The milk surplus would probably disappear if Kraft stopped importing it.

Pegi
 
> Date: Fri, 29 May 2009 12:29:14 -0400
> To: [email protected]
> From: [email protected]
> Subject: Re: [SustainableTompkins] fw: Organic Dairies Watch the Good Times 
> Turn Bad
> 
> The milk surplus would probably disappear if producers stopped feeding 
> grain, something they could easily do in the summer grazing period.
> 
> Joel
> 
> At 09:36 AM 5/29/09 -0400, you wrote:
> >The New York Times
> >May 29, 2009
> >Organic Dairies Watch the Good Times Turn Bad
> >By KATIE ZEZIMA
> >
> >RANDOLPH CENTER, Vt. -- When Ken Preston went organic on his dairy
> >farm here in 2005, he figured that doing so would guarantee him
> >what had long been elusive: a stable, high price for the milk from
> >his cows.
> >
> >Sure enough, his income soared 20 percent, and he could finally
> >afford a Chevy Silverado pickup to help out. The dairy
> >conglomerate that distributed his milk wanted everything
> >Mr. Preston could supply. Supermarket orders were skyrocketing.
> >
> >But soon the price of organic feed shot up. Then the recession
> >hit, and families looking to save on groceries found organic milk
> >easy to do without. Ultimately the conglomerate, with a glut of
> >product, said it would not renew his contract next month, leaving
> >him with nowhere to sell his milk, a victim of trends that are
> >crippling many organic dairy farmers from coast to coast.
> >
> >For those farmers, the promises of going organic -- a steady
> >paycheck and salvation for small family farms -- have collapsed in
> >the last six months. As the trend toward organic food consumption
> >slows after years of explosive growth, no sector is in direr shape
> >than the $1.3 billion organic milk industry. Farmers nationwide
> >have been told to cut milk production by as much as 20 percent,
> >and many are talking of shutting down.
> >
> >"I probably wouldn't have gone organic if I knew it would end this
> >way," said Mr. Preston, 53.
> >
> >Here in New England, where dairy farms are as much a part of the
> >landscape as whitewashed churches and rocky beaches, organic dairy
> >farmers are bearing the brunt of the nationwide slowdown, in part
> >because of the cost of transporting feed from the Midwest. The
> >contracts of 10 of Maine's 65 organic dairies will not be renewed
> >by HP Hood, one of the region's three large processors. In
> >Vermont, 32 dairy farms have closed since Dec. 1, significantly
> >altering the face of New England's dairy industry.
> >
> >"We expect to lose a lot more farms this year," said Roger Allbee,
> >Vermont's secretary of agriculture.
> >
> >Hood and the two other big processors, Horizon Organic and Organic
> >Valley, say cutting contracts, pay and production are necessary to
> >absorb overproduction and offset softening demand. Organic Valley,
> >a nationwide cooperative, told Maine organic dairy farmers last
> >month that its sales growth had dropped to near zero from about 20
> >percent six months ago.
> >
> >"Our inventory is overstocked," said John B. Cleary, the
> >cooperative's New England regional pool coordinator.
> >
> >For many farmers, the changes coincide with crushing debt
> >resulting from the cost of turning organic, which can run hundreds
> >of thousands of dollars. In addition, the price of organic feed
> >has doubled in the last year. Credit has dried up for some, and
> >others say it is nearly impossible to sell cows and so thin their
> >herds.
> >
> >And while processors project growth of about 6 percent in organic
> >milk sales this year (a decline from the 12.7 percent reported for
> >2008 by the Organic Trade Association), some analysts say that
> >forecast is far too optimistic. The United States Department of
> >Agriculture says sales of organic whole milk in February were 2.5
> >percent lower than in February last year, with sales of organic
> >reduced-fat milk 15 percent lower.
> >
> >"We're in big trouble," said Craig Russell, an organic dairy
> >farmer in Brookfield, Vt., who owes $500,000, mostly from
> >converting his farm to organic in 2006.
> >
> >Mr. Russell quit a day job as an accountant to farm full time last
> >year. "I made more money in six months than in five years of
> >conventional farming," he said, but his farm is now barely hanging
> >on. The price he receives from the distributor dropped another $1
> >per hundredweight on May 1, just when he most needed money to
> >prepare for the summer grazing season.
> >
> >"It's going to cost me more to make milk than sell milk," he said.
> >
> >In an effort to provide a safety net, Vermont last month expanded
> >a low-interest loan program for farmers.
> >
> >While most conventional farmers are accustomed to withstanding
> >price volatility, "organic hasn't weathered this kind of storm,"
> >said Mr. Allbee, the state's agriculture secretary. Farmers are
> >finding that organic food is not for every consumer, he said, "and
> >doesn't guarantee that you will have a market forever."
> >
> >Some farmers are considering selling their organic milk on the
> >conventional market just to make some quick money. Others are
> >looking to sell raw, or unpasteurized, milk directly to the
> >public. The Vermont House of Representatives passed a bill this
> >month to increase the amount of raw milk a farmer can sell that
> >way.
> >
> >At the annual meeting of the Maine Organic Milk Producers last
> >month in Waterville, farmers debated whether they could tap into
> >the locavore movement, marketing their milk as local food. Russell
> >Libby, the organization's executive director, wondered, "Is it
> >possible to produce a product with a Maine label on it?"
> >
> >Right now it is not, because some Maine milk is processed out of
> >state. But farmers like Aaron Bell, whose contract with Hood will
> >not be renewed when it expires, thinks the idea will save their
> >farms.
> >
> >"We're so remote, we're high and dry otherwise," said Mr. Bell,
> >whose farm is in Maine's easternmost reaches. "Unless we find our
> >own market."
> >
> >Back in 2006, Mr. Bell carried the banner for organic dairy
> >farming, appearing with his wife on Martha Stewart's show to
> >promote small family farms. He still believes in organic food, but
> >not so much in the business model.
> >
> >"They say it's heaven for the small farmer," he said, "but the
> >small farmer is the one screaming the loudest right now."
> >
> >Bruce Drinkman, who milks 60 cows on his organic farm in Glenwood
> >City, Wis., has seen his income drop 40 percent since Jan. 1. To
> >keep the farm going, he has dipped into his retirement savings and
> >dropped his health insurance. But without a loan, his wife has had
> >to draw money from her I.R.A. to help out.
> >
> >"Our Plan B is if we don't have a decent year, we're done," said
> >Mr. Drinkman, who has farmed for 30 years.
> >
> >"I'm 46," he said. "I wonder what I will do if I can't farm
> >anymore."
> >
> >
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