Rachel's Democracy & Health News, February 19, 2009

*CUMULATIVE IMPACTS: DEATH KNELL FOR COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS*

[Rachel's introduction: The impacts of our various economic activities are
now adding up to a damaged world -- a world in which Earth's natural
capacity for self-renewal has been exceeded and permanent degradation is
evident. Our legal and regulatory systems were never intended to limit the
accumulation of small impacts. Instead, U.S. law relies on cost-benefit
analysis to justify individual impacts -- a practice that is now obsolete
because it is destroying the planet as a place suitable for human
habitation.]

By Peter Montague

In the beginning, planet Earth seemed limitless. Yes, humans could see that
they were making big changes locally -- hunting the wooly mammoth to
extinction, for example, or permanently altering forest ecosystems with
fire. However, for eons there was never a hint that humans could become a
force of geologic proportions, capable of diminishing the entire planet's
capacity to sustain human life. Then in 1864 George Perkins
Marsh<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Perkins_Marsh>published
*Man and Nature*, subtitled "Physical Geography as Modified by Human
Action," the first scientific study of accumulating harm.

In the U.S., "environment and health" only became a public issue in the
1950s <http://www.rachel.org/en/node/4259>, starting with cancer-causing
food additives and radioactive fallout from A-bomb tests. In 1962, Rachel
Carson's book *Silent Spring* described widespread effects from pesticides,
offering evidence that humankind was damaging whole ecosystems.

Congress passed the Water Quality Act in 1965 because people knew something
was wrong when they saw rivers covered with mounds of foam (from
detergents). Even more people started paying attention when the Cuyahoga
River caught fire in Cleveland in 1969.

In 1970, M.I.T. Press published Man's Impact on the Global
Environment<http://mitpress.mit.edu/catalog/item/default.asp?ttype=2&tid=6930>,
which estimated that the total human "load" on the natural environment was
increasing 5 to 6% each year -- thus doubling every 12 to 14 years. (By this
measure, since 1970 the total human impact on the global ecosystem has
increased somewhere between 7-fold and 10-fold. At these growth-rates, by
2050 (just 41 years from now), if nothing changes, the total human impact
will have grown another 7- fold to 10-fold beyond where it is today. Can you
image such a world?)

Public concern, validated by scientific information, forced Congress to pass
more than a dozen new national laws in the 1970s, intended to limit specific
harms to the environment. But those laws were not designed (or intended) to
control the cumulative effects of many small environmental impacts.

As time passed, harm to the natural world grew more ominous and a few
scientists and legal scholars began to nibble around the edges of this
"cumulative impacts" problem. However, only in the past 2 years have we seen
a real breakthrough in analysis -- thanks chiefly to the work of Joseph H.
Guth <http://www.sehn.org/members.html>, a biochemist and lawyer, and his
colleagues at the Science and Environmental Health
Network<http://www.sehn.org/>,
where Guth serves as Legal Director.

*Acknowledging the problem*

In his 1980 book,
Overshoot<http://www.precaution.org/lib/09/prn_overshoot.090212.htm>,
William Catton, Jr., wrote, "Infinitesimal actions, if they are numerous and
cumulative, can become enormously consequential." [pg. 177] And he noted
that, by 1973, "The world was becoming a place wherein actions that used to
be quite harmless to others became harmful to all of us." [pg. 59]

This is the essence of the "cumulative impacts" problem. Actions that are
tolerable or even harmless at the individual level can degrade the planet if
thousands or millions of people do them. One person fertilizing a lawn near
the Chesapeake Bay makes no real difference -- but when thousands do it, the
Bay is degraded and the storied blue crab begins to
disappear<http://www.precaution.org/lib/prn_blue_crab_disappearing.080716.htm>
.

