http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/LB04Ae01.html

Feb 4, 2010 

Obama expectations revised in Indonesia
By Sara Schonhardt 


JAKARTA - United States President Barack Obama will make a much-anticipated 
official visit to Indonesia in March, raising speculation of a possible upgrade 
in bilateral relations. Shortly after the White House announcement, the visit 
made headlines in the English language press and Twitter messages circulated 
widely hailing the return of the "Menteng kid", a reference to the Jakarta 
neighborhood where he lived in his early childhood. 

Indonesia's presidential spokesman, Dino Patti Djalal, said Obama's plans to 
spend several days in the country will make his visit the longest yet by a US 
president. "I must emphasize that there's a sentimental aspect there," Dino 
said. 

The highly anticipated visit represents more than a chance for Obama to wax 
nostalgic. Many analysts have speculated that Obama's administration could give 
greater strategic emphasis to the bilateral relationship in a bid to 
counterbalance China's rising influence in mainland Southeast Asia, including 
substantial sway over Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar. 

Top US officials are hinting as much. "This trip is an important part of the 
president's continued effort to broaden and strengthen the partnerships that 
are necessary to advance our security and prosperity," White House Press 
Secretary Robert Gibbs said during a press briefing on Monday to announce 
Obama's visit. 

Indonesia is the world's most populous Muslim country and its third-largest 
democracy. After Obama met his Indonesian counterpart, Susilo Bambang 
Yudhoyono, in Singapore last November, the US president said he was 
"extraordinarily impressed" with the progress of Indonesian democracy. That 
compares with perceived back-sliding in the Philippines and Thailand, the US's 
other main strategic allies in the region. 

Yudhoyono, who was overwhelmingly re-elected to a second five-year term last 
year, has received much of the credit for the democratic progress. However, 
high-profile corruption scandals, a controversial bank bailout and public 
discontent that manifested in citywide protests in January have tainted the 
first few months of Yudhoyono's second term. 

With domestic politics in disarray, some analysts believe Obama's visit may not 
be a boost for the embattled Yudhoyono administration. 

"The Obama card is something the government needs," said Evan Laksmana, a 
researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, referring to 
the potential a meeting could have for increasing US aid and investment. "But 
something big should come out of the meeting. There should be some concrete 
triumph." 

The euphoria felt here after Obama's 2009 election has wound down among 
Indonesians, who had high hopes that his connection to their country would have 
already raised significantly the country's profile in Washington. Indonesia is 
the US's 29th largest trading partner, and US companies have invested heavily 
in local petroleum and mining industries. 

The two countries have also recently enhanced security ties. For instance, the 
US was instrumental in the creation of, and has provided crucial training to, 
Indonesia's elite Detachment 88 unit, which has led several high-profile 
counter-terrorism operations. 

Yet for some Indonesians, the pre-eminence given to Obama and by association 
the US has already reached a tipping point. After a small bronze statue of a 
10-year-old Obama was recently unveiled in Menteng Park, a group of citizens 
started a Facebook page calling for its removal. The site has drawn more than 
10,000 members and the grouping has since filed a lawsuit with the city to have 
the statue taken down. 

Ron Mullers, chairman of the Friends of Obama Foundation, which sponsored the 
statue, has said it was meant only to represent a boy who lived in the 
neighborhood. The eight Indonesians who started the Facebook group say their 
own heroes should be represented rather than foreigners, particularly 
foreigners who to date have done little for Indonesia . 

Some policy analysts say Obama lost an opportunity by skipping his previously 
planned visit in November. But it is the lack of what Laksmana calls "real 
deliverables" that has raised hackles. "People are asking, 'What has he done 
for us? What has he done to improve the welfare of people in the Muslim 
world?'" 

Recalibrating the US's approach to the Muslim world has been a pivotal part of 
Obama's foreign policy, which devotes more attention than his predecessor's to 
cultural diplomacy. Part of that effort was on display last week in Jakarta, 
where a San Francisco-based dance troupe performed as part of a cultural 
exchange. 

The State Department, which has partnered with the Brooklyn Academy of Music to 
sponsor the initiative, says it demonstrates America's respect and appreciation 
for other cultures and traditions. Yet even while speaking to the importance of 
cross-cultural exchanges, Anne Grimes, the cultural attache for the US Embassy 
in Jakarta, highlighted the importance of political and military relations. 

When Obama meets Yudhoyono in March, the two are expected to formally launch 
the US-Indonesian Comprehensive Partnership, a pact that will cover educational 
exchanges, trade and investment cooperation, and security and non-security 
issues such as climate change. 

The 2010 State and Foreign Operations Appropriations bill will increase funding 
for education and cultural exchanges by $97 million year on year. Yet Laksmana 
said pushing what Secretary of State Hillary Clinton calls "smart power" will 
make little difference as long as thorny issues, such as restoring aid to 
Indonesia's Special Forces, go unresolved. The US suspended funding to the 
Special Forces in 1992 after it was linked to human-rights abuses in East 
Timor, and the issue has been a sticking point between the two allies since. 

Local critics of the so-called "smart power" approach say US culture erodes 
Indonesian morals. According to a 2006 study by the Indonesian Survey Institute 
(LSI), six out of every 10 Indonesian Muslims believed Western culture had a 
negative influence on local culture. 

Despite those criticisms, a visit by the US president is seen as necessary to 
reassure one of the few countries in the region that is anxious over China's 
growing regional dominance. Laksmana said an enhanced strategic partnership 
with the US could provide a good counterbalance to China, which has long 
simmering maritime disputes with Indonesia . 

Analysts say the success of Obama's trip will depend on the verdict of an 
ongoing investigation into the Bank Century bailout. Indonesia's vice president 
and finance minister are both accused of pilfering funds from the state rescue 
and Yudhoyono's name also has been raised. All have denied the charges as 
politically motivated. 

If the court finds high-level graft occurred, Laksmana said, Obama's visit 
could be used by the opposition as an opportunity to launch even stronger 
attacks against Yudhoyono, who some have accused of being an American puppet 
and of driving a neo-liberal agenda that prioritizes free trade over the 
protection of Indonesian businesses. 

In some ways, Yudhoyono and Obama find themselves in similar political 
positions. Both have seen their popularity drop since taking office, and many 
fault them for failing to meet their campaign promises. Against that backdrop, 
many wonder whether Obama's belated attention to Indonesia will do Yudhoyono 
more political harm than good. 

Sara Schonhardt is a freelance writer based in Jakarta, Indonesia. She has 
lived and worked in Southeast Asia for six years and has a master's degree in 
international affairs from Columbia University. 

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