On Wed, May 15, 2013 at 4:31 PM, Kevin O'Malley <kevmol...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > > > On Wed, May 15, 2013 at 2:20 PM, Joshua Cude <joshua.c...@gmail.com>wrote: > >> >> Statistics are fun because, as Kevin O'Malley memorably put it: "It's not >> that often that one can engage with someone who is demonstrably off by 4400 >> orders of magnitude." >> >> Fun, except he did the math wrong. If you want to make simple arguments, >> at least get the math right. >> >> > > As I wrote, it represents the probability that ALL of the replications > were the result of error. > No it doesn't. That is true only if all the attempts give replications. Look up the binomial distribution, and find someone to explain it to you.
