School of History and Philosophy of Science
RESEARCH SEMINAR
[The University of Sydney]
[https://d31hzlhk6di2h5.cloudfront.net/20250916/31/8c/47/4b/1bf63ffa65bd451410b1837c_1276x850.jpg]
A Defence of Minimal-Rewrite Counterfactuals in the History of Science
Gregory Radick (University of Leeds)

Dates: Monday, 22/9/2025
Start Time: 5:30pm
Venue: F23.501. Michael Spence Building, Level 5, Room 501
How to register: Free, no registration required
Website: 
https://hps-events.sydney.edu.au/<https://t.e2ma.net/click/4k0x3x/8zmgipmb/g2lnf2e>

Abstract: What if,  at the 1927 Solvay conference, the causal interpretation of 
quantum mechanics had received a more sympathetic hearing?  What if Charles 
Darwin had died on the Beagle voyage and so had never lived to write On the 
Origin of Species?  What if the Oxford biologist W. F. R. Weldon hadn't died of 
pneumonia in the spring of 1906 but instead lived to finish and publish his 
Mendelism-challenging book on inheritance?  The might-have-been pasts evoked by 
such questions are known as "minimal-rewrite counterfactuals," because they 
invite us to suppose that just one element which could plausibly have been 
different in the actual past was different, with the consequences of that 
difference then reasoned through in the light of the evidence of what in fact 
happened.  In this talk I want to defuse two worries about the preference for 
minimal-rewrite counterfactuals among the historians of science prepared to "go 
there."  The first worry is that there's no justification for the preference; 
that is, there's no good reason to ignore the wider range of possibilities 
opened up once one begins asking about alternative pasts.  The second worry is 
that the preference neutralizes the potential for criticism of present-day 
science from counterfactual reasoning, making it inherently conservative.


Bio: Gregory Radick is Professor of History and Philosophy of Science at the 
University of Leeds.  He has published widely on the history of the modern life 
and human sciences,  with books including The Simian Tongue: The Long Debate 
about Animal Language (2007), Disputed Inheritance: The Battle over Mendel and 
the Future of Biology (2023) and, as co-editor with the late Jonathan Hodge, 
The Cambridge Companion to Darwin (2003, 2nd edition 2009). A former President 
of the British Society for the History of Science and the International Society 
for the History, Philosophy and Social Studies of Biology, he is currently the 
Editor-in-Chief of the journal Metascience, which originated in New South Wales.

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