People routinely cut down forests and woods, displacing habitat for wildlife
to make space for crops and domestic animals. One small farm makes no
difference, but in 1986 Peter M. Vitousek and others
estimated<http://www.precaution.org/lib/vitousek_human_appropriation.1986.pdf>that
the world's human population (then 4.9 billion) was appropriating for
its own use 40% of net primary productivity from Earth's total available
land. Net primary productivity on land is the mass of plant material
produced each year by photosynthesis using energy from sunlight; it is the
total food resource for land-based life. (There is also net primary
productivity in the oceans; if you include this, then humans in 1986 were
appropriating 25% of total global net primary productivity, Vitousek
estimated.)

Vitousek did not extrapolate into the future, but his finding meant that
humans would appropriate 100% of net primary productivity from land when
their numbers grew just 2.5-fold, which will occur around the year 2050 at
the current rate of population growth (1.3% per year) if nothing changes.

In 1991, two researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee
examined 11 industrial chemicals [5 Mbyte
PDF<http://www.precaution.org/lib/travis_and_hester.1991.pdf>]
that have contaminated the entire globe (PCBs, benzene, mercury, etc.).
Using cancer risk estimates provided by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA), they calculated that the worldwide lifetime risk of cancer from just
these 11 chemicals was one-in-a-thousand. They commented, "Current
regulatory approaches for environmental pollution do not incorporate ways of
dealing with global pollution. Instead the major focus has been on
protecting the maximally exposed individual."

This is an important point. U.S. risk assessments (used in conducting
"cost-benefit" analyses) evaluate the danger of a single risk to a
hypothetical most-endangered ("maximally exposed") individual. If the threat
to that individual is found to fall within "acceptable" limits, then no
regulation occurs and "acceptable" amounts of contamination can be released
forever after. Then another risk assessment and cost- benefit analysis gives
a green light to another "acceptable" release of contaminants. Then another
and another. No one ever asks, "What is the total impact of all these
'acceptable' risks?" That is the "cumulative impact" problem in a nutshell.

Now Joe Guth has analyzed this problem and offered solutions in three
scholarly papers,[1,2,3] one of which has already been published (in
the Vermont
Journal of Environmental Law <http://www.vjel.org/journal/pdf/VJEL10068.pdf>),
and two of which are "in press" -- soon to appear in the Barry Law
Review<http://www.barry.edu/law/studentLife/lawreview.htm>[2]
and the journal Transnational Law and Contemporary
Problems<http://www.uiowa.edu/%7Etlcp/html/view_issues.html>
.[3]

To me, the centerpiece of this triad is the paper, "Cumulative Impacts:
Death-Knell for Cost-Benefit Analysis in Environmental Decisions," though *all
three papers are essential reading*.

In "Cumulative Impacts," Guth lays out the problem in the opening paragraph:

1. We have always assumed that we could tolerate unlimited small increments
of harm as byproducts of economic growth.

2. But now things have changed because numerous studies are telling us that
the cumulative impacts of our economic activities are degrading the Earth's
capacity to support humans.

3. Therefore, humans will have to abandon the use of cost-benefit analysis
to justify individual environmental impacts and, instead, focus on limiting
our cumulative impact to a sustainable size.

As evidence of cumulative harm, Guth cites the authoritative United
Nations-sponsored Millennium Ecosystem
Assessment<http://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Global.aspx>(MEA)[4]
-- a five-year study of the condition of the Earth's ecosystems,
involving 1360 scientists from all across the globe.

When the Board of Directors of the MEA issued the first volume of the study,
they said <http://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/BoardStatement.aspx>, "At
the heart of this assessment is a stark warning. Human activity is putting
such strain on the natural functions of Earth that *the ability of the
planet's ecosystems to sustain future generations can no longer be taken for
granted*."[5]

Guth also cites the United Nations-sponsored Global Environment Outlook
(known as GEO-4<http://www.precaution.org/lib/07/prn_geo-4_report.071101.htm>),
published in 2007. The GEO-4 report concluded (among other things) that
human activities now require 54 acres (22 hectares) per person globally, but
Earth can provide only 39 acres (16 hectares) per person without suffering
permanent degradation. We are living well beyond Earth's means.

