Shawn raises an interesting point here. At some depth, the shale layer will lose the gas it might otherwise contain. By the time the Marcellus surfaces in Marcellus, any gas is long gone. Just how far south do you have to go before there are economically viable amounts of gas to extract? a geologist friend of mine thinks Tompkins County is unlikely to worth exploiting. I'd be interested in Shawn's take on that.

Joel

Since there's shallower gas available north of Tompkins County, then it's possible that there's gas in TC. The faults can either help trap gas in folds, or they can help it escape. That's as much as I can figure, which isn't worth more than two cents. I guess I can put one more idea out there: just as much as your typical environmental science teacher tends to be more "environmentalist" than your typical physics teacher, your typical geologist is pro-exploration (and anti-regulation). Joel's friend sounds fringe. There are no "objective" scientists. What's funny about the climate change denialists is that they ask anthropogenic climate change prognosticators for ultimate "objective" empiricism, but they don't hold themselves to the same standard. Prejudiced, hypocritical cherry-pickers, but aren't we all? What if all humanity follows the 350 credo starting next week, the GHGs stabilize, and nothing catastrophic happens with climate in the next 100 years? The denialists will just say "see, the earth takes care of itself" just as easily as the 350ers will say "see, we needed that." So, "objective science" will not be the reconciliation some of us educators and politicians hope for.
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-Shawn Reeves
[email protected]
http://energyteachers.org

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