3.30 PM at Main Quad N494 (departmental seminar room)

Title: Epistemic Freedom and Self-Fulfilling Beliefs (jointly with Simon Graf 
LMU)

Abstract: A (fully) self-fulfilling belief is a belief which is true if you 
hold it. It is a common intuition that one may form such beliefs even if one 
does not start out with evidence of their truth. Such intuitions are then used 
to motivate various theses about epistemic freedom: that we sometimes have the 
ability to choose beliefs directly, that beliefs can be justified by 
non-evidential considerations, and that our evidence can leave open multiple 
rational beliefs. In this paper we argue that the relevant intuitions can be 
captured without endorsing any of these epistemic freedoms. We do so by 
developing a Bayesian model of the process of belief formation in 
self-fulfilling cases that shows how an agent can transform practical reasons 
into evidence by way of reflecting on their own deliberative process.

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