I found http://www.leapsecond.com/pages/adev/ being pretty helpful to get the concept.
Best, Ulli

Am 24.09.2020 um 21:35 schrieb Tom Van Baak:
Hi Hal,

ADEV turns out to be pretty hard to understand. I took me years for it to sink in. There are web pages, articles, even books. Part of the problem is matching the explanation with the audience.

It's hard to take a clock phase / frequency / measurement example and use it to teach people who want to use ADEV for stock market or climate analysis. It's hard to take quartz and atomic clock examples and use it to teach a mechanical clock & watch audience. Another example is applying ADEV to sensor noise [1]. Even though it is technically correct it's not likely to help explain the guts of a GPSDO or NTP.

I can point you to a list of references but in my experience they are too shallow or way too deep. What you want is something specific to your NTP case. How about ignoring ADEV completely. Maybe just try to explain why there is polling, why there is a poll interval, how the poll interval could be less or more, why that may or may not affect performance, how it might improve performance, or why it might actually make it worse. That gets the concept of the "cross-over point" across without all the rest of ADEV baggage.

Another challenge is that an audience needs to unlearn what they were taught in school. We were told: the more data the better; the more data the more precision you get; averaging data always gives better results; get rid of outliers; stuff like that. Those lessons are valid for measurements of something that doesn't change. But they are not valid if what you're measuring is changing *while* you are making all those measurements. Hence the ADEV "V" you mentioned. So maybe try to explain NTP using words and analogies rather than using heavy math and statistics; try not mentioning ADEV, slopes, and power law noise at all.

/tvb

[1] https://www.phidgets.com/docs/Allan_Deviation_Primer


On 9/23/2020 5:26 PM, Hal Murray wrote:
I'm looking for something for non-nuts, the general idea without any
complicated math.

Deep in ntpd is logic to adjust the polling interval, attempting to find the bottom of the V.  It's hard to describe that to somebody who doesn't know
about ADEV.




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