On 11/01/13 03:58, Federico Leva (Nemo) wrote: > Andreas Kolbe, 10/01/2013 17:24: >> On Wed, Jan 9, 2013 at 6:41 AM, Federico Leva (Nemo) wrote: >> >>> The main pattern, ie a turning point in 2007, is the same in >>> all projects, and almost in all language versions of them: >>> [...] >> >> Actually, Nemo, I don't think that is right at all. If you look >> at the German, Spanish or French Wikipedia, for example, the >> German and Spanish are totally stable, with no decline at all >> discernible around 2007, while editor numbers for the French >> Wikipedia are actually growing: >> >> http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaFR.htm >> http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaDE.htm >> http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaES.htm > > I said "a turning point", i.e. a singularity; mainly, from positive > to non-positive derivative, whether negative or not. Of course, > it's easier to see in a graph than in a table.
IIRC, there was a large reduction in traffic growth rate in approximatly 2007, presumably due to market saturation. You'd expect a similar market saturation effect in editor population. A decline can't be explained away in that way. > It's the same in Italian, growth till January-March 2008 and then > oscillation/stagnation: > http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaIT.htm "Stagnation" is another way to say "stability", except that it also implies rot. I don't think we can take it for granted that a wiki will rot if it has a stable editor population. If the English Wikipedia could achieve a stable editor population, I would be very happy. -- Tim Starling _______________________________________________ Wikimedia-l mailing list Wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org Unsubscribe: https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikimedia-l
