So the reading of the situation from my diplomatic contact is that Putin
will take Crimea and stop, with one exception:

There will be a natural gas shortage in Kiev this fall.

Ukrainians are known for technical improvisation.  Their techies are known
for flouting international regimes regarding intellectual property.

Faced with a cut off of natural gas heat next winter, and the on-going
delays in release of cold fusion commercial heaters due to "certification"
procedures, one wonders if perhaps Kiev might be ground zero of the cold
fusion revolution come next winter.

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