http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2010/1002/eg2.htm

 10 - 16 June 2010
Issue No. 1002
Published in Cairo by AL-AHRAM established in 1875


A blow to the Brotherhood

The Muslim Brotherhood's failure to win a single seat in the Shura Council's 
mid-term election comes as no surprise, reports Gamal Essam El-Din 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Muslim Brotherhood failed to win any seats in the mid-term Shura Council 
elections. The second run-off round was held on Tuesday, without any 
Brotherhood candidates running. 

Brotherhood leaders expectedly voiced sharp criticism of the ruling National 
Democratic (NDP), which swept the poll. The NDP secured 80 seats, the 
opposition won four seats and the independents won the remaining four seats. 
Essam El-Erian, the official in charge of the group's political agenda, accused 
the NDP, in collaboration with the security forces, of manipulating the poll.

"The ballot lacked any judicial supervision and was rife with irregularities 
and fraud," he claimed . According to the Higher Electoral Commission (HEC), 
the election was marked by complete transparency.

Four opposition party-based candidates were able to secure seats: Tagammu's 
Salah Misbah in the Nile-Delta governorate of Damietta; Al-Geel's Ahmed 
Al-Agouz and the Arab Nasserist's Mohsen Attia in the Old Cairo districts of 
Gammaliya and Azbakiya, and Ghad's Moussa Mustafa Moussa in Giza. It is the 
first time the Nasserist Party has been represented on the Shura Council. 

According to El-Erian "a handful of opposition candidates were allowed to win 
to give a false impression that the polls were not rigged." 

Days before the June poll El-Erian said the Brotherhood wanted to penetrate the 
Shura Council so that "the movement gains greater legitimacy and prestige". 

The Brotherhood fielded 15 candidates, including three members of the People's 
Assembly. Their failure may well be behind the Brotherhood throwing its weight 
behind the political reform campaign of Mohamed El-Baradei, the former director 
of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). El-Baradei held a press 
conference on Tuesday with Mohamed El-Katatni, leader of the Brotherhood's 
parliamentary bloc, during which the movement announced it would help in the 
drive to collect a million signatures for El-Baradei's petition to change the 
constitution and introduce guarantees for free and fair elections, including 
the presence of international monitors. 

The failure to secure a single Shura Council seat will not, says El-Erian, 
"dissuade the movement from contesting the elections to the People's Assembly, 
scheduled next October."

"This is more important to us. The Shura Council lacks any real powers or 
popular appeal," he argued. 

The Brotherhood currently holds 86 seats in the 454-member People's Assembly. 
The movement has never occupied a seat on the Shura Council since it was 
established by president Anwar El-Sadat in 1980.

The Brotherhood's drubbing in the Shura elections, dominated by the NDP since 
1980, was expected, says Al-Ahram analyst Amr Hashem Rabie.

Rabie doubts the Brotherhood's alliance with El-Baradei will hold firm. "This 
is a tactical move. Should the Brotherhood hold its seats in next October's 
elections the alliance will collapse," he predicts.

The liberal-oriented Wafd Party, which fielded 10 candidates, also failed to 
win a seat. The party hoped that Mahmoud Abdel-Wahed, its candidate in the 
Upper-Egypt governorate of Sohag's district of Baliana, will buck that trend in 
the run-off poll. 

"Out of 88 contested seats the NDP has secured 66," said Intessar Nessim, 
chairman of the HEC. "Add to this the 14 seats in which the NDP was standing 
uncontested and it has won 80 of the 88 seats up for grabs in the consultative 
upper house." 

Twenty candidates competed for the 10 seats in the run-off ballot on Tuesday. 
"Of these, 11 belong to the NDP, one to the Wafd Party, and eight are 
independent candidates. 

Most, if not all, of the independents are NDP members who decided to run 
outside the party umbrella. 

According to Nessim, the turnout was 30.8 per cent (7.8 million) of registered 
voters during the first round. He denied that the voting was marred by any 
irregularities. 

"The election was marked by complete transparency. Vote-counting committees did 
their job in the presence of monitors from civil society organisations and 
foreign and local press correspondents," said Nessim. "If it had the slightest 
doubt about the propriety of the elections the HEC would not have announced the 
results."

Brotherhood officials, though, say their observers were barred from entering 
polling and vote- counting stations. They also complain that their supporters 
were systematically harassed by security forces.

Full judicial oversight of elections was cancelled in 2007. 

"If there is any lesson to be learned from the Shura polls it is the necessity 
of again placing elections under full judicial supervision," says Rabie. 
"Without this, the two houses of parliament will continue to lack credibility 
in the eyes of local and foreign observers." 

Nor, says Rabie, is it credible that turnout reached 30 per cent. He estimates 
the correct figure to be less than three per cent. 

"The Shura poll contained many bad signals for the Brotherhood. It could well 
be stripped of all its seats in the forthcoming People's Assembly election." 

Responding to detractors, Moufid Shehab, minister of state for legal and 
parliamentary affairs, insisted the HEC had complete powers in supervising the 
election.

"Integrity was the hallmark of the Shura elections," Shehab told the Weekly. He 
described Brotherhood complaints that the election was rigged as "false and 
unfounded".

"If they believed the election would be rigged beforehand, why did they decide 
to contest it?" asked Shehab.

Shehab believes the Brotherhood's failure in the Shura polls shows "it is not 
the strong opposition force some think". 

"It is an outlawed group which mixes religion with politics and in recent years 
people have become increasingly aware of this. They prefer to vote for 
legitimate parties rather than for extremist group." 

"The NDP prepared well for the Shura polls. We have learned the lessons from 
the 2005 elections in which the Brotherhood mobilised its supporters and won 88 
seats. This time we mobilised our own supporters," said Shehab.

The Shura Council, whose primary role is to examine proposed legislation before 
it is referred to the People's Assembly for a final vote, comprises 264 
members, of which a third are presidential appointees. 


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

Kirim email ke