GoranSMilovanovic added a comment.

  @Lea_WMDE Here we go:
  
  - the following chart shows mobile edits vs. mobile pageviews separately for 
users and spiders;
  - what we can learn from this chart is that **the growth is certainly 
natural**, given that the spiders have made a minimal number of edits and 
contributed to pageviews much less than our users did;
  - the pattern of user mobile edits (left panel, blue line) seems similar to 
the pattern of user mobile pageviews (right panel, blue line), but the 
subsequent analysis has uncovered that they are in fact unrelated.
  
  F29068206: FINAL_data.png <https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/F29068206>
  
  Now, the following chart shows us the monthly percent change in the growth of 
edits and pageviews, for users only:
  
  F29068229: FINAL_percentChange.png 
<https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/F29068229>
  
  - To help understand it, the percents in the chart are: `(count in the 
current month - count in the previous month)`/`count in the current 
month`*`100`.
  - Now we see that the growth in user mobile pageviews and the growth in the 
user mobile edits **are not really correlated**.
  - In order to reject the hypothesis that the two time-series (i.e. % growth 
of pageviews and % growth of edits) are correlated, both time-series were first 
differentiated (`lag = 1`), and then both Pearson and Spearman's correlation 
coefficient were assessed; neither reached statistical significance (which in 
effect means that from the viewpoint of classical statistics the correlation 
does not exit).
  - Caveat: we have only six (6) observations, so the sample is questionable.
  
  > And is it possible for us to roughly group this data by where people come 
from and if we see a significant increase for a specific region of the world?
  
  I can certainly do that for the pageviews (there are handy fields in the 
`Projectview hourly` Hive table like `continent` and `country_code`), but I am 
not sure if I have the data to do it for revisions. @JAllemandou ?

TASK DETAIL
  https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/T220977

EMAIL PREFERENCES
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To: GoranSMilovanovic
Cc: JAllemandou, Milimetric, RazShuty, Lea_WMDE, Aklapper, darthmon_wmde, 
alaa_wmde, Nandana, Lahi, Gq86, GoranSMilovanovic, QZanden, LawExplorer, 
_jensen, rosalieper, Wikidata-bugs, aude, Mbch331
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