-------------------------
Via Workers World News Service
Reprinted from the Oct. 18, 2001
issue of Workers World newspaper
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IT'S ALL HYPE: BUSH HAS NO PLAN FOR LAID-OFF WORKERS

By Gary Wilson

Has President George W. Bush flip-flopped from economic 
reactionary to economic liberal? Has he become a proponent 
of government spending in order to end the economic 
recession?

Following the attack on the World Trade Center and the 
Pentagon, Bush began outlining a new economic policy that 
included rebuilding New York and increasing "security" with 
more funds for the military.

There was also a bailout for the airline companies, but that 
was said to be necessary because so much was lost in the 
airline industry in the weeks after the attack.

The amount of money being projected for these new emergency 
programs was around $100 billion, give or take a few billion 
depending on which newspaper account you read. Everyone was 
supposed to get behind the president and cheer for this new 
plan.

There were a few details, however, that muted the cheers. 
Some questions could be heard.

Labor unionists showed up on Capitol Hill to question 
Congress. Why were the airline bosses being bailed out, 
while more than 140,000 workers were being laid off by those 
same bosses? And what about the workers suffering from the 
failing economy because of a recession that began before the 
attack and has gotten worse since?

So Bush started talking about extending unemployment 
benefits. For a while the media was full of pictures of Bush 
shaking hands with workers, going out to meet real people, 
and so on. He suddenly became a regular guy who wasn't born 
with a silver spoon in his mouth and he was going to use 
government spending to stimulate the economy.

Whew. That was a big change.

The European press was universally amazed. The Financial 
Times of London wrote about the "conversion of Mr. Bush and 
his Republican Party to the cause of fiscal stimulus." 
That's the economists' term for liberal social spending 
programs.

LITTLE BEHIND THE HYPE

The U.S. press was full of reports that could have been 
written by public relations specialists about how the whole 
country was coming together, and the sure sign of it was 
President Bush's plan to extend unemployment benefits and 
other measures using government spending to stimulate the 
economy and pull it out of a recession.

Oh yes, and all this while launching a war on Afghanistan.

But, according to the Web site of the AFL-CIO, extended 
benefits aren't going to get to most of the people who need 
them. Last year, only 39 percent of those unemployed 
received any benefits at all because the majority were low-
paid, often part-time or contract workers not covered by 
unemployment insurance. In this economic slowdown many 
restaurant and hotel workers are being laid off, and they 
fit right into this category, along with nearly two-thirds 
of the workforce.

Furthermore, Bush's plan requires that a state's 
unemployment level must have risen by 30 percent since Sept. 
11 to qualify for the extended benefits. This high "trigger" 
means that very few states will qualify unless the recession 
deepens into a disastrous depression, and that could take a 
while, leaving those laid off right now with no extended 
benefits.

And undocumented workers, a significant segment of the U.S. 
workforce, receive no benefits of any kind if they lose 
their jobs. That won't change under anything being proposed 
by Bush or the Democrats.

What about the war? Maybe Bush and the Republicans, like 
most of the Democrats, think that a war will pull the 
economy out of the capitalist recession.

The problem is, they will quickly find it difficult to sell 
the "necessary war sacrifices." There might be more than 
just a few questions asked about who is doing the 
sacrificing and for what.

So Bush started emphasizing his "stimulus" plans. He even 
reworded a new tax proposal, a total of $75 billion in cuts 
for the wealthy and businesses, and called it an "anti-
recession relief" plan.

Paul Krugman, an economics columnist for the New York Times, 
noted on Oct. 7 that Bush's plan to stimulate the economy 
seems to be almost all tax cuts. A "key administration 
proposal is an acceleration of tax cuts for higher income 
brackets," Krugman writes. The tax cuts won't stimulate the 
economy much, if at all, Krugman continues, but the real 
reason they are being accelerated now is because there is a 
"growing likelihood that part of the tax cut will eventually 
be rescinded." In other words, grab the tax cuts for the 
rich now before anyone can ask who is going to pay for 
Bush's new spending plans.

ROBBING PENSIONS, HEALTH FUNDS TO PAY FOR WAR

That's because the big-ticket items in Bush's stimulus 
package, such as doubling the increase in military spending, 
have to be paid for somehow. Right now, the only place to 
get those funds are from the Social Security and Medicare 
funds. These are the funds that candidate Bush used to say 
were in a locked box that would never be touched.

But the locked box is being broken into and the funds 
stolen.

According to Laura Tyson, the former chief economic adviser 
to President Bill Clinton, the big tax cuts being proposed 
as well as the spending increases can only be paid for in 
one way:

"In the short run, there is only one choice: funds pledged 
to Medicare and Social Security will have to be used. 
Because of the tax cuts passed last spring, nothing else 
remains in the government's coffers." (New York Times, Oct. 
8)

So Bush may be making speeches that make it sound like 
everyone will get an equal helping hand from the government, 
whether you are an airline employee or a Wall Street banker 
or an arms merchant. But the reality is that a recession is 
coming on strong and the rich are making a grab for what 
funds are left in the government's vaults. And while they 
are at it, they'll be glad to sell the government whatever 
it wants for the war effort, at inflated prices, of course.

- