And if it's the Dr. Laura I'm thinking of, her PhD is in physiology.

All the more reason to ignore her -- as if there weren't already a dozen good 
ones...


--
Marc Carter, PhD
Associate Professor and Chair
Department of Psychology
College of Arts & Sciences
Baker University
--



________________________________
From: Michael Smith [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Friday, May 22, 2009 12:24 PM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: Re: [tips] The Useless Advice That Psychologists Give


What I find difficult to believe is that anyone takes "public psychologists" 
(like this guy, or Dr. Phil, or Dr. Laura, or Oprah) seriously. (I have a 
suspicion that most mature people actually don't, but they are just reacting to 
the "wisdom" espoused).

Should psycholo-gits be doing this kind of thing? Sure, why not? It makes them 
money, and if they do it well, a beach house in Malibou and a life-style that 
includes a really nice sailboat.

With regard to the wisdom though, at least the comment you included in your 
post can be interpreted to support the main contention in the article. That is, 
the guy (or girl) is certain of many things except the main one: his or her 
future, and that, according to the article, is probably the cause of the 
unhapiness in his or her life.

Just an observation about 'past generations' of Americans being happier on less 
(and totally without the support of research, but what the heck). I don't think 
they were happier because they had psycholo-gits telling them all about it, but 
probably because they had a belief system that included purposes in life beyond 
their own myopic self-satisfaction.

--Mike




On Fri, May 22, 2009 at 9:06 AM, Mike Palij <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> 
wrote:
In yesterday's NY Times Harvard psychologist and "happiness
researcher" (sic!)  Daniel Gilbert has an essay titled "What you
don't know makes you nervous".  The text is available at:
http://happydays.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/20/what-you-dont-know-makes-you-nervous/

Quoting one of the main points made by Gilbert:
|That's because people feel worse when something bad might
|occur than when something bad will occur. Most of us aren't
|losing sleep and sucking down Marlboros because the Dow is
|going to fall another thousand points, but because we don't
|know whether it will fall or not - and human beings find
|uncertainty more painful than the things they're uncertain about.

A couple of points:

(1) Gilbert describes experiments (no references; how do I get
a gig where I can superficially describe research and not provide
references?) that show that uncertainty about future aversive events
made people either more afraid or "unhappy" (not clear how
happiness was measured; perhaps neuroimaging was involved
to "sex up" the research).  Now, I am all for doing experimental
research. I'm a "internal validity" kind of guy (i.e., let's establish
a causal relationship and then see how it behaves in different
contexts).  Even so, I realize that external validity, the ability
to generalize beyond the original context of the experimental
study is a tricky business because most experiments are
conducted in "closed systems" (i.e., "third variables" that
can affect the independent and dependent variables are controlled
for; mediation, moderation, and other forms of interactions can
not be observed) while real life occurs in "open systems" (where
the influence of an unknown number of variables can operate and
perhaps even change the nature of the causal relationship shown
in the original research).  Making generalizations are always
troublesome because the person making the generalization
needs to understand that an experimental result may not
generalize to ordinary life -- we need to establish this empirically.
Failure to anticipate interactions with other variables may give
an inaccurate representation of the casual relationship that one
may think is universal (something I call the "main effect fallacy").

(2)  There are clear exceptions to the "wisdom" that Gilbert provides
and it is useful to look are reader's comments on his essay.  I quote
from one of them:

|I can't be the only person who read this article with tremendous
|frustration. There are a lot of things I am certain of: I'm closer to
|60 than 50, my house sale in a bear market barely covered my
|debt, I'm living with relatives in a situation which is satisfactory to
|no one, most of my possessions are in storage, I'm out of work
|and there are no jobs right now: not no jobs in my field, no jobs,
|full stop. I've got plenty of certainty, and it brings me no comfort
|at all. Neither do Pollyanna articles like this one, which IMHO are
|one step up from telling me to eat cake.

I would just point out that there are many comments, some confirming
what Gilbert wrote and some providing counter examples invaliding
his advice/insight.  See the following (more comments provided under
the heading "Let the Bad Times Roll"):
http://happydays.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/21/let-the-bad-times-roll/?th&emc=th

So, I am left with a question:  is this kind of essay/epistle the
sort of thing that psychologists really should be doing?  Is it
"wisdom" or "conceit" that we are communicating?

-Mike Palij
New York University
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>




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