Sat 27 Sep 2003
UNDER PRESSURE: Tony Blair.
Poll says one in two wants Blair to quit

BRIAN FERGUSON

PRIME Minister Tony Blair was rocked by a double blow today as new polls suggested half the British public and many of his own MPs want him to quit.

The two polls have revealed widespread discontent over his policies at home and abroad on the eve of his tenth conference as Labour Party leader.

The findings will fuel growing speculation that Gordon Brown will step in to succeed him, with one of the polls - carried out by Mori - suggesting that more people would vote Labour if the Chancellor were to take over the top job.

A second survey revealed nearly a quarter of Labour MPs wanted Blair to quit immediately, while a similar proportion wanted him to go either before or after the next General Election.

Mr Blair was facing growing warnings from key figures within the party as activists gathered in Bournemouth today ahead of the start of the party’s conference. The gathering already looked tough for the Prime Minister, coming hard on the heels of the shock Liberal Democrat victory in the Brent East by-election, in what was previously a safe Labour seat.

The conference is certain to be overshadowed by criticism over the war on Iraq and the death of the weapons expert Dr David Kelly.

Today’s Mori public opinion poll has shown how the Prime Minister’s popularity and trust ratings have slumped in the aftermath of the war.

It asked people whether they agreed with the statement: "It’s now time for Tony Blair to resign and hand over to someone else". Fifty per cent agreed, 39 per cent disagreed and 11 per cent were unsure.

Just twenty-nine per cent said they were satisfied with Mr Blair’s performance, compared to a peak of 47 per cent at the end of the war in Iraq.

According to the poll, Labour has a nine-point leader over the Tories in terms of voting intentions for the next election.

But that figure shoots up to 15 points when the same people were asked how they would vote if Mr Brown was at the helm.

A separate newspaper poll of 108 of Labour’s 409 MPs at Westminster revealed growing dissatisfaction over the handling of the war, plans for university top-up fees and the Prime Minister’s leadership style.

One backbencher, speaking anonymously, said there was a general feeling among many MPs that Mr Brown would uphold traditional Labour values as Prime Minister in a way that Mr Blair had not.

"The big thing about Gordon is that he’s in the Labour movement. People feel he’s rooted in that way, that Blair not only isn’t, but doesn’t want to be."

One of the few Labour MPs to speak out, Nick Brown, a strong ally of the Chancellor, said of the top-up fees: "The Labour Party has no business putting obstacles in the way of working-class youngsters going on the very best courses if they can pass the exams and have the ability."

Of the 108 MPs surveyed only 29 offered the Prime Minister their unconditional support, while 24 said he should step down now, 25 said he should quit either before or after the next election and nine said they wanted him to stay if he changed his leadership style.

Former health secretary Alan Milburn warned there was a "fog of doubt" hanging over Mr Blair and a sense that the Government was "drifting and lacks focus".

Former Cabinet colleague Peter Mandelson admitted the Government was in "particularly choppy water".

The war on Iraq is the most obvious focus for discontent at the conference, with a session on international issues on Wednesday due to feature speeches by the Defence Secretary Geoff Hoon and Foreign Secretary Jack Straw.

But all eyes will be on Mr Blair when he makes his own keynote speech to the conference the following day.

There are already hints that he hopes a bravura "not for turning" tone will silence his critics.

Mr Blair is bound to insist he was right to take the country to war, but right, too, to press on with his controversial plans for reform in public services matched by huge investment

, such as university tuition fees and foundation hospitals.

Chances of an anti-war motion making it on to the agenda are slim with the four biggest unions - the GMB, Transport and General, Amicus and Unison - choosing to highlight instead pensions, workers’ rights, and the plight of manufacturing.

But on the conference fringe, expressions of dissent are expected to be far more heated. The highlight may come on Thursday evening, with ex-Cabinet ministers Robin Cook and Clare Short, who both quit over Iraq, due to address the annual Tribune rally.

Mr Blair may have to endure a second public inquiry into the death of weapon’s expert David Kelly, it emerged today.

A coroner in Dr Kelly’s home county of Oxfordshire said he might reopen the official inquest, which was adjourned at the start of the Hutton Inquiry, because several witnesses had refused to let Lord Hutton see their statements to police.
            The Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Uganda is in anarchy"
            Groupe de communication Mulindwas
"avec Yoweri Museveni, l'Ouganda est dans l'anarchie"

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