Catholic Bishops Urge a Precautionary Approach To Global Warming
   Five years ago the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops adopted a
   precautionary stance toward global warming: "While some uncertainty
   remains, most experts agree that something significant is happening to
   the atmosphere.... Although debate continues about the extent and
   impact of this [global] warming, it could be quite serious.
   Consequently, it seems prudent not only to continue to research and
   monitor this phenomenon, but to take steps now to mitigate possible
   negative effects in the future."


From: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, Jun. 15, 2001 
<http://www.precaution.org/lib/06/prn_catholic_bishops_statement.01061 
5.htm>[Printer-friendly version]

GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE:

A Plea for Dialogue, Prudence, and the Common Good

A Statement of the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops

[The text for Global Climate Change: A Plea for Dialogue, Prudence, 
and the Common Good originated from the Domestic and International 
Policy Committees and was prepared in consultation with the bishops' 
Committee on Doctrine and the Committee on Science and Human Values. 
The document was approved for publication by the full body of United 
States Catholic bishops at their June 2001 General Meeting and has 
been authorized by the undersigned. -- Msgr. William P. Fay, General 
Secretary, USCCB]

Introduction

As people of faith, we are convinced that "the earth is the Lord's 
and all it holds" (Ps 24:1). Our Creator has given us the gift of 
creation: the air we breathe, the water that sustains life, the 
fruits of the land that nourish us, and the entire web of life 
without which human life cannot flourish. All of this God created and 
found "very good." We believe our response to global climate change 
should be a sign of our respect for God's creation.

The continuing debate about how the United States is responding to 
questions and challenges surrounding global climate change is a test 
and an opportunity for our nation and the entire Catholic community. 
As bishops, we are not scientists or public policymakers. We enter 
this debate not to embrace a particular treaty, nor to urge 
particular technical solutions, but to call for a different kind of 
national discussion. Much of the debate on global climate change 
seems polarized and partisan. Science is too often used as a weapon, 
not as a source of wisdom. Various interests use the airwaves and 
political process to minimize or exaggerate the challenges we face. 
The search for the common good and the voices of poor people and poor 
countries sometimes are neglected.

At its core, global climate change is not about economic theory or 
political platforms, nor about partisan advantage or interest group 
pressures. It is about the future of God's creation and the one human 
family. It is about protecting both "the human environment" and the 
natural environment.[1] It is about our human stewardship of God's 
creation and our responsibility to those who come after us. With 
these reflections, we seek to offer a word of caution and a plea for 
genuine dialogue as the United States and other nations face 
decisions about how best to respond to the challenges of global 
climate change.

The dialogue and our response to the challenge of climate change must 
be rooted in the virtue of prudence. While some uncertainty remains, 
most experts agree that something significant is happening to the 
atmosphere. Human behavior and activity are, according to the most 
recent findings of the international scientific bodies charged with 
assessing climate change, contributing to a warming of the earth's 
climate. Although debate continues about the extent and impact of 
this warming, it could be quite serious (see the sidebar "The Science 
of Global Climate Change"). Consequently, it seems prudent not only 
to continue to research and monitor this phenomenon, but to take 
steps now to mitigate possible negative effects in the future.

As Catholic bishops, we seek to offer a distinctively religious and 
moral perspective to what is necessarily a complicated scientific, 
economic, and political discussion. Ethical questions lie at the 
heart of the challenges facing us. John Paul II insists, "We face a 
fundamental question which can be described as both ethical and 
ecological. How can accelerated development be prevented from turning 
against man? How can one prevent disasters that destroy the 
environment and threaten all forms of life, and how can the negative 
consequences that have already occurred be remedied?"[2]

Because of the blessings God has bestowed on our nation and the power 
it possesses, the United States bears a special responsibility in its 
stewardship of God's creation to shape responses that serve the 
entire human family. As pastors, teachers, and citizens, we bishops 
seek to contribute to our national dialogue by examining the ethical 
implications of climate change. We offer some themes from Catholic 
social teaching that could help to shape this dialogue, and we 
suggest some directions for the debate and public policy decisions 
that face us. We do so with great respect for the work of the 
scientists, diplomats, business and union representatives, developers 
of new technologies, environmental leaders, and policymakers who have 
been struggling with the difficult questions of climate change for 
many years.

