Standing Bear wrote:


Remember the Hindenberg?   What, not old enough?  Well we all saw the
frantic newscast and the fiery pictures often enough if we have even been marginally educated. Most commentators blamed the Germans for being 'stupid' for building a hydrogen derigible or at least fueling it with hydrogen. The darker truth was that we Americans refused to sell them any helium, and allied business interests controlled the entire supply of helium.

And the surprising truth, learned years later, was that the hydrogen had little or nothing to do with the fire. The fabric was painted with airplane dope and was horribly flammable; once it caught there was nothing that could stop it, and had the bags inside been filled with helium it would probably have made no difference.

For a little bit of evidence accessible to anyone (not just experts): Dig those flames in the news reels! And then recall that hydrogen burns with an invisible flame.

(Had it been filled with halon, of course, it would have been a different story but that stuff's not lighter than air.)

The Germans had no choice but to use hydrogen if they were going to fly a derigible, and they were too proud to admit that they were not allowed to buy it.

A similar analogy may hold for Iran. It may not be a lack of oil field expertise but a lack of the proper oil field equipment that is the root cause of their problems if in fact they are in the position stated at the outset of this thread. Being devil's advocate and accepting the initial premise, and then going further to agree with the premise that the Iranians are running out of supply unless they can get help from outside 'western?!' oil interests, then why is that help not forthcoming? Why are not the major oil monopoly interests interested in trooping into Iran for a share of the spoils? Could it be that the Iranians are being quietly shaken down and like the Germans with the Hindenberg too proud to admit it. Could it be that the same monopoly that is siphoning off Iraqi oil and profiteering with it in the United States is demanding concessions in the oil industry that the Iranians are not prepared to stoop to? Of course the Iranians, facing an energy problem born of western equipment embargos, would seek to alleviate this problem by seeking nuclear energy. Devil's advocating further, could it
be that our 'enlightened governments' know this too

One thing our current administration presumably knows very well is everything having to do with oil. So, they certainly are aware of the condition of the Iranian oilfields.

but are choosing to make
accusations of attempted bomb making known to be false in a bald faced attempt to blackmail the Iranians into surrenduring their oil fields to foreign interests at bargain basement prices while Iranians live in poverty.....like the Nigerians. Of course we could 'give them a reactor' that does not produce 'radiation',

'radiation'? Nobody cares about the radiation AFAIK. They care about the weapons-grade uranium which can be made by a home-grown enrichment facility. IOW they care about the centrifuges, /not/ the reactors.

The nuclear bunker buster which is rumored to be sitting in the belly of a plane in Israel waiting for the green light is targeted for the enrichment facility, not a reactor.


but such a thing would require fuel, and we all know who controls the supply of that.

We do? I don't. I thought there were a number of countries in the nuclear fuel business, including Iran's neighbor, Russia. In fact there have been offers from Russia to handle the enrichment end of things for Iran, if they would give up their plan to do it all themselves.


So now they would simply trade one dependance for another at a higher price. Now the Iranians want to create the complete fuel cycle so that they would be the master of their own economy. Monopoly interests do not want to let them do that, for then they would be truly independant, and the oil monopolies that control our administration seem to be very afraid of this. So the United States' administration continues to make threats backing up the lie that Iranians are wanting N-weapons, and the Iranians, their backs to the wall, are too proud to give up the dream of every free peoples for freedom and independance. Still devil's advocatin, this could logically lead inexorably to war; moreover, a war where we Americans would be morally wrong.

Like Iraq?  Like Viet Nam?

So new?


The GI in the trenches would know this first and would quickly find out just who they would be expected to die for. Americans do not like to be used as mercenaries for international cartels that care less about them individually than the dust under their shoes, and would rightly start refusing to fight.

Like they have in Iraq?


They are doing so already. There is the ugly story of contaminated fuel sold by American/Saudi monopoly interests being foisted on 'allied military and civilian contractors, and the victims of this scam being stranded on dangerous roads all over Iraq to be easily picked off by the jihadis. When the survivors of that scam were ordered to use that fuel and keep quiet about it, many refused and were then prosecuted for 'failure to repair'...UCMJ Articles 15 and 32. So now continues yet again another version of the Great Game. Another writer stated that the disgraceful 'deal' with North Korea is to 'clear' the way for action in Iran should it 'come to that'. The US administration is making a bad bargain, as North Koreans subscribe to the 'ends justify the means', an old communist moral code artical of faith, and will break any word or treaty if it is expedient; and the sight of their 'arch-enemy' fully commited in one place would be too great an opportunity
to ignore.  On the other hand, a treaty with Iran if obtainable would probably
be kept by a people and religion sworn to tell the truth and uphold ones word
of honor as a fundamental tenet of their religion. Look at the history of the Iran/Iraq war and re-read what passed for 'news' from Iraqi Baathist sources
as opposed to that from Iran in the same period and judge for yourself.

The Iraqi Baathists are Muslims, too, FWIW. Last I heard, anyway. They just disagree over with the Iranians over whether or not the fourth calif was a murderous psychopath, or something like that.


  We have the dangerous situation of being led by self righteous men and
women who have cocooned themselves in a fortress mentality much as Nixon in the early 70's and Hitler after 1943. With only a few international corporate racketeers and a cental core of the administration talking to each other and ignoring or firing all others at advisory levels, it is little wonder the resulting policies seem disjointed, opaque, and totally lacking in intelligence. This in case of war will guarantee huge casualties on our side. The British know this, they suffered terribly in 'Irak' during the twenties by trying to do too much with too little. That is why they are bailing out now while the getting is good and the road to escape is open. They know! By the way, what we have now is not 'war'. Read the United States Constitution! Only Congress can declare war! They have not done so.

Have we had any real war since WWII?  This is a serious question.

Viet Nam wasn't, of course. I don't think Korea was, either, but I'm not sure about that. Desert Storm took place without a declaration of war, AFAICR. Reagan had one or two little dustups which also involved no declaration of war. Clinton's missile attack on a pharmaceutical plant certainly didn't involve a declaration of war.


Declarations of War are explicit statements plainly understandible by all,
and say the words 'declaration of war' in them.

And then Bush would be Commander in Chief for real, with some additional powers he doesn't currently have. I'm very glad they haven't declared war. Like ancient Rome, when the gates of war are opened, the United States acquires an Emperor for the duration; it reverts to its more democratic status only when the war ends.



da Bear


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