(For additional corroboration, see Mathis Wackernagel and others, "Tracking
the ecological overshoot of the human
economy<http://www.precaution.org/lib/tracking_overshoot_of_human_economy.020719.pdf>,"
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (Vol. 99, No. 14, July 9,
2002), pgs. 9266-9271 and see the web site of the Global Footprint
Network<http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/index.php/GFN/>
.)

*How did we get into this shape?*

How did this happen? Joe Guth finds the answer in our laws, which are the
rules by which society generallly operates. If we want society to operate
differently, we've got to change the rules, change the law.

Guth examines legislative law (laws passed by legislatures, such as the
federal Clean Air Act and the Clean Water Act *and* the common law (the body
of law created by judges, such as negligence and nuisance). Guth finds that
both bodies of law share similar goals and assumptions, and both assign the
"burden of proof" in similar ways, which I'll explain.

Guth writes, "Our current property and environmental law,[6] including both
federal statutes and the common law, is intentionally designed to promote
unending growth in economic activity. It harbors the presumption that
economic activity generally provides a net benefit to society despite any
accompanying damage it may cause. Grounded almost invisibly in this starting
presumption, most of our property and environmental laws permit interference
with economic activity only where that starting presumption is proved false,
that is, where a particular activity can be demonstrated to fail to provide
a net benefit to society. These laws for the most part do not forbid damage
to human health or the environment. Rather, even when fully enforced they
permit protection of human health or the environment only where the benefits
of doing so can be proved to outweigh the costs.... So it is that
cost-benefit analysis has become the legal system's primary tool for
deciding when economic activity may be regulated in the interest of
protecting human health and the environment."

But there's more. As Guth has said, the law does not allow economic activity
to be curtailed just because it is harming someone. The law will only allow
an economic activity to be curtailed if a cost-benefit analysis shows that
the activity is creating more harm than good. * And* the law puts the burden
of proof on the harmed party, or on the government, to prove that costs are
exceeding benefits before an economic activity can be curtailed or
regulated. If the harmed party (or the government) cannot meet that burden
of proof, the law defaults to its starting presumption: it allows the
damaging activity to continue.

"This allocation of the burden of proof transforms doubt and missing
information into a barrier to legal protection of human health and the
environment," Guth writes. "This explains why industrial interests are
rationally motivated under our legal system to invest in the manufacture and
spread of doubt and confusion." [See David Michaels' book, Doubt is their
Product <http://www.powells.com/biblio/1-9780195300673-0>, describing an
industry devoted to manufacturing
doubt<http://www.precaution.org/lib/prn_doubt_is_their_product.050601.htm>
.]

So, if information is missing, or there exists scientific doubt, then the
law presumes that an economic activity should continue -- even when the law
acknowledges that harm is occurring. The default presumption is that the
benefits of economic activity always outweigh the costs unless a specific
cost-benefit analysis can show otherwise.

This explains why the environmental movement -- which has made truly heroic
efforts since 1970 -- has been unable to stem the degradation of human
health and the environment.

Another unspoken presumption of the law is that damage to human health and
the environment can continue to grow forever. Guth shows this in in
Figure 1<http://www.precaution.org/lib/guth_fig1.pdf>.
The upper curved line in Figure
1<http://www.precaution.org/lib/guth_fig1.pdf>represents endlessly
growing benefits from economic activity. The lower
curved line shows smaller (but also endlessly growing) legally-permitted
harms from economic activity. The space between the upper line and the lower
line is "net benefit" or "net social benefit" or "net social utility" -- it
is the residue of good that remains after costs have been subtracted from
benefits.

*The world is new: on our finite planet, ecological limits exist*

What's been slowly dawning on people in the last 2 decades is that there
really *are* limits on how much harm the Earth can tolerate. There are
limits to the total costs the Earth can sustain before it is permanently
damaged. The lower curved line in Figure
1<http://www.precaution.org/lib/guth_fig1.pdf>(which you can think of
as the growing human footprint), by growing without
limit as the law assumes it should, will eventually make the planet
unsuitable for human habitation. And since this planet is the only place
that anyone has ever found in the universe that supports human life, the law
is now allowing -- even promoting -- the destruction of humankind's only
home.