While our own growing awareness of this problem has come in part from 
scientific research and the public debate about the human 
contribution to climate change, we are also responding to the appeals 
of the Church in other parts of the world. Along with Pope John Paul 
II, church leaders in developing countries -- who fear that affluent 
nations will mute their voices and ignore their needs -- have 
expressed their concerns about how this global challenge will affect 
their people and their environment. We also hear the call of Catholic 
youth and other young people to protect the environment.

Therefore, we especially want to focus on the needs of the poor, the 
weak, and the vulnerable in a debate often dominated by more powerful 
interests. Inaction and inadequate or misguided responses to climate 
change will likely place even greater burdens on already desperately 
poor peoples. Action to mitigate global climate change must be built 
upon a foundation of social and economic justice that does not put 
the poor at greater risk or place disproportionate and unfair burdens 
on developing nations.

Scientific Knowledge and the Virtue of Prudence

As Catholic bishops, we make no independent judgment on the 
plausibility of "global warming." Rather, we accept the consensus 
findings of so many scientists and the conclusions of the 
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as a basis for 
continued research and prudent action (see the sidebar: The Science 
of Global Climate Change). Scientists engaged in this research 
consistently acknowledge the difficulties of accurate measurement and 
forecasting. Models of measurement evolve and vary in reliability. 
Researchers and advocates on all sides of the issue often have stakes 
in policy outcomes, as do advocates of various courses of public 
policy. News reports can oversimplify findings or focus on 
controversy rather than areas of consensus. Accordingly, 
interpretation of scientific data and conclusions in public 
discussion can be difficult and contentious matters.

Responsible scientific research is always careful to recognize 
uncertainty and is modest in its claims. Yet over the past few 
decades, the evidence of global climate change and the emerging 
scientific consensus about the human impact on this process have led 
many governments to reach the conclusion that they need to invest 
time, money, and political will to address the problem through 
collective international action.

The virtue of prudence is paramount in addressing climate change. 
This virtue is not only a necessary one for individuals in leading 
morally good lives, but is also vital to the moral health of the 
larger community. Prudence is intelligence applied to our actions. It 
allows us to discern what constitutes the common good in a given 
situation. Prudence requires a deliberate and reflective process that 
aids in the shaping of the community's conscience. Prudence not only 
helps us identify the principles at stake in a given issue, but also 
moves us to adopt courses of action to protect the common good. 
Prudence is not, as popularly thought, simply a cautious and safe 
approach to decisions. Rather, it is a thoughtful, deliberate, and 
reasoned basis for taking or avoiding action to achieve a moral good.

In facing climate change, what we already know requires a response; 
it cannot be easily dismissed. Significant levels of scientific 
consensus -- even in a situation with less than full certainty, where 
the consequences of not acting are serious -- justifies, indeed can 
obligate, our taking action intended to avert potential dangers. In 
other words, if enough evidence indicates that the present course of 
action could jeopardize humankind's well-being, prudence dictates 
taking mitigating or preventative action.

This responsibility weighs more heavily upon those with the power to 
act because the threats are often greatest for those who lack similar 
power, namely, vulnerable poor populations, as well as future 
generations. According to reports of the IPCC, significant delays in 
addressing climate change may compound the problem and make future 
remedies more difficult, painful, and costly. On the other hand, the 
impact of prudent actions today can potentially improve the situation 
over time, avoiding more sweeping action in the future.

Climate Change and Catholic Social Teaching

God has endowed humanity with reason and ingenuity that distinguish 
us from other creatures. Ingenuity and creativity have enabled us to 
make remarkable advances and can help us address the problem of 
global climate change; however, we have not always used these 
endowments wisely. Past actions have produced both good works and 
harmful ones, as well as unforseen or unintended consequences. Now we 
face two central moral questions:

How are we to fulfill God's call to be stewards of creation in an age 
when we may have the capacity to alter that creation significantly, 
and perhaps irrevocably?

How can we as a "family of nations" exercise stewardship in a way 
that respects and protects the integrity of God's creation and 
provides for the common good, as well as for economic and social 
progress based on justice?

Catholic social teaching provides several themes and values that can 
help answer these questions.

The Universal Common Good

Global climate is by its very nature a part of the planetary commons. 
The earth's atmosphere encompasses all people, creatures, and 
habitats. The melting of ice sheets and glaciers, the destruction of 
rain forests, and the pollution of water in one place can have 
environmental impacts elsewhere. As Pope John Paul II has said, "We 
cannot interfere in one area of the ecosystem without paying due 
attention both to the consequences of such interference in other 
areas and to the well being of future generations."[3] Responses to 
global climate change should reflect our interdependence and common 
responsibility for the future of our planet. Individual nations must 
measure their own self-interest against the greater common good and 
contribute equitably to global solutions.

