Personally I am highly skeptical that they could predict with enough accuracy where one would fall in the event it is actually small enough to evacuate an area rather than a whole country.
On Tue, Mar 10, 2009 at 4:54 PM, <[email protected]> wrote: > In reply to Jed Rothwell's message of Mon, 9 Mar 2009 20:47:53 -0400: > Hi, > [snip] > >Robin van Spaandonk wrote: > > > > > >> Evacuate a city, which is approximately the amount of damage a 1 MT > blast > >> would > >> do. > > > > > >One week ahead of time, could they determine with enough accuracy where > the > >object will strike? Or would they have to say: 'evacuate everyplace from X > >west to Y'? > > > >I do not know enough about astronomy to judge. > > I think after tracking it for 1 or 2 days they could come pretty close, and > the > closer it got the more accurate their determination. One could start by > beginning to evacuate people from what would most likely be the impact > point. > > If the zone was initially large, you could provide a general warning, and > suggest that those who were able, leave. This might be applicable if the > zone > were to include e.g. the whole Eastern seaboard, but make clear that only a > city > sized area would ultimately be affected. That gives people a sense of their > chances of survival if they stay put. It also ensures that those who are in > a > position to leave early do so, thus limiting the last minute congestion. > > Regards, > > Robin van Spaandonk > > http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/Project.html > >
