Lillie,

I accept that the Global Warming phenomena is a true and serious risk, but 
I am quite sure that all the factors that causes it are not counted for. It 
is a far more complex situation than only the CO2 pollution. I also think 
the CO2 pollution should be looked at as tracer of a far larger pollution 
problem and particulate pollution at ground surface and especially in 
water, probably have larger influence. The over fertilization of our waters 
by pollution, could be more influential than CO2.  I also belive that it is 
manmade and very serious. This is something that I have said for a long 
time now, the few times that I said anything about global warming. 
Therefore I have looked at Kyoto as positive, because if you take actions 
that reduces the amount of tracer, the underlaying causes in an 
emission/storage model, will also be reduced.

I think that the article sends some important warning shots in front of our 
bow. As such, it is very important.

If the scientist who talks about CO2 as a sole cause and not as a tracer, 
does not change soon and start to look at a more complex chain of events, 
they all take a large risk of being debunked and will loose in confidence 
and respect. For a long time I had the feeling that the CO2 model as cause, 
was too easy and not logical, if it was not a tracer of other and more 
powerful causes. I could not really consolidate the numbers. In earlier 
postings, Michael Allen did point out the risks of the loss of confidence 
in the scientists, which I had not thought about and did not really 
considered. The more I think about his points and the more I follow the 
debates, the closer I get to share his worries.

In September last year a very interesting report was published and that 
supported the view that I have,

The Study of World Oil Resources and the Impact on IPCC Emissions Scenarios,
Anders Sivertsson, Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group,
Uppsala University, Sweden
http://www.isv.uu.se/UHDSG/OilIPCC/Thesis.pdf
(large and first page in Swedish, but rest of report in English)

Where they show, that even if we burned all available oil and natural gas. 
It is not enough CO2 available to create any of the global warming 
scenarios, that are assumed. It is even a big question marks around it, if 
we add all the coal reserves. We do have too much indicators who verifies 
the global warming phenomena and it is time to build models that also 
considers emission/storage influence. From that perspective, the article 
about the changes in the water energy storage are very interesting and 
alarming.

One thing is clear, our stewardship of the world is failing and will have 
big consequences for coming generations. Our wasting way of doing things, 
are suicidal. US current energy politics and lack of respect for the rest 
of the world, is worse than any WMD risks. If you only study the part of 
depletion scenarios of the Uppsala report, it will have enormous and 
dramatic economical, social and environmental consequences anyway.

Hakan


At 01:46 28/02/2004, you wrote:
>Would anybody care to debunk this article?
><http://www.techcentralstation.com/022404D.html>http://www.techcentralstation.com/022404D.html
> 
>
>
>Lillie




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