Stewardship of God's Creation and the Right to Economic Initiative 
and Private Property

Freedom and the capacity for moral decision making are central to 
what it means to be human. Stewardship -- defined in this case as the 
ability to exercise moral responsibility to care for the environment 
-- requires freedom to act. Significant aspects of this stewardship 
include the right to private initiative, the ownership of property, 
and the exercise of responsible freedom in the economic sector. 
Stewardship requires a careful protection of the environment and 
calls us to use our intelligence "to discover the earth's productive 
potential and the many different ways in which human needs can be 
satisfied."[4]

We believe economic freedom, initiative, and creativity are essential 
to help our nation find effective ways to address climate change. The 
United States' history of economic, technological innovation, and 
entrepreneurship invites us to move beyond status quo responses to 
this challenge. In addition, the right to private property is matched 
by the responsibility to use what we own to serve the common good. 
Our Catholic tradition speaks of a "social mortgage" on property and, 
in this context, calls us to be good stewards of the earth.[5] It 
also calls us to use the gifts we have been given to protect human 
life and dignity, and to exercise our care for God's creation.

True stewardship requires changes in human actions -- both in moral 
behavior and technical advancement. Our religious tradition has 
always urged restraint and moderation in the use of material goods, 
so we must not allow our desire to possess more material things to 
overtake our concern for the basic needs of people and the 
environment. Pope John Paul II has linked protecting the environment 
to "authentic human ecology," which can overcome "structures of sin" 
and which promotes both human dignity and respect for creation.[6] 
Technological innovation and entrepreneurship can help make possible 
options that can lead us to a more environmentally benign energy 
path. Changes in lifestyle based on traditional moral virtues can 
ease the way to a sustainable and equitable world economy in which 
sacrifice will no longer be an unpopular concept. For many of us, a 
life less focused on material gain may remind us that we are more 
than what we have. Rejecting the false promises of excessive or 
conspicuous consumption can even allow more time for family, friends, 
and civic responsibilities. A renewed sense of sacrifice and 
restraint could make an essential contribution to addressing global 
climate change.

Protecting the Environment for Future Generations

The common good calls us to extend our concern to future generations. 
Climate change poses the question "What does our generation owe to 
generations yet unborn?" As Pope John Paul II has written, "there is 
an order in the universe which must be respected, and... the human 
person, endowed with the capability of choosing freely, has a grave 
responsibility to preserve this order for the well-being of future 
generations."[7]

Passing along the problem of global climate change to future 
generations as a result of our delay, indecision, or self-interest 
would be easy. But we simply cannot leave this problem for the 
children of tomorrow. As stewards of their heritage, we have an 
obligation to respect their dignity and to pass on their natural 
inheritance, so that their lives are protected and, if possible, made 
better than our own.

Population and Authentic Development

Population and climate change should be addressed from the broader 
perspective of a concern for protecting human life, caring for the 
environment, and respecting cultural norms and the religious faith 
and moral values of peoples. Population is not simply about 
statistics. Behind every demographic number is a precious and 
irreplaceable human life whose human dignity must be respected.

The global climate change debate cannot become just another 
opportunity for some groups -- usually affluent advocates from the 
developed nations -- to blame the problem on population growth in 
poor countries. Historically, the industrialized countries have 
emitted more greenhouse gases that warm the climate than have the 
developing countries. Affluent nations such as our own have to 
acknowledge the impact of voracious consumerism instead of simply 
calling for population and emissions controls from people in poorer 
nations.

A more responsible approach to population issues is the promotion of 
"authentic development," which represents a balanced view of human 
progress and includes respect for nature and social well-being.[8] 
Development policies that seek to reduce poverty with an emphasis on 
improved education and social conditions for women are far more 
effective than usual population reduction programs and far more 
respectful of women's dignity.[9]

We should promote a respect for nature that encourages policies 
fostering natural family planning and the education of women and men 
rather than coercive measures of population control or government 
incentives for birth control that violate local cultural and 
religious norms.

