http://www.dispatch.com/live/content/business/stories/2008/10/21/Brazil_Oil_Bonanza.ART_ART_10-21-08_C10_N3BLI3V.html?sid=101

The world's next oil superpower? Brazil

Country plans to share riches, once it reaches remote fields

Tuesday,  October 21, 2008 3:14 AM

BY BRADLEY BROOKS

ASSOCIATED PRESS

ERALDO PERES | ASSOCIATED PRESS

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva promises that the find will 
benefit all Brazilians.

RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil -- Four miles under the ocean's surface off 
Brazil's lush coast lie billions of barrels of recently discovered 
light crude -- a treasure that could transform the country into an 
oil superpower.

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva called it "a gift from God" and 
pledged to end chronic poverty and narrow the country's broad gap 
between the rich and the poor.

But before rhetoric becomes reality, Brazil first must get to the 
underwater reserves, among the world's deepest, and then manage a 
massive influx of wealth. It's a formidable task that has left other 
national economies awash in corruption and even greater gaps between 
the rich and poor.

The nine fields discovered in the past year are thought to hold 50 
billion to 80 billion barrels of light crude, more than four times 
Brazil's current proven reserves. With the find, Brazil could supply 
all its own needs for nearly a century or become one of the world's 
top oil exporters.

Even getting to that point will test the state-run oil company, 
Petroleo Brasileiro SA, or Petrobras, which has experience in 
deep-water drilling.

The fields will be the most complicated and costly it has developed. 
Analysts say the project will require at least a $600 billion 
investment over 30 years.

The deep-water reservoirs lie 185 miles offshore in the Atlantic, 
more than a mile below the ocean's surface and 2 1/2 miles further 
under earth and corrosive salt. The salt beds can break loose and 
shear off piping, making it one of the toughest substances to drill.

Given those conditions, rough ocean currents and floating rigs, the 
technology required to tap Brazil's "pre-salt" oil is on par with 
that needed to land a man on the moon, said Eric Smith, a drilling 
expert at the Entergy-Tulane Energy Institute at Tulane University in 
New Orleans.

"If you were doing this with a drill from atop the Empire State 
building, about 1,000 feet up, you'd be trying to hit a target on 
34th Street the size of a quarter," Smith said.

But there are logistical problems beyond engineering.

The recent record prices for oil have led to global shortages of 
drilling equipment just when Brazil needs it most. The country will 
have to rent 138 drilling platforms -- or build them for as much as 
$1.7 billion each -- and find at least 200 ships to transport oil and 
gas over the next 30 years, a study by Brazil's national development 
bank found.

The financial spillover could begin with Brazil's dormant shipping 
industry and create tens of thousands of jobs, Silva has said.

Petrobras will have to work with private partners, more likely 
through production-sharing deals than the current concession 
contracts it now favors, said Christopher Garman, head of Latin 
America research for the Eurasia Group consulting firm in New York.

Garman called fears of nationalism that once dominated Brazil's 
energy industry overblown. Laws passed in 1997 broke the government's 
monopoly over Petrobras, allowing foreign investors to buy stakes in 
60 percent of the company. About 1 million Brazilian citizens hold 
shares, too.


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