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SCHOOL OF HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
Held in conjunction with the Sydney Centre for the Foundations of Science
SEMESTER ONE
RESEARCH SEMINAR SERIES
MONDAY 9th MARCH 2020



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DR NICOLE VINCENT
UTS
Senior Lecturer, Faculty of Transdisciplinary Innovation
FLOURISHING WITH EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES



Emerging technologies – e.g. autonomous vehicles, gene editing, blockchain, and 
smart drugs – promise an exciting future. Before this excitement can become a 
reality, though, concerns about safety, effectiveness, and equity must first be 
addressed. For instance, processing Bitcoin transactions is said to already 
chew up as much electricity as all of Denmark; no so-called “smart-drugs” are 
currently sufficiently safe or effective to make them fit for general public 
use; and to avoid increasing the gap between the haves and have-nots, 
autonomous vehicles and gene editing technologies would need to be affordable 
to everyone not only to the wealthy. Consequently, much attention is currently 
devoted to identifying and ironing out bugs, and to making such technologies 
more affordable. The key thought here is that once the bugs are ironed out, 
these technologies should be made so affordable that everyone can use and 
benefit from them.

However, what's often overlooked in the midst of excitement about the promise 
of emerging technologies, is what Tsjalling Swierstra calls "soft impacts". For 
instance, if sophisticated AI could extract highly accurate predictions and 
recommendations from vast quantities of data, might we eventually expect one 
another (and maybe even ourselves) to comply with AI's recommendations, and 
might we thus lose some freedom to make different choices? Or what if we could 
no longer take the car out for a spin, or hop on a motorbike, because humans 
were deemed way too dangerous by comparison with autonomous vehicles to let 
loose onto the roads — is this something that we might come to regret? Once we 
eradicate all the genetic conditions that we currently fear, mightn’t we then 
move on to changing humans in new ways which we presently find objectionable? 
And if everyone could afford safe smart drugs that made them more productive 
and less prone to fatigue, would free market competition eventually lead 
everyone to use them just to remain competitive and would we all end up working 
even longer days? Because such unintended consequences are often more difficult 
to imagine, because they critically depend not just on the technology itself 
but also on how people use it, and because frequently it is not even clear 
whether those consequences would be good, bad, or just different, concerns 
about soft impacts tend to either be overlooked or ignored, and sometimes even 
derided as hysterical "scare-mongering" that rests upon unrealistic and 
unlikely dystopic Brave New World and GATTACA scenarios.

However, I will argue that by overlooking, ignoring, and even deriding concerns 
about potential soft impacts, we effectively relinquish control over how we 
shall live our lives to the invisible hand of competition fuelled by morally 
undirected technological progress. Technologies shape the way we interact with 
one another, how we think of ourselves and others, and even what things we 
value. Thus, if we wish to have a say over such things – things which matter no 
less, though are admittedly harder to predict and evaluate, than the 
more-obvious "hard impacts" which we either explcitly aim to bring about, or 
can more easily foresee and attempt to avoid – then we will need to pay 
significantly more attention to soft impacts than we currently do. To live in a 
world we have chosen, rather than in whatever world we inadvertently create for 
ourselves, we need to contemplate the full range of consequenes of emerging 
technologies, not only those that are easy to imagine, to predict, and to 
evaluate. In order to make this task easier, in the final part of this talk I 
will describe one potential method for doing precisely this — a method which 
builds on an existing approach in medicine to identifying and safe-guarding 
against the unintended medical side-effects of medical procedures and 
technologies.


WHERE:  LEVEL 5 FUNCTION ROOM
                F23 NEW ADMINISTRATION BUILDING
WHEN:   MONDAY 9TH MARCH 2020
START:   5.30PM (DOORS OPEN 5PM)

All Welcome | No Booking Required | Free

Copyright © *2016* *HPS,  All rights reserved.


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Unit for History and Philosophy of Science · University of Sydney · Sydney, NSW 
2006 · Australia

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