Guth's Figure 2 <http://www.precaution.org/lib/guth_fig2.pdf> includes a
horizontal line that represents the ecological limits of the Earth -- the
point at which the planet starts to be permanently degraded, the point at
which human damage has exceeded the Earth's natural capacity for
self-renewal. As Guth says, "This is a limit that our current legal system
is utterly blind to." Our legal system does not acknowledge that such a
limit exists.

Joe Guth continues, "Thus we see the fatal flaw inherent in our system of
environmental decision-making. Routinely allowing all environmental impacts
except those proved to fail a cost-benefit test, it permits those impacts to
grow without limit even when their cumulative effect results in ecological
overshoot. Many of these impacts occur not because they actually satisfy the
law's cost-benefit test but because whenever we do not know enough, the
law's default structure permits them to continue."

Importantly, Guth points out a fundamental flaw in trying to use cost-
benefit analysis after we reach ecological limits: "Even [though]
cost-benefit analysis can effectively evaluate impacts when we are far below
ecological limits, it cannot do so once we exceed those limits. Each
incremental impact, if taken alone in an empty world, might have caused
cost-benefit-justifiable harm or even, in many cases (such as carbon
emissions), no harm at all. But under conditions of ecological overshoot
each incremental impact contributes to a total loss that is immeasurable.
Indeed, the permanent loss of the ecological integrity of the Earth, since
we need it to survive and prosper, might fairly be considered an infinite
loss."

If you are going to suffer an infinite total loss, your cost-benefit
analysis of each increment of damage ceases to have any meaning. Under
conditions of ecological overshoot, cost-benefit analysis is a meaningless
exercise and a diversion from what's really important -- shrinking the human
footprint back down to a size that Earth's ecosystem can tolerate, learning
to live well below the horizontal
line<http://www.precaution.org/lib/08/ht080417.htm#Living_Above_the_Line>in
Figure
2 <http://www.precaution.org/lib/guth_fig2.pdf>.

Guth concludes, "To maintain the ecological integrity of the Earth, *we need
a new decision-making structure designed not to promote endless growth in
net benefits, but to accommodate the ecological limits of the biosphere*,
the horizontal line of Figure 2<http://www.precaution.org/lib/guth_fig2.pdf>."
[Emphasis added.]

*Summary: U.S. law is dominated by cost-benefit analysis*

To summarize, then, Joe Guth has described how, in general, the law works
(both statutory law and common law):

** Its goal is perpetual economic growth, even if some damage occurs as a
byproduct

** It presumes that the benefits of economic growth outweigh any costs (or
harms) until someone can prove otherwise

** It places the burden of proof on anyone who wishes to curtail or regulate
any economic activity, even a harmful activity, requiring them to prove that
the harms outweigh the benefits. If such a showing cannot be made because of
missing information, or scientific confusion or uncertainty or doubt, then
the law presumes that the economic activity should continue.

** Seeking endless growth in net benefit, the law assumes that both benefits
and costs can grow without limit. The law has no way to acknowledge that
there exist ecological limits that sooner or later *must* be exceeded by the
endless growth of cumulative costs (because the planet has a finite size),
and which we exceed at the peril of making our only home uninhabitable for
our species.

Federal laws contain a few limited exceptions (which I'll describe below)
but, as Guth says, "Taken as a whole... the federal environmental statutes
are not directed toward an overarching goal such as preservation of
ecological integrity. Instead, with some exceptions, they are deeply
committed to a highly fragmented, cost- benefit-driven evaluation of each
individual action proposed by the government to protect human health and the
environment."

The way our laws are written, government regulators are not allowed to take
into consideration, or try to control, cumulative impacts.