Caring for the Poor and Issues of Equity

Working for the common good requires us to promote the flourishing of 
all human life and all of God's creation. In a special way, the 
common good requires solidarity with the poor who are often without 
the resources to face many problems, including the potential impacts 
of climate change. Our obligations to the one human family stretch 
across space and time. They tie us to the poor in our midst and 
across the globe, as well as to future generations. The commandment 
to love our neighbor invites us to consider the poor and marginalized 
of other nations as true brothers and sisters who share with us the 
one table of life intended by God for the enjoyment of all.

All nations share the responsibility to address the problem of global 
climate change. But historically the industrial economies have been 
responsible for the highest emissions of greenhouse gases that 
scientists suggest are causing the warming trend. Also, significant 
wealth, technological sophistication, and entrepreneurial creativity 
give these nations a greater capacity to find useful responses to 
this problem. To avoid greater impact, energy resource adjustments 
must be made both in the policies of richer countries and in the 
development paths of poorer ones.

Most people will agree that while the current use of fossil fuels has 
fostered and continues to foster substantial economic growth, 
development, and benefits for many, there is a legitimate concern 
that as developing countries improve their economies and emit more 
greenhouse gases, they will need technological help to mitigate 
further atmospheric environmental harm. Many of the poor in these 
countries live in degrading and desperate situations that often lead 
them to adopt environmentally harmful agricultural and industrial 
practices. In many cases, the heavy debt burdens, lack of trade 
opportunities, and economic inequities in the global market add to 
the environmental strains of the poorer countries. Developing 
countries have a right to economic development that can help lift 
people out of dire poverty. Wealthier industrialized nations have the 
resources, know-how, and entrepreneurship to produce more efficient 
cars and cleaner industries. These countries need to share these 
emerging technologies with the less-developed countries and assume 
more of the financial responsibility that would enable poorer 
countries to afford them. This would help developing countries adopt 
energy-efficient technologies more rapidly while still sustaining 
healthy economic growth and development.[10] Industries from the 
developed countries operating in developing nations should exercise a 
leadership role in preserving the environment.

No strategy to confront global climate change will succeed without 
the leadership and participation of the United States and other 
industrial nations. But any successful strategy must also reflect the 
genuine participation and concerns of those most affected and least 
able to bear the burdens. Developing and poorer nations must have a 
genuine place at the negotiating table. Genuine participation for 
those most affected is a moral and political necessity for advancing 
the common good.

The Public Policy Debate and Future Directions

Catholic social teaching calls for bold and generous action on behalf 
of the common good. "Interdependence," as Pope John Paul II has 
written, "must be transformed into solidarity.... Surmounting every 
type of imperialism and determination to preserve their own hegemony, 
the stronger and richer nations must have a sense of moral 
responsibility for the other nations, so that a real international 
system may be established which will rest on the foundation of the 
equality of all peoples and on the necessary respect for their 
legitimate differences."[11]

The common good is built up or diminished by the quality of public 
debate. With its scientific, technological, economic, political, 
diplomatic, and religious dimensions, the challenge of global climate 
change may be a basic test of our democratic processes and political 
institutions. We respect the inquiry and dialogue which has been 
carried forward by a wide variety of scientists, diplomats, policy 
makers, and advocates, not only in the United States but around the 
world. These efforts should not be demeaned or distorted by 
disinformation or exaggeration. Serious dialogue should not be 
jeopardized by public relations tactics that fan fears or pit nations 
against one another. Leaders in every sector should seek to build a 
scientifically based consensus for the common good; avoid merely 
representing their own particular interests, industries, or 
movements; and act responsibly to protect future generations and the 
weak.

In the past decade, a continuing process of international diplomacy 
has led to agreements on principles and increasingly on procedures. 
In 1992, more than 160 nations, including the United States, ratified 
the first international treaty on global climate change at Earth 
Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, which was known as the United 
Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). In 1997, 
parties to the UNFCCC including the United States negotiated the 
Kyoto Protocol, which established mandatory emission reduction 
targets, market-based procedures for meeting those targets, and 
timetables for industrialized nations.

Without endorsing the specifics of these agreements and processes, we 
Catholic bishops acknowledge the development of these international 
negotiations and hope they and other future efforts can lead to just 
and effective progress. However, serious deliberations must continue 
to bring about prudent and effective actions to ensure equity among 
nations.

As an act of solidarity and in the interest of the common good, the 
United States should lead the developed nations in contributing to 
the sustainable economic development of poorer nations and to help 
build their capacity to ease climate change. Since our country's 
involvement is key to any resolution of these concerns, we call on 
our people and government to recognize the seriousness of the global 
warming threat and to develop effective policies that will diminish 
the possible consequences of global climate change. We encourage 
citizens to become informed participants in this important public 
debate. The measures we take today may not greatly moderate climate 
change in the near future, but they could make a significant 
difference for our descendants.

