New Book from Academic Press
INFORMATION-GAP DECISION THEORY:
DECISIONS UNDER SEVERE UNCERTAINTY
Yakov Ben-Haim
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering
Technion --- Israel Institute of Technology
Haifa 32000 Israel
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.technion.ac.il/~yakov
ADVANCE PRAISE:
"Professor Yakov Ben-Haim has written a landmark book ... His
information-gap modeling approach to decision making under uncertainty
constitutes a new and revolutionary approach for addressing tough
decision problems when little information is available."
Prof. Keith Hipel, University of Waterloo, Canada.
DESCRIPTION:
Everyone makes decisions, but not everyone is a decision analyst.
A decision analyst uses quantitative models and computational methods
to formulate decision algorithms, assess decision performance,
identify and evaluate options, determine trade-offs and risks,
evaluate strategies for investigation, and so on. This book is
written for decision analysts.
Decision analysts provide quantitative support for the
decision-making process in all areas where systematic decisions are
made. Decision analysts include engineers, analysts in planning
offices and public agencies, project management consultants,
manufacturing process planners, financial and economic analysts,
informatics experts supporting medical or technological diagnosis, and
so on and on.
Info-gap decision theory is radically different from all current
theories of decision under uncertainty. The difference originates in
the modelling of uncertainty as an information gap rather than as a
probability. The need for info-gap modelling and management of
uncertainty arises in dealing with severe lack of information and
highly unstructured uncertainty. What is an information gap? How is
it quantified? How does one use info-gap ideas to analyze such
central (and traditionally probabilistic) concepts as risk, gambling,
reliability and so on? This book addresses these and many other
questions.
BRIEF TABLE OF CONTENTS:
Chapter 1 Overview
Chapter 2 Uncertainty
Chapter 3 Robustness and Opportunity
Chapter 4 Value Judgments
Chapter 5 Antagonistic and Sympathetic Immunities
Chapter 6 Gambling and Risk-Sensitivity
Chapter 7 Value of Information
Chapter 8 Learning
Chapter 9 Coherent Uncertainties and Consensus
Chapter 10 Retrospective Essay: Risk Assessment in Project Management
Chapter 11 Hybrid Uncertainties
Chapter 12 Implications of Info-Gap Uncertainty
References
Author Index
Subject Index
PUBLICATION INFORMATION: August 2001. ISBN 0-12-088251-5. $99.95
ON-LINE ORDERING:
>From the Academic Press catalog:
http://www.apcatalog.com/cgi-bin/AP?ISBN=0120882515&LOCATION=US&FORM=FORM2
>From Amazon.com:
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0120882515/qid%3D1006510409/
ref%3Dsr%5F11%5F0%5F1/102-2494037-7248961
(enter this address as a single line)
FURTHER INFORMATION can be found at:
http://www.technion.ac.il/~yakov
Dr. Yakov Ben-Haim
Professor
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering
Technion - Israel Institute of Technology Haifa 32000 Israel
Tel: +972-4-829-3262 Fax: +972-4-832-4533
[EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.technion.ac.il/~yakov
Series Editor, Academic Press
Series on Decision and Risk
http://www.technion.ac.il/~yakov/sdrfly.htm
