It is politically incorrect for me to say this, but I think this British
expert Malcom Grimston on CNN probably has it right:

http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/13/japan.nuclear.reactors/

(Video at the top of the page.)

He says "this may seem like a strange thing to say . . . but the explosion
wasn't a terribly important event."

I think he says they have flooded the entire control room with sea water, to
remove heat. Adding sea water inside the reactor vessel probably wrote off
the entire machine. This will corrode the machine. Since it has
partially-melted fuel rods in it, and I expect the reactor was a write-off
anyway, and I think that's what Grimston believes. It was close to end of
its service life anyway.

He thinks the experts handled the job well. Maybe they did -- I can't judge
-- but they handled the job of informing the public and the government
badly. P.M. Kan complained about the power company's confused and incomplete
reports.

My impression is that the reactor crisis has passed.

There are severe shortages of electricity now. They are conducting scheduled
black outs in Tokyo. Many of the electric trains are out of service. Traffic
signals are off but police were deployed beforehand to direct traffic by
hand. It seems strange to me. Don't they have separate circuits for traffic
signals and railroads? They should have shut down big buildings and
factories before disrupting transportation.

Hundreds of thousands of people in Tokyo were caught in the transportation
and communication shutdown the day of the earthquake. I have heard from two
or three, including a mother who was downtown with a five-year-old. She says
the railroad company and local officials were very responsive and helpful,
bringing her and child to a temporary shelter, helping them contact the
family and so on. Another person walked from downtown Tokyo to
Musashi-koganei, which is quite a distance. It took him many hours. Many
people were helpful along the way.

- Jed

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