Hakan Falk wrote:

>$25 is a target price by US, where they can maintain the
>"American way of life". $40 for a longer period will be very
>difficult and close to $60 the American society will start to
>deteriorate. This is not my analyses, it is based on several
>US data, so do not get angry with me. 
>
Well, yes and no. On its face, such a statement is true as $60 a barrel 
would disrupt American life somewhat. However, such a malthusian reading 
of the situation ignores other forces and adjustments that could come 
into play.  Texas, Pennsylvania, and Louisiana crude become economically 
viable once prices spike. Increased trucking costs would cause the cost 
of goods to rise, but it might also shift more freight back to the 
railroad.  Increased cost at the gas pump would drive people away from 
SUVs and toward carpooling and smaller cars. Likewise, I'd bet that 3 
billion pounds of surplus soybean oil the USDA has laying around would 
get turned into SMEs pretty damn fast. I also bet people would figure 
out how to do something with all that West Virginia and Wyoming coal.

So anyway, distruption, yes. Deterioration, No.

>For many years now, US have also
>sabotaged UN by withholding its agreed member fees.
>
>I also want to tell you, if you do not really know, that US and
>UK are the industrial countries that contributes the lowest
>amounts per capita to UN and other help programs for the
>developing countries. Sweden is among the highest and I am
>in that sense proud of being a Swede.
>
Yes, and the US pays 25% of the total UN budget as well as 30% of the 
peacekeeping budget. Nor does this include the billions of dollars the 
US donates in manpower and logistics to worldwide peacekeeping 
opperations for which other nations are routinely reimbursed. Do I think 
the US should pay its dues in full in a timely manner? Absolutely. But I 
also think it is disingenuous to ignore that the US is the largest 
contributor in absolute dollars.

Some other facts to consider:

US population as percentage of total of World Population: 4.6%
US GNP as a as percentage of total of World GNP: 29%
Percentage of UN dues paid by the US: 25%

My point being that you can argue it either way based on population or 
economic wealth but it is unfair to only pick the statistic that  
supports your  agenda.

John






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