Russia: "The New American Leaders Are Repeating Obama's Mistakes"


 <http://www.zerohedge.com/users/tyler-durden> 

by Tyler Durden <http://www.zerohedge.com/users/tyler-durden>  

Feb 19, 2017 2:50 PM 

 

The Trump-Putin honeymoon continues to chill... that is if Trump's top
foreign policy advisors speak for the president, which remains very much
unclear. 

As discussed yesterday
<http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-02-18/mike-pence-vows-unwavering-support
-nato-pledges-hold-russia-accountable> , in the clearest sign yet that when
it comes to diplomacy with Russia, there are two clear axes developing
within the Trump administration: a Pence/Mattis/Haley foreign policy and a
Trump/Bannon/Miller foreign policy, Vice President Mike Pence told the crowd
at the Munich Security Conference that he would "hold Russia accountable"
even as he vowed "unwavering support" for NATO. This prompted the following
interesting scene moments later, as recounted by Bloomberg.

Shortly after Vice President Mike Pence pledged to “hold Russia to account”
while looking for common ground in a speech to European allies, a hawkish
Russian legislator reached out to shake his hand as he passed through a
crowded hotel corridor. 

 

“Mr. Vice President, I am from Moscow and we hope we will reach those
arrangements you were talking about,” said Alexei Pushkov, a member of the
defense committee in the upper chamber of the Russian parliament. He
enthusiastically told reporters afterward that he saw the Vice President’s
smile as a good sign.

And while Saturday's Munich "close encounter" took just 10 seconds, despite
Pushkov’s affirmative spin, Russia seems to be disappointed by how events
this weekend panned out as Pence’s reassurances to NATO allies were a "far
cry from previous hopes in Moscow, and fears in Europe, that U.S President
Donald Trump would deliver dramatic change in the U.S.-Russian relationship,
abandon an “obsolete” NATO, end sanctions over Ukraine and - as Trump once
intimated during his election campaign - consider recognizing Russia’s 2014
annexation of Crimea" according to Bloomberg
<https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-02-18/russia-watches-the-u
-s-reassure-allies-and-it-s-disappointed> .

So what is the Russian sentiment now that the "Pence, Mattis axis" has
emerged as the dominant one? Mostly disappointment. 

“I heard nothing in the speech” that was positive, Konstantin Kosachyov, who
heads the Russian parliament’s foreign affairs committee, said of Pence
quoted by Bloomberg. “The new American leaders have started to reproduce the
negatives that accumulated under the previous administration.” Kosachyov
described Pence’s message as disturbing but added that Russia would not
abandon efforts at reaching an understanding with the Trump White House.

Adding insult to Crimean injury, in a meeting with Ukrainian President Petro
Poroshenko Saturday, Pence “underlined that the United States does not
recognize Russia’s occupation and attempted annexation of the Crimean
peninsula,” according to a summary provided by the White House. 

Presenting the Russian side
<https://www.rt.com/news/377794-lavrov-russia-munich-speech/> , in an
address to the same Munich Security Conference audience later in the day,
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s speech on what he called “the
post-Western world” was short, at eight minutes, and uncharacteristically
flat. His only comment on what had been said before him was an oblique
complaint that the speeches showed NATO “remained a Cold War institution.” 

Lavrov told NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg that he supports the
resumption of military cooperation with the alliance. Without it, the
diplomats’ meetings do not make any sense, he said. “We need to resume [our]
military cooperation. [And yet] NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg,
surrounded by his deputies yesterday, couldn’t say that NATO is ready for
this. It's sad,” Lavrov said. 

 

“NATO's expansion has led to an unprecedented level of tension over the last
30 years in Europe," he added. Russia is not looking for conflicts with
anyone, but will always be able to protect its interests, Russia's top
diplomat said.  “What kind of relationship do we want with the US? One
[based on] pragmatism, mutual respect, and an understanding of special
responsibility for global stability,” he stated.

At a later press conference, Lavrov said the message he took away from
Pence’s speech and an earlier meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Rex
Tillerson was that Washington was willing to engage. “We are waiting for the
team be to fully formed which will oversee American foreign policy,” he
said. “Only then we will be able to understand what the general approaches
that Trump and Pence have voiced will look like.”

* * * 

Meanwhile, as we observed yesterday and as Bloomberg confirmed overnight,
the new US Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, whom Putin and other Russian
leaders know and respect from his years as chief executive at Exxon Mobil
Corp, has so far failed to offer any detail on the U.S. administration’s
policy, according to three senior Russian officials familiar with the
matter, who spoke on condition of anonymity. During a bilateral meeting with
Lavrov earlier in the week, Tillerson spoke little and did not go into any
specifics of arrangements for a possible Trump-Putin summit, a key Russian
goal, two of the people said. 

While State Department officials said Tillerson would be in “listening mode”
on this trip, the upshot was it remains unclear if Trump and Putin will meet
before the Group of 20 summit in Hamburg in July. 

 

On Ukraine, the key obstacle in relations between President Vladimir Putin
and former President Barack Obama, it is now clear the Trump administration,
too, will demand concessions from Moscow before moving on to discuss any
wider arrangement, said Fyodor Lukyanov, who heads the Foreign and Defense
Policy Council, an advisory body to the Kremlin.

A meeting in Munich Saturday of the so-called Normandy format to resolve the
conflict -- comprising France, Germany, Russia and Ukraine -- ended with a
bland commitment to further the stalled peace process. In a sign of its
impatience, the Kremlin separately announced that it will for the first time
recognize the documents of citizens in Ukraine’s separatist Donetsk and
Lugansk regions as valid in Russia, a measure it described as temporary.
Poroshenko attacked the move as a breach of international law.

* * * 

And yet despite the unexpectedly "pro-establishment" diplomatic  exchanges,
the reality is that everything could still change on a dime: both for
Europeans as well as Russians who gathered eagerly in Munich this year to
hear from some of the new U.S. administration’s most senior officials, there
was by Saturday a recognition that no immediate clarity will be forthcoming
on core aspects of U.S. foreign policy. The reason: The two men who
ultimately will decide NATO and Russia policy -- Trump and Putin -- were not
in the room.

As we reported yesterday, while US NATO allies were reassured after
listening to various U.S. speeches in Munich guaranteeing commitment to
NATO’s collective defense commitment, Article 5, and talk of shared values,
Carl Bildt, a former prime minister of Sweden who was in the audience, said
“But people know the president will be making the decisions." With the
message in Trump’s foreign policy tweets often at odds with the comments of
his officials, many European leaders are hoping the apparently more
traditional foreign policy stances of Pence, Mattis and Tillerson will
prevail. Russia is placing its hopes on Trump himself for a more radical
change. 

“Trump right now is the one guy who wants to engage with Putin,’’ said
Michael McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Moscow. “He is surrounded by
people that are much more skeptical.” 

For now, that's the message the Russians attending the transatlantic
alliance’s annual security conference heard loud and clear. Following the
much anticipated meeting between Trump and Putin, however, all of the recent
NATO "reassurance" by the US diplomatic corps ex-Trump, may disintegrate
overnight. 

 

 

EM

On the 49th Parallel          

                 Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
                    Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko" 

 

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