused on an approach that would maximize local 
investment and economic benefits for rural Manitoba," said Garth 
Manness, head of Credit Union Central, who led the study.

But it will cost more to produce ethanol in Manitoba than in the 
neighboring province of Saskatchewan, or nearby states like Minnesota 
and South Dakota, a prominent agricultural economist told Reuters.

That's because Manitoba farmers don't grow enough wheat and would 
have to import feed to supply both hog farms and ethanol plants, said 
Daryl Kraft of the University of Manitoba.

"The only caution I have is to the investors who are going to put 
their money into these processing facilities: they better proceed 
with due diligence," Kraft said.

Manness said farmers would grow more feed wheat if they could access 
higher-yielding varieties, currently unavailable in Canada.

Story by Roberta Rampton

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE


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