We also hope that the United States will continue to undertake 
reasonable and effective initiatives for energy conservation and the 
development of alternate renewable and clean-energy resources. New 
technologies and innovations can help meet this challenge. While more 
needs to be done to reduce air pollution, through the use of improved 
technologies and environmental entrepreneurship, the United States 
has made significant environmental gains over the last several 
decades. Our hope is that these technologies along with other 
resources can be shared with developing countries.

Within the United States, public policy should assist industrial 
sectors and workers especially impacted by climate change policies, 
and it should offer incentives to corporations to reduce greenhouse 
gas emissions and assistance to workers affected by these policies.

We encourage all parties to adopt an attitude of candor, 
conciliation, and prudence in response to serious, complex, and 
uncertain challenges. We hope the continuing dialogue within and 
among the diverse disciplines of science, economics, politics, and 
diplomacy will be guided by fundamental moral values: the universal 
common good, respect for God's creation, an option for the poor, and 
a sense of intergenerational obligation. Since religious values can 
enrich public discussion, this challenge offers opportunities for 
interfaith and ecumenical conversation and cooperation.

Finally, we wish to emphasize the need for personal conversion and 
responsibility. In our pastoral reflection Renewing the Earth, we 
wrote the following:

Grateful for the gift of creation... we invite Catholics and men and 
women of good will in every walk of life to consider with us the 
moral issues raised by the environmental crisis.... These are matters 
of powerful urgency and major consequence. They constitute an 
exceptional call to conversion. As individuals, as institutions, as a 
people, we need a change of heart to preserve and protect the planet 
for our children and for generations yet unborn.[12]

Each of us should carefully consider our choices and lifestyles. We 
live in a culture that prizes the consumption of material goods. 
While the poor often have too little, many of us can be easily caught 
up in a frenzy of wanting more and more -- a bigger home, a larger 
car, etc. Even though energy resources literally fuel our economy and 
provide a good quality of life, we need to ask about ways we can 
conserve energy, prevent pollution, and live more simply.

Conclusion

Our national debate over solutions to global climate change needs to 
move beyond the uses and abuses of science, sixty-second ads, and 
exaggerated claims. Because this issue touches so many people, as 
well as the planet itself, all parties need to strive for a civil and 
constructive debate about U.S. decisions and leadership in this area.

As people of religious faith, we bishops believe that the atmosphere 
that supports life on earth is a God-given gift, one we must respect 
and protect. It unites us as one human family. If we harm the 
atmosphere, we dishonor our Creator and the gift of creation. The 
values of our faith call us to humility, sacrifice, and a respect for 
life and the natural gifts God has provided. Pope John Paul II 
reminds us in his statement The Ecological Crisis: A Common 
Responsibility that "respect for life and for the dignity of the 
human person extends also to the rest of creation, which is called to 
join man in praising God."[13] In that spirit of praise and 
thanksgiving to God for the wonders of creation, we Catholic bishops 
call for a civil dialogue and prudent and constructive action to 
protect God's precious gift of the earth's atmosphere with a sense of 
genuine solidarity and justice for all God's children.

========================================================

Sidebar: The Science of Global Climate Change

The photographs from the Apollo missions show earth glowing in the 
stillness of space like a blue-white opal on black velvet. Cool and 
beautiful, it hurries along in the Sun's gravitational embrace. The 
earth is our home, our whole wide world.

Our enfolding blanket of air, our atmosphere, is both the physical 
condition for human community and its most compelling symbol. We all 
breathe the same air. Guarding the integrity of the atmosphere -- 
without which complex life could not have evolved on this planet -- 
seems like common sense. Yet a broad consensus of modern science is 
that human activity is beginning to alter the earth's atmospheric 
characteristics in serious, perhaps profound ways. For the past 
century, researchers have been gathering and verifying data that 
reveal an increase in the global average temperature. Until recently, 
scientists could not say with great confidence whether or not this 
phenomenon was in any way the result of human activity or entirely 
the result of natural changes over time.

