Bill Bogstad wrote:
> Edward Ned Harvey (lopser)
> recovery industry would be of interest.   For example, I don't have
> the physic background to even intelligently guess if individual
> magnetic regions/domains on a drive platter will degrade their
> neighbors over time, but someone else might.  Admittedly, this is only
> one part of whether an entire drive will remain readable; but it might
> put a useful ceiling on the maximum longevity of an unpowered drive.

I worked in an engineering setting designing and calculating the
reliability of analog and didtal circuits. I'd expect a disk
drive's electronic components to last about 20 years unpowered.

The least likely to survive long-term are electrolytic capac-
itors which have a paste electrolyte that can dry out, and
EEPROMs (if they're used, I have some drives that do) will hold
their charge for about 20 years I've been told. I've a hunch
the platters themselves are quite stable, but here AF (advanced
format) drives have a huge advantage because they're better able
to survive thermal asperities caused when stray particles
squeeze between the head and platter causing local heating and
subsequent data loss. AF drives have more built-in error
correction increasing the chances of readable data.

LTO-5 tape systems are designed for 30-year archival use and for
my use case a better bet. I expect compatible (LTO-5) drives to
still be marketed over the next 30 years - well past my own
personal expiration date.

-- 
Charles

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