Joe Guth continues: "These laws do not permit regulators broadly to take
account of what is happening to the world around them. They embed regulators
in a decision-making structure that may seem scientific but in fact is
profoundly unscientific because it prevents them from responding to the ever
more detailed findings by the world scientific community that we are
overshooting the Earth's ecological capacities. Rooted in the assumption
that ecological overshoot does not occur, our current statutes are incapable
of containing the cumulative scale of ecological damage. Their approach to
environmental protection is firmly based in the conception of the world as
an empty one rather than as the full one that is in fact arising all around
us. It is an approach that has become outdated because it is based on
assumptions that are no longer valid."

Guth then discusses the common law, showing that modern liability doctrines
-- both negligence and nuisance -- do not prohibit all harmful impacts, but
require the same kind of cost-benefit balancing that is pervasive in the
federal statutes:

"Negligence and nuisance apply broadly to many different circumstances,
including cases arising from damage to human health and the environment.
These doctrines do not seek to prevent or impose liability for all harm to
human health and the environment. Negligence, for example, places the burden
of proof on damaged plaintiffs to demonstrate that defendants created an
"unreasonable" risk of harm in order to make them liable for the damage they
cause. "Unreasonable" is defined not as a moral principle, but in cost-
benefit terms that compare the social utility of the particular challenged
act to the risks of resulting harm....

"Similarly, nuisance, the quintessential environmental
tort<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tort>,
now places the burden of proof on plaintiffs to prove that the defendant's
intentional acts are "unreasonable." As in negligence, "unreasonable" is
defined explicitly by a cost-benefit test...."

By placing the burden of proof on those who are harmed, the common law
"resolves cases of doubt and missing information in favor of economic
actors, allowing their damaging activities to continue and rewarding
confusion and ignorance," Guth writes.

*All is not lost: a new decision structure is possible*

With a new decision-making structure, we can learn to enjoy the fruits of
modern technologies while living within the Earth's ecological limits.

This is where the precautionary
principle<http://www.precaution.org/lib/pp_def.htm>fits in. Because we
can never be certain exactly where the ecological limits
lie, once we understand that we are approaching or exceeding those limits,
there is only one way to avoid ecological overshoot: eliminate or reduce
every environmental impact that we can. This means applying the
precautionary principle to *all* activities, large and small, that cause an
environmental impact:

(a) shifting the burden of proof by assuming that every action that causes
an impact on the Earth may be harmful unless proven otherwise;

(b) always seeking, then choosing, the least-harmful alternative; and

(c) paying attention to consequences after decisions have been made,
monitoring, looking for evidence of environmental harm, and being prepared
to reverse course if necessary.

(d) This last requirement means we should favor decisions and courses of
action that are reversible <http://www.precaution.org/lib/ludwig.930402.pdf>,
avoiding irretrievable commitments (such as the current coal-industry
proposal to curb CO2 emissions by pumping liquid carbon dioxide deep below
ground<http://www.precaution.org/lib/sciam_can_we_bury_global_warming.050701.pdf>,
hoping it will stay there forever).

*Hints of a new decision structure in some existing U.S. laws*

In Section II of his "Cumulative Impacts" paper, Joe Guth argues that "Our
legal system already harbors examples of decision-making structures that
establish a principle or standard of environmental quality or human health
and do not rely on cost-benefit balancing. * These examples... show that
such legal principles or standards can enable the legal system to contain
the growth of cumulative impacts.*" [Emphasis added.]

However, to succeed, Guth argues, we must apply these legal approaches
broadly to our entire economy: "We must subject *all* our actions to a new
decision-making structure designed to defend and maintain the ecological
integrity of the Earth."

One of these approaches is to establish "environmental rights," as several
states have done by amending their constitutions to give citizens an
explicit right to clean air and water, for example. But Guth argues that
judges typically balance "environmental rights" against other kinds of
rights when they conflict, so environmental rights (like other rights)
cannot be enforced to their full extent. "Establishing these kinds of
[environmental] rights is a critical and valuable step, one that requires
care if the rights are to be effective."

