A couple of things here.

First, I don't think that bankruptcies in the grocery trade have
anything to do with food shortages.  No doubt food shortages are
in our future, but that's not happening here yet.  I suspect
rather that P&C has simply fallen a victim to the notoriously thin
margins in the retail food business.  When food prices start to go
up, the stores may actually do better financially.

Which isn't to say that it's a bad idea to start growing some of
your own food; quite the contrary.  It would be great to see a
return of the local seed distribution system we had going in
Ithaca a few years ago.

Second, I am (very reluctantly) coming to the conclusion that a
return to local markets is off the table for most people in the
county.  I can see a few returning to certain neighborhoods in the
city of Ithaca itself, but the energy already invested in the big
box stores and the increasing cost of energy that would be
required to replace them with something else means that we're
probably stuck with them.

My guess is that the rising cost of fuel won't recreate local
stores (except as indicated before in a few places in town) but
will rather recreate a 19th century shopping model where people
visit the shopping centers once every week (or every two weeks, or
every month) to stock up on supplies and otherwise stay close to
home.  In other words, I suspect that the path of least energy
investment going forward is the elimination of single-occupancy
daily shopping trips rather than the construction of new stores
within walking distance of most people.  I think that the helpful
way to plan for this is to design the public transit system to
make this traditional shopping pattern as easy as possible for
people living outside the city.

There's nothing inherently bad about going to the central market
once every week or two to do one's shopping; the sad part is that
the central market has to be something like Wal-Mart.  Anyone
who's visited cities in Latin America or some places in Europe
knows that central markets can be vibrant, socially enriching
places.  If the people planning the reorganization of the Ithaca
Commons understood what was in store for us, they'd be planning to
put something like a Latin American central market there rather
than trying to cater to the tourists who will be coming through
here in decreasing numbers as fuel prices rise.

Jon

Patricia Haines wrote:
I heard yesterday about Top's market being in Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings for 
the past two years - and that the P&C markets are facing the same thing and may 
be closed by February  '10.
Went to sleep last night fretting that I don't know how to harvest seeds to the 
following year's planting; can foods; even plan a garden so that we can feed 
the Level Green household through the winter. AND feeling very blessed, as I 
finally drifted off, to live in a community where these skills are generously 
shared with all willing to take the time to learn. Which I haven't been so far 
- but am now!
What happens if Tops & P&C close - to all the low-income folks who count on 
being able to walk to get food ? would locally-owned, smaller groceries distributed 
throughout the area be fiscally viable? can we think about CSGs - 
community-supported-grocery-stores?
The Danby and Varna markets couldn't make it. Seneca FAlls has a locally-owned 
food store but it's struggling.
It seems that localization has caught up with us, much sooner than I, or any 
but the most prescient of us, expected.
When I used to hear 'food insecurity' I thought of the
Sudan. Now I think about the senior housing at East Hill. Very
sobering.

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