On Sat, Jul 7, 2012 at 3:17 AM, Akira Shirakawa <shirakawa.ak...@gmail.com>wrote:
Lightweight html-only version for the bandwidth challenged: http://www.**mydigitalpublication.com//**display_article.php?id=1104768<http://www.mydigitalpublication.com//display_article.php?id=1104768> > > Cheers, > S.A. > Out of curiosity, I took a look at the flashier version of the article. I think they might have paid a lot for a gimmick intended to leave an impression on people. Ultimately, though, serious readers will prefer a simple presentation without too many bells and whistles; too much slickness, and especially the poorly executed variety, can easily interfere with what you're trying to communicate. I like their reference to the whaling industry. That is one possible way to understand what could happen to the petroleum industry if LENR can be profitably commercialized. Other models are the publishing industry and the recording industry. There are similarities between each as well as differences. In this regard I wonder whether the authors have understand their target audience; it is plausible that if confronted with a serious challenge, the types of plans the oil industry would develop would center more on the courtroom than on adapting to the new technological reality. In addition the industry might try to move up the chain into higher-quality niches and leave LENR to home-heating and mobile power generation markets, not appreciating that these would just be the entry points. Clayton Christensen, a well-known business professor, has formulated an interesting explanation about how businesses that are dominant in a market and staffed with competent people making rational, defensible decisions, can lose their dominant position in a brief period of time. Somehow the organizations choose to ignore the impending threat, or they are aware of it but are unable to come up with an adequate response. The description of LENR in the article did a poor job of separating fact from theory and conjecture. I think those of us involved in popularizing LENR are largely to blame for this. Eric