Meanwhile, as work to establish environmental rights "can and must
continue," Guth argues, "both the common law and legislation are quite
capable of defining and enforcing standards of environmental integrity and
human health."

He then shows how U.S. common law in the 18th and 19th centuries (before the
modern doctrines of negligence and nuisance were developed) was capable of
controlling cumulative impacts. The older liability rule was expressed (in
Latin) as "*sic utere tuo ut alienum non laedas*" ("use your own so as not
to injure another"). If your economic activities harmed your neighbor, you
were liable for the harm regardless of what benefits your economic activity
might provide to society.

"The principle of *sic utere tuo* was built around the presumption that
material damage to property was socially undesirable, and it imposed a rule
of strict liability without regard to the social utility of the interfering
activity," Guth writes. In other words, there was no cost-benefit balancing
in the older doctrine -- you could not harm your neighbor and get away with
it by arguing that your actions created net social benefits. (In his
published paper, "Law for the Ecological
Age<http://www.vjel.org/journal/pdf/VJEL10068.pdf>[1],
Guth traces legal history, showing how the common law changed profoundly in
the 19th century, from "sic utere tuo" to cost-benefit balancing.) Under
"sic utere tuo" every economic actor who contributed to a demonstrable harm
could be held liable for the cumulative results to which his or her actions
contributed.

"Under rules of law that were focused on protecting defined interests
[usable water in a river, for example], rather than on whether a defendant's
acts provided a net benefit to society, the law was able to protect those
interests from the cumulative impact of individually harmless acts," Guth
says. He cites older cases in which businesses contributing small amount of
toxicants to a river were held liable for the end result, which was a
totally-polluted river. They were forced to stop contributing even small
increments to the problem. Then, as industrialization increased,
cost-benefit balancing was introduced and economic actors were presumed to
create "net benefits" and were allowed to continue polluting unless their
pollution could be shown to fail the cost-benefit test.

Besides showing that profoundly different legal structures are possible,
this history of U.S. property law reveals an important and encouraging fact:
in the past, we have changed our law dramatically to suit the goals and
circumstances of the times, so we can change it again.

Guth then offers some examples indicating that, in small ways at least, some
federal environmental laws are beginning to address cumulative impacts of
individual pollutants. He points to particular provisions in the federal
Clean Air Act and Clean Water Act requiring the government to take into
consideration total emissions of particular pollutants into air and water
and then allocate those emissions among economic actors, holding the total
emissions of each particular pollutant within fixed limits. He points to the
"cap" part of the "cap and trade" system created to limit sulfur emissions
in the U.S. Acid Rain program. This "cap" puts a limit on cumulative
emissions from large industrial facilities emitting sulfur.

Similarly, once a species is designated as "threatened" or "endangered"
under the Endangered Species Act, government must prevent all actions that
contribute to the demise of that species.

These are examples of federal statutes and early common laws that are able
to control cumulative impacts, but they have been applied only to a few
pollutants or impacts on species or common-law-protected interests, each
controlled one at a time. They do not broadly seek to prevent ecological
degradation as a whole.

*A broad legal principle of preservation of ecological integrity*

Ultimately, Guth argues, the law will need to expand this conceptual
approach to define a broad legal principle of preservation of ecological
integrity: "For in ecology we can discover how to evaluate ecological
systems, what impacts the Earth can tolerate and what we need to maintain
and protect from degradation," he says, acknowledging that it will not be
simple or easy.

Some progress in this direction has already been made, he points out. The
Swedish government has set 16 environmental quality goals that should be met
and maintained for the foreseeable future, with many measurable benchmarks.
The Natural Step <http://www.naturalstep.org/> organization has defined four
principles of sustainability that aim to allow economic activity to occur
within ecological limits. Various ecological studies and organizations have
defined what constitutes "degradation" of an ecosystem. Much more work is
needed, but we're not starting from scratch.

