Forward this, I think that we recognize it since a very long time back. 
Sounds exactly like the things we discussed and maybe Robert L. Hirsch is a 
member of the biofuel list. In that case he made an impression and it is 
very good that the message comes out, clear and loud.

Hakan



>I think Ned Ford won't mind if I pass this on.  Has anyone seen this before?
>/Ernie Rogers
>----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>Date:    Wed, 4 Feb 2004 00:01:06 -0500
>From:    Ned Ford <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Subject: An odd, anonymous post
>
>The following was posted third-hand to another list I read, and the
>comments about "this list" have nothing to do with our list or any that
>I subscribe to. I have the name of the author, but felt it was not my
>place to broadcast it, since he clearly didn't expect these notes to
>travel so far. But I thought some of you would find this particularly
>interesting.
>
>- Ned
>
>
>
>I'm blown away.
>
>I attended the speech on the oil peak at the national energy technology
>laboratory today and it exceeded my wildest expectations.
>
>The presentation was given by Robert L. Hirsch who is the senior energy
>program advisor for SAIC and who was a senior researcher at Rand along
>with a long list of other accomplishments which I cannot remember. I have
>three paper copies of his talk but I do not have anything in electronic
>form to post here. However, I did take some
>notes of sound bites that I thought might interest this group. "Peaking
>will be catastrophic, beyond anything I have seen in my career."
>
>Reports are out that Saudi Arabia has high water cuts in all of its
>fields.
>
>Russia has said that their reserves are the maximum possible that they
>could come up with in their calculations.
>
>"This whole situation (referring to the world energy situation) gives me
>the creeps"
>
>Fuel cells cannot work at this time because major inventions are needed.
>People will not drive around in "hydrogen bombs". Note that he was joking
>and knows that a hydrogen car blowing up would not be a nuclear reaction.
>However, he completely dismissed the hydrogen economy as being impossible
>in the foreseeable future.
>
>"I think coal will be a major answer"
>
>The Mexicans will want half of the LNG that comes into their import
>terminals.
>
>During questions and answers, someone asked about methane hydrates. His
>answer was that with methane hydrates, there is no cap rock so a huge
>inverted saucer is needed and no one knows how to make one.
>
>In referring to the whole energy situation, he said, "we are about to
>drive the car over the cliff and say, `Oh my God, What have we done?'"
>
>I cannot stress enough how shocking this presentation was. It was as
>though he had been reading this group for the last 6 months (and perhaps
>he has). He mentioned Campbell, Laherrere, and Simmons by name. I will
>not say that I agree with everything that he said, but I agreed with
>everything that mattered.
>
>I asked him afterwards if reception to his message had changed and he
>replied that he had only started working on this issue six moths ago. I
>was also shock by the reception to his message. The audience was full of
>DOE people, many of them senior, and they were buying most of what he
>said. I even saw a lot of heads visibly nodding at key
>points. In short, I have no doubt that the message is out in at least
>Pittsburgh and the people are receptive.
>
>
>[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>
>
>
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