Guebert:
 Get ready for big ethanol imports under trade pacts 
 June 26, 2005 
 http://www.pantagraph.com/stories/062605/bus_20050626002.shtml 

 The harder anyone scratches CAFTA, the
 Central American Free Trade Agreement pushed by
 the White House, the worse the smell in
 American agriculture gets.

 First, it was the creeping expansion of
 CAFTA sugar exports to the United States.

 Next, it was the time -- years, even decades -- before
 U.S. farmers received duty-free, total access to the tiny,
 poor Central American countries included in CAFTA.

 Now it's American agriculture's shiny, new star,
 ethanol, in CAFTA's gun sights.

 According to a June 22 report issued by the
 Institute of Agriculture and Trade Policy,
 CAFTA virtually guarantees a rising tide of
 duty-free ethanol exports from
 Caribbean and South American nations to
 the United States.

 A whiff of that plan arrived a year ago when Cargill Inc.,
 the $63 billion agbiz elephant, announced plans to use a
 little-noticed clause in the Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI)
 to ship sugar-based, Brazilian ethanol into El Salvador for
 dehydration, then export to the United States.

 Under the CBI, up to 7 percent of total annual U.S.
 ethanol production -- made from a "foreign feedstock, i.e.
 sugar from another, non-CBI country," notes the IATP
 report -- can be exported to the United States duty-free if
 it is produced in any of the 24 nations covered by the
 Caribbean Basin Initiative.

 Years ago that was a drop in the ethanol bucket.

 Now, however, with the ethanol market booming in the
 United States -- and Congress likely to mandate 8 billion
 gallons, or more than two times today's production, of
 ethanol use by 2012 --the bucket will overflow.

 Under the CBI, nearly 240 million gallons of
 Caribbean-sourced ethanol can enter the country
 tariff-free in 2005;  560 million gallons in 2012 if the
 pending energy bill includes the 8-billion-gallon mandate.

 Then, according to the IATP report, once that threshold is
 hit, the CBI allows "an additional 35 million gallons (to) be
 imported into the U.S. duty-free, provided that at least 30
 percent of the ethanol is derived from 'local,' or
 Caribbean region, feedstocks."

 Yep, sugar.

 After those two targets are hit, more Caribbean ethanol
 can be imported. "Anything above the additional
 35 million gallons is duty-free if at least 50 percent of the
 ethanol is derived from local feedstocks," the report explains.

 Gee, more imported sugar, er, ethanol.

 And that's exactly what will happen under CAFTA,
 explains the IATP report (at www.iatp.org), because
 "CAFTA adopts the CBI language for ethanol" ... and
 "makes the CBI allowances on ethanol exports to the
 U.S. permanent."

 As smelly as that will be for the farmers who grew
 the 1.26 billion bushels of corn used to make
 3.4 billion gallons of American ethanol in 2004 -- and
 who now own 40 percent of the domestic ethanol production capacity --
 it may get worse.

 U.S. Trade Representative Robert Portman calls
 CAFTA a "gateway" agreement that opens the door to
 the Bush Administration's bigger, hemisphere-wide
 Free Trade Area of the Americas, or FTAA

 In effect, the CBI-to-CAFTA-to-FTAA triple play will
 open the U.S. bio-fuels market to ethanol giant Brazil
 which, in 2003, produced 3.6 billion gallons of ethanol
 from sugar. It's a maneuver free-trading agbiz masters like
 Cargill appear to be banking on.

 In May 2004, Cargill announced a $10 million partnership
 to build a 63 million gallon ethanol dehydration plant in
 El Salvador to export Brazilian sugar-based ethanol into
 the United States duty-free under the CBI.

 In December 2004, Cargill and Brazilian commodities
 trader Coimex struck a deal to drop another $10 million
 in a Jamaican ethanol plant to, again, dehydrate Brazilian
 ethanol.

 On May 19, 2005, Cargill announced it would invest in
 one of Brazil's biggest sugar processors, a producer of
 about 50 million gallons of ethanol.

 The Renewable Fuels Association, ethanol's Washington, D.C., lobby,
 objects to IATP's assertion that CAFTA means greater ethanol imports.
 "They're allowed under CBI already," says spokesman Monte Shaw.

 OK, but why institutionalize what could be a flood of
 imported ethanol with CAFTA and FTAA?

 On second thought, ask your local
 National Corn Grower Association director, your
 county Farm Bureau president or the
 American Soybean Association -- all strident
 CAFTA and FTAA supporters -- why America needs to
 import any ethanol at all.

 Alan Guebert is a syndicated columnist who writes
 weekly for The Pantagraph. He lives in Delavan. His
 e-mail address is [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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