Joe Guth offers some new ideas of his own for how to restructure the law
around a principle of preservation of ecological integrity. In his paper, "Law
for the Ecological Age <http://www.vjel.org/journal/pdf/VJEL10068.pdf>,"
Guth has proposed creating a new "ecological
tort<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tort>,"
a "legal rule of the common law that would presumptively impose liability
for impacts on the environment that may contribute to ecological
degradation."

He has also proposed a "Model State Environmental Quality
Act<http://www.precaution.org/lib/model_state_eq_act.070315.pdf>"
that "defines a threshold level of environmental impacts that would trigger
placing the burden of proof on defendants, a definition of who should have
standing to assert this rule of law, and a temporary affirmative defense for
those engaged in a meaningful search for less damaging alternatives."

This does not exhaust the list of suggestions and proposals that Joe Guth
briefly describes in his "Cumulative Impacts" paper. The more important
point is that Guth's three papers have clearly outlined the specific ways
the law will have to change if we are to reverse the slide (driven by
cumulative impacts) toward ecological degradation and irreversible
destruction of humankind's only home, planet Earth.

He has also excavated our legal history to show that, in the past, we in the
U.S. have signficantly changed our law in response to new social objectives
and realities, and therefore we can do it again.

Joe Guth concludes,

"The American government and legal system bear a duty to respond to the rise
of cumulative impacts. The growing human ecological footprint has made
untenable the assumptions on which our current environmental decision-making
structure is based. The central goal of property and environmental law must
shift from promoting endless growth in costs and benefits to maintaining the
ecological systems we need to survive and prosper.

"By adopting such a new goal, the law would transform the shape of the
economy. If the law contains the permissible scale of cumulative
environmental impacts, the economy would become one that continues to
develop but accommodates rather than undermines the ecological systems our
welfare ultimately depends on. Cost-benefit analysis might remain useful as
we seek less damaging alternatives in a quest to reduce the scale of
cumulative impacts, but it could no longer be used to justify limitless
increments of ecological degradation."

Now it's up to all of us to decide how best to change the law, and then to
get those changes made. The world is new -- because for the first time in
human history the regenerative capacity of the Earth is being palpably
damaged by the human economy. In this new world, many of our old
assumptions, attitudes, and goals are obsolete and getting in the way. But
we can fix all that, so let's get to it. Survival is not negotiable.

==============

[1] Joseph H. Guth, "Law for the Ecological Age," Vermont Journal of
Environmental Law, Vol. 431 (2008), pgs. 431-512. Available at
http://www.vjel.org/journal/pdf/VJEL10068.pdf

[2] Joseph H. Guth, "Cumulative Impacts: Death-Knell for Cost-Benefit
Analysis in Environmental Decisions," Barry Law Review, 2009. In press.
http://www.barry.edu/law/studentLife/lawreview.htm

[3] Joseph H. Guth, "Resolving the Paradoxes of Discounting in Environmental
Decisions," Transnational Law & Contemporary Problems Vol. 18 (Winter,
2009). http://www.uiowa.edu/~tlcp/html/view_iss
ues.html<http://www.uiowa.edu/%7Etlcp/html/view_issues.html>

[4] Millennium Ecosystem Assessment -- a series of reports issued by the
United Nations starting in late 2005, assessing the status of ecosystems
worldwide, including (but by no means limited to) effects on human health.
The work began in 2001 and involved 1360 scientists
http://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Global.aspx

[5] Millennium Ecosystem Assment Board of Directors, Living Beyond Our
Means: Natural Assets and Human Well Being (2005).
http://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/BoardStatement.aspx

[6] By "property and environmental law," Guth is referring to "all our laws
that control the impacts people may have on the environment, both by
altering their own lands and by externalizing impacts onto the lands of
others, or of the commons."

-- 
The male is a domestic animal which, if treated with firmness, can be
trained to do most things.
  - Jilly Cooper
_______________________________________________
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