R = recovered = people who can not infect others anymore...this includes the dead people... (or not?)
there are some nice introducton videos at YouTube about this....even showing the mentioned model... numberphile: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k6nLfCbAzgo 3brown1blue: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs Best regards, Philipp Am Mo., 30. März 2020 um 18:57 Uhr schrieb Heinz Nabielek < heinznabie...@me.com>: > It is generally assumed that 1% of the infected will die. But that would > not be part of the modelling, depends mainly on local health services. > > Heinz > > > On 30.03.2020, at 16:12, Vesela Pasheva <v...@tu-sofia.bg> wrote: > > > > Hello colleagues, > > > > I would like to know whether the variable D of dead persons could be > included in the model considered. Up till now the model considers the > variables S - susceptible, I - infected and R - recovered. Where do the > Dead persons D go. > > Of course i such case the system will be of four differential equations. > > > > Best regards > > > > Vesela > > > > На 30-03-2020 15:38, Heinz Nabielek написа: > >>> On 30.03.2020, at 08:13, Stéphane Mottelet > >>> <stephane.motte...@utc.fr> wrote: > >>> Hello Heinz, > >>> Here is an interactive version (made for my children last week...) : > >>> // Confinement COVID-19 ! > >>> // Stephane MOTTELET, UTC > >>> // Tue Mar 24 08:55:03 CET 2020.... > >> Great many thanks: > >> o The SIR model is great and can be readily understood. > >> o Scilab is great: one line of code where big EXCEL sheet produced a > >> mess. > >> o Scilab friends and colleagues are great: instantaneous and real > >> help. > >> If the modelling is anywhere near to right, it will soon be over in > >> Austria (cyan circles are recorded infections). But this is likely > >> over-optimistic..... > >> Heinz > >> ______________ > >> Dr Heinz Nabielek > >> Schüttelstrasse 77A/11 > >> A-1020 Wien, Österreich > >> Tel +43 1 276 56 13 > >> cell +43 677 616 349 22 > >> heinznabie...@me.com > >> _______________________________________________ > >> users mailing list > >> users@lists.scilab.org > >> http://lists.scilab.org/mailman/listinfo/users > > _______________________________________________ > > users mailing list > > users@lists.scilab.org > > http://lists.scilab.org/mailman/listinfo/users > > _______________________________________________ > users mailing list > users@lists.scilab.org > http://lists.scilab.org/mailman/listinfo/users >
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