To deal with the difficulty of making precise measurements and 
arriving at definite conclusions, the World Meteorological 
Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme established 
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to seek a clear 
explanation of the causes and possible impacts of this global climate 
change.[14] Because of the large number of scientists involved in the 
IPCC and its process of consultation, its reports are considered 
widely as offering the most authoritative scientific perspectives on 
the issue. IPCC's findings have met with general -- but because of 
remaining uncertainties, not complete -- agreement within the wider 
scientific community.

In 1996, the IPCC issued its Second Assessment Reports, which 
summarized the current state of knowledge. The first of these reports 
concluded that "the balance of evidence suggests that there is a 
discernible human influence on global climate."[15] The Third 
Assessment Reports, approved in early 2001, found even stronger 
evidence and concluded, "most of the observed warming over the last 
50 years is likely to have been due to the [human-induced] increase 
in greenhouse gas concentrations" (italics added).[16]

The IPCC offers convincing evidence that there exists if not a clear 
and present danger then a clear and future one, and that coming 
changes will affect all aspects of the environment and societal well- 
being. Based on measurements taken over both land and sea, the global 
average surface-air temperature has increased by about one degree 
Fahrenheit since 1860, building up as the Industrial Revolution was 
hitting full stride. While this is hardly a frightening increase for 
a particular geographic location, the temperature change is global in 
extent, so one must read it against the background of the earth's 
average temperature during historic times. According to IPCC, the 
rate and duration of warming in the twentieth century appears to be 
the largest in the last one thousand years. The twentieth century 
also experienced precipitation increases in mid- and high-northern 
latitudes; drier conditions in the subtropics; decreases in snow 
cover, mountain glaciers, and Arctic sea ice; and a rise of four to 
eight inches in mean sea level.[17]

The "greenhouse effect," though complex in detail, is simple enough 
in outline. Not considering the internal heating due to radioactive 
decay and volcanism, the earth draws its thermal energy from the Sun. 
Atmospheric gases form a protective cover that makes our planet 
hospitable to life, transmitting visible light, blocking out harmful 
high-energy radiation like ultraviolet rays, and keeping temperatures 
comfortable by moderating the escape of heat into space. However, the 
precise mix of these gases is quite delicate, and changing that mix 
alters the atmosphere's properties. An increase in the relative 
abundance of the greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, 
chlorofluorocarbons, tropospheric ozone, and nitrous oxide) causes 
the earth to trap more of the Sun's heat, resulting in what is called 
"global warming." Since the beginning of the industrial period, the 
IPCC reports, the concentration of the principal greenhouse gas, 
carbon dioxide, has increased by 30 percent and is now greater than 
at any time in the past 20 million years.[18] The presence of methane 
(150 percent increase) and nitrous oxide (16 percent increase) is 
also growing. The result is the small but alarming temperature rise 
science has detected.[19]

What causes greenhouse gases to accumulate in the atmosphere? 
Emissions from cars and trucks, industry and electric plants, and 
businesses and homes are the largest part of the answer, although 
other factors such as deforestation contribute. The Industrial 
Revolution was built on furnaces and engines burning fossil fuels 
(coal, natural gas, oil, and such derived products as gasoline and 
heating oil). These fossil fuels now power the U.S. and global 
economy. Although some of the smoke particles and other pollutants 
(such as sulfur dioxide) now streaming from chimneys and tailpipes 
can actually cool the earth if they take an aerosol form, the great 
bulk of our emissions are contributing a warming influence. 
Reflecting upon studies completed since its last report in 1996, the 
IPCC says, "There is new and stronger evidence that most of the 
warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human 
activities."[20]

Whatever the extent, severity, or geographical distribution of global 
warming impacts, the problem is expected to disproportionately affect 
the poor, the vulnerable, and generations yet unborn. Projected sea 
level rises could impact low-lying coastal areas in densely populated 
nations of the developing world. Storms are most likely to strain the 
fragile housing infrastructure of the poorest nations. The migration 
of diseases could further challenge the presently inadequate health 
care systems of these same nations. Droughts or floods, it is feared, 
will afflict regions already too often hit by famine, hunger, and 
malnutrition. Because the number of days with high heat and humidity 
are likely to increase, heat stress impacts will also increase, 
especially among the elderly, the sick, children, and the poor.[21]

