The Yomiuri reports that Lexus hybrids are selling like hotcakes in Japan. The car is back ordered until February next year, and selling at the rate of about 10,000 cars per month. The paper notes that sales were predicted to be 500 per month, "so the actual sales rate is 20 times the sales target, which is a sign of the great popularity of hybrid cars." To say the least. The Lexus hybrid, model HS25Oh, costs $37,500 in Japan.

It seems to me this is good news for the GM Volt. It shows that wealthy people, who do not need to worry about the cost of gasoline, are willing to pay a premium for high-efficiency, high-tech cars. That doesn't surprise me but I am pleased to see it confirmed. I expect the hybrid part is a status symbol to some wealthy people, and to others it is a way to save gasoline and reduce global warming.

I predict that the 2011 Yaris hybrid model, for $15,000 with 94 MPG, will wipe out the market for gasoline-only compact cars. No auto company will be able to sell a conventional compact after 2011. No gasoline-only car will ever get anywhere near 94 MPG, and the only reason people buy these cars in the first place is to save fuel costs. $15,000 is very reasonable cost for any small car, not to mention one that gets 2 to 3 times better gas mileage than most compact cars, and 6 times better mileage than an SUV.

- Jed

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