Hi Stephen-

Looks like a case of data-mining to me as well. Unless they show an apriori 
rationale for such a strange grouping then I would disregard their findings.

-Don.

----- Original Message -----
From: sbl...@ubishops.ca
Date: Monday, December 7, 2009 8:11 am
Subject: [tips] Birth order effects for cooperation?
To: "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)" 

> OK, here's another study I'm mulling over. Courtiol et al (2009) 
> have just reported an experiment on cooperation in college 
> students as a function of birth order. Their measure of 
> cooperation is an objective one, taken from the results of a two-
> person game. The game provides numerical values for trust and 
> reciprocity, determined by how much money each player sends 
> or returns to his partner. Although birth order studies are 
> infested with methodological problems, this design, as far as I 
> can see, successfully avoids them. 
> 
> The history of claims for birth order effects is not a happy one 
> (e.g. see Judith Rich Harris' "Four Essays on Birth Order" 
> (2004) at http://xchar.home.att.net/tna/birth-order/index.htm 
> and 
> also her more recent review in "No Two Alike" (2006)--the 
> chapter headed 'Birth Order and Other Environmental 
> Differences Within the Family"). So I paid attention when 
> Courtiol et al reported positive effects of birth order on both 
> trust 
> and reciprocity.
> 
> But here's the catch. They provided a complex statistical 
> analysis (to me, anyway) but their analysis depends on a 
> curious grouping of birth order: first-borns comprised one 
> group, 
> and later-borns the other. But the later-born group also 
> included 
> only children (without siblings). On logical grounds, one would 
> think that only children belong in the first-born category 
> instead. 
> 
> Their justification for doing this was inspection of the data. 
> For 
> trust: "Means of x [their monetary datum] for middleborn, 
> lastborn and only children appeared much closer to each other 
> than to the mean of x for firstborns (Table 2); these three 
> categories were therefore pooled." For reciprocity: "Only 
> children and laterborns were pooled because their average
> amounts sent (y) were closer to each other than to the average
> amount sent by firstborns (Table 2)."
> 
> My own inspection of their data suggests that without this post-
> hoc categorization, they would not have been able to report 
> significant results. Is their move kosher, or do we have a case 
> of 
> data-massaging here?
> 
> _Science_ has a news item on the study at 
> http://tinyurl.com/ylc4l34 
> It does not mention the peculiar definition of "later-borns".
> 
> Stephen
> 
> Courtiol, A. Raymond, M. and Faurie, C. (2009). Birth order 
> affects behaviour in the investment game: Firstborns are less 
> trustful and reciprocate less. Animal Behaviour, 78, 1405-1411.
> 
> -----------------------------------------------------------------
> Stephen L. Black, Ph.D. 
> Professor of Psychology, Emeritus 
> Bishop's University 
> e-mail: sbl...@ubishops.ca
> 2600 College St.
> Sherbrooke QC J1M 1Z7
> Canada
> -----------------------------------------------------------------
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> 
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> Bill Southerly (bsouthe...@frostburg.edu)
> 

Don Allen, Retired 
Formerly with: Dept. of Psychology 
Langara College 
100 W. 49th Ave. 
Vancouver, B.C. 
Canada V5Y 2Z6 
Phone: 604-733-0039 

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