The scientific reports of the IPCC portray the long-term challenge 
global climate change poses. Its findings, while not complete, are 
widely accepted in the scientific community. In June 2001, the 
National Academy of Sciences released a report, prepared at the 
request of President Bush, summarizing a prestigious panel's 
understanding of global climate change and an assessment of the work 
of the International Panel on Climate Change. The panel said that 
"greenhouse gases are accumulating in the Earth's atmosphere as a 
result of human activities...." It also found that "we cannot rule 
out that some significant part of these changes are also a reflection 
of natural variability.... Because there is considerable uncertainty 
in current understanding of how the climate system varies naturally 
and reacts to emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, current 
estimates of the magnitude of future warming should be regarded as 
tentative and subject to future adjustments (either upward or 
downward)...." The report noted that while the full implications of 
climate change remain unknown, the panel "generally agrees with the 
assessment of human-caused change presented in the IPCC Working Group 
I scientific report."[22]

========================================================

[1] John Paul II, On the Hundredth Anniversary of Rerum Novarum 
(Centesimus Annus) (Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of 
Catholic Bishops, 1991), no. 38.

[2] John Paul II, "International Solidarity Needed to Safeguard 
Environment," Address by the Holy Father to the European Bureau for 
the Environment, L'Osservatore Romano (June 26, 1996).

[3] John Paul II, The Ecological Crisis: A Common Responsibility 
(Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 
1990), no. 6.

[4] John Paul II, On the Hundredth Anniversary of Rerum Novarum 
(Centesimus Annus) (Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of 
Catholic Bishops, 1991), no. 32.

[5] John Paul II, On Social Concern (Sollicitudo Rei Socialis) 
(Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 
1988), no. 42.

[6] John Paul II, On the Hundredth Anniversary of Rerum Novarum, no. 38.

[7] John Paul II, "The Exploitation of the Environment Threatens the 
Entire Human Race," address to the Vatican symposium on the 
environment (1990), in Ecology and Faith: The Writings of Pope John 
Paul II, ed. Sr. Ancilla Dent, OSB (Berkhamsted, England: Arthur 
James, 1997), 12.

[8] John Paul II, On Social Concern, ch. four. This chapter of the 
encyclical gives a more complete definition of the concept of 
authentic development.

[9] Second Vatican Council, Pastoral Constitution on the Church in 
the Modern World (Gaudium et Spes), nos. 50-51, in Austin Flannery, 
ed., Vatican Council II: The Conciliar and Post Conciliar Documents, 
new rev. ed., 1st vol. (Northport, N.Y.: Costello Publishing, 1996).

[10] See also treatment of this topic in Stewardship: A Disciple's 
Response (Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic 
Bishops, 1993), 27.

[11] Ibid., no. 39.

[12] United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, Renewing the 
Earth: An Invitation to Reflection and Action on Environment in Light 
of Catholic Social Teaching (Washington, D.C.: United States 
Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1992), 3. See also treatment of this 
theme in Stewardship: A Disciple's Response, 46.

[13] John Paul II, The Ecological Crisis, no. 16.

[14] To date, the IPCC's work represents the most authoritative 
estimates and prognosis of current and future climate change data. 
This statement utilizes the following Second and Third Assessment 
Reports by the IPCC:

1996a: Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. 
Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of 
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. J. T. Houghton, 
L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg, and K. 
Maskell (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press).

1996b: Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of 
Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses. Contribution of 
Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the 
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. R. T. Watson, M. C. 
Zinyowera, and R. H. Moss (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge 
University Press).

1996c: Climate Change 1995: Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate 
Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Second Assessment 
Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. J. P. 
Bruce, Hoesund Kee, and E. F. Haites (Cambridge and New York: 
Cambridge University Press).

1996d: The IPCC Second Assessment Synthesis of Scientific-Technical 
Information Relevant to Interpreting Article 2 of the UN Framework 
Convention on Climate Change (Geneva: World Meteorological 
Organization/United Nations Environment Programme).

2001a: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, eds. J. T. 
Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. van der Linden, X. 
Dai, K. Maskell, and C. Johnson (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge 
University Press).

2001b: Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, 
eds. J. McCarthy, O. Canziani, N. Leary, D. Dokken, and K. White 
(Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press).

2001c: Climate Change 2001: Mitigation, eds. O. Davidson, B. Metz, R. 
Swart, and J. Pan (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University 
Press).

[15] IPCC, 1996a, 5.

[16] IPCC, Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, 10.

[17] Ibid., ch. two.

[18] Ibid., 7.

[19] Ibid.

[20] Ibid., 10.

[21] IPCC, Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability.

[22] National Academy of Science, Climate Change Science: An Analysis 
of Some Key Questions (Washington, D.C., June 7, 2001).

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