Note that one of the NYT projections also shows April as the date herd
immunity begins. Look at the graph with three choices labeled "CHOSE A
SCENARIO." Select the third choice:

Huge supply increase

5 million shots per day


The text changes to:


It’s a stretch, but if the pace increases to 5 million shots per day, we
could reach the herd immunity threshold by April. In that time, 80,000 people
could die from the virus.


I think 5 million shots per day might be possible, especially if the J&J
single-dose vaccine becomes available and if J&J does have production
problems. I read they have some problems now. Let us hope the problems can
be fixed quickly.

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