Public bug reported:

Distribution upgrade gets to the end of the second step (Setting new
software channels) then fails with the error:

Could not calculate the upgrade

An unresolvable problem occurred while calculating the upgrade.

 If none of this applies, then please report this bug using the command
'ubuntu-bug ubuntu-release-upgrader-core' in a terminal. If you want to
investigate this yourself the log files in '/var/log/dist-upgrade' will
contain details about the upgrade. Specifically, look at 'main.log' and
'apt.log'.

main.log contains:
near the top, in red: 2026-10-10 19:15:25,363 ERROR failed to import AptClone
at teh end, in green: 2026-10-10 19:16:21,257 INFO Quirk: Marking 
'libfile-libmagic-perl' for install to prevent dependency deadlock.

apt.log contains:
Starting pkgProblemResolver with broken count: 11

also lots of errors about broken python3 and  mutter-common:amd6


1) The release of Ubuntu you are using, via 'lsb_release -rd' or System -> 
About Ubuntu
No LSB modules are available.
Description:    Ubuntu 24.04.5 LTS
Release:        24.04

The version of the package you are using, via 'apt-cache policy pkgname' or by 
checking in Software Center
ubuntu-release-upgrader-gtk:
  Installed: 1:24.04.29
  Candidate: 1:24.04.29
  Version table:
 *** 1:24.04.29 500
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble-updates/main amd64 
Packages
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble-updates/main i386 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
     1:24.04.16 500
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/main amd64 Packages
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/main i386 Packages
ubuntu-release-upgrader-qt:
  Installed: (none)
  Candidate: 1:24.04.29
  Version table:
     1:24.04.29 500
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble-updates/universe amd64 
Packages
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble-updates/universe i386 
Packages
     1:24.04.16 500
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/universe amd64 Packages
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/universe i386 Packages
ubuntu-release-upgrader-core:
  Installed: 1:24.04.29
  Candidate: 1:24.04.29
  Version table:
 *** 1:24.04.29 500
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble-updates/main amd64 
Packages
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble-updates/main i386 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
     1:24.04.16 500
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/main amd64 Packages
        500 http://gb.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/main i386 Packages

3) What you expected to happen
Xubuntu to be upgraded from 24.04 to 26.04
4) What happened instead
See above

ProblemType: Bug
DistroRelease: Ubuntu 24.04
Package: ubuntu-release-upgrader-core 1:24.04.29
ProcVersionSignature: Ubuntu 6.8.0-146.146-generic 6.8.12
Uname: Linux 6.8.0-146-generic x86_64
ApportVersion: 2.28.3-0ubuntu0.1
Architecture: amd64
CasperMD5CheckResult: pass
CrashDB: ubuntu
CurrentDesktop: XFCE
Date: Sat Oct 10 19:11:30 2026
InstallationDate: Installed on 2024-12-22 (657 days ago)
InstallationMedia: Xubuntu 24.04.1 LTS "Noble Numbat" - Release amd64 (20240827)
PackageArchitecture: all
SourcePackage: ubuntu-release-upgrader
UpgradeStatus: Upgraded to noble on 2026-10-10 (0 days ago)
VarLogDistupgradeAptHistorylog:
 Start-Date: 2026-10-10  19:10:14
 Requested-By: chris (1000)
 End-Date: 2026-10-10  19:10:14
VarLogDistupgradeApttermlog:
 Log started: 2026-10-10  19:10:14
 Log ended: 2026-10-10  19:10:14
VarLogDistupgradeTermlog:

** Affects: ubuntu-release-upgrader (Ubuntu)
     Importance: Undecided
         Status: New


** Tags: amd64 apport-bug dist-upgrade noble

** Attachment added: "apt.log"
   https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/2170453/+attachment/6007977/+files/apt.log

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/2170453

Title:
  Distribution upgrade 24.04 LTS → 26.04 LTS fails with unable to
  calculate upgrade.

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