Frank and Mike. Don't get too excited. The article you linked to is heavily 
biased by the rhetoric of James Taylor from the libertarian/right wing 
think-tank lobby group, the Heartland Institute. In fact he goes so 
ridiculously over the top with his various uses of "alarmist" (count them!) 
that it becomes clear that what we are reading is propaganda, not fair comment. 
Denialist sources like this pounce on and promote any evidence at all that 
supports what they want reality to be and completely ignore the vastly greater 
amount that does not.

The author of the paper that all the fuss is about is Dr Roy Spencer who has 
long had an idee fixe that the climate sensitivity is much less than just about 
every other practicing climate scientist believes . He keeps trying to prove 
this because, if true, it would mean that although more fossil fuel emissions 
will still increase the greenhouse effect and lead to further global warming, 
the end result will not be dangerous and may be relatively benign. This is 
because feedbacks would barely amplify any warming.

He and his fellow sceptic scientist Dr John Christy - who make up (with Richard 
Lindzen) just about all of the credible "sceptic" scientists around - were 
responsible for the very long term denialist myth that ground based 
measurements showed warming while satellite based measurements did not because 
their previously published work with satellite sensing of global temperature 
proved to be wrong because they did not correct for orbital drift/decay. When 
they eventually did, the warming signal became clear.

Trying not to be too ad hominem, it must be mentioned that Spencer is an 
"intelligent design" creationist, so presumably expects that intelligence to 
have designed the climate system so that we can't destabilise it - so that God 
won't let us screw things up! Evidence from palaeo-climatology (way before 4004 
BC...) suggests that the climate does not have a benign negative feedback to 
influences that force warming or cooling but has actually reacted strongly in 
the past.

It's always possible that this time he's onto something but his new paper has 
not been hailed as revolutionary. Here's an excerpt from reaction:

New research suggesting that cloud cover, not carbon dioxide, causes global 
warming is getting buzz in climate skeptic circles. But mainstream climate 
scientists dismissed the research as unrealistic and politically motivated.

"It is not newsworthy," Daniel Murphy, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric 
Administration (NOAA) cloud researcher, wrote in an email to LiveScience.

The study, published July 26 in the open-access online journal Remote Sensing, 
got public attention when a writer for The Heartland Institute, a libertarian 
think-tank that promotes climate change skepticism, wrote for Forbes magazine 
that the study disproved the global warming worries of climate change 
"alarmists." However, mainstream climate scientists say that the argument 
advanced in the paper is neither new nor correct. The paper's author, 
University of Alabama, Huntsville researcher Roy Spencer, is a climate change 
skeptic and controversial figure within the climate research community. 


"He's taken an incorrect model, he's tweaked it to match observations, but the 
conclusions you get from that are not correct," Andrew Dessler, a professor of 
atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M University, said of Spencer's new study.
What Spencer did was to build on his earlier work - rather comprehensively 
debunked here

http://bbickmore.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/just-put-the-model-down-roy/



Nick Palmer

On the side of the Planet - and the people - because they're worth it

Blogspot - Sustainability and stuff according to Nick Palmer
http://nickpalmer.blogspot.com

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