Here are some numbers I pulled a few months ago regarding the number of 
admin requests over time:


        successful      unsuccessful    total requests  % successful
2004    177     63      240     74%
2005    387     213     600     65%
2006    353     543     896     39%
2007    408     512     920     44%
2008    201     392     593     34%
2009    121     234     355     34%


I can't comment on the reasons, but I thought I'd share the data in case 
people are interested.

Howie

Source: 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Successful_requests_for_adminship 
and related pages.
Note: 2004 is incomplete as unsuccessful candidacies were tracked 
starting April 2005

On 5/26/10 3:51 PM, Ryan Delaney wrote:
> Pretty much. That's more or less why I quit the project.
>
> On Thu, Mar 25, 2010 at 1:51 PM, The Cunctator<cuncta...@gmail.com>  wrote:
>
>    
>> By all measures, en.wiki has been in decline for years as an active
>> project.
>> It's just the typical death by bureaucracy that most projects like this
>> undergo.
>>
>> On Thu, Mar 25, 2010 at 4:45 PM, Kwan Ting Chan<k...@ktchan.info>  wrote:
>>
>>      
>>> WereSpielChequers wrote:
>>>
>>>        
>>>> What are the likely results of a dwindling number of admins, and a
>>>> growing wikigeneration gap between admins and other editors?
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>          
>>> Well, they're not dwindling since admin rights don't get taken away on
>>> inactivity. ;-) But to the general question, because the standard
>>>        
>> expected
>>      
>>> of a candidate for RfA has gone up over the years?
>>>
>>> KTC
>>>
>>> --
>>> Experience is a good school but the fees are high.
>>>     - Heinrich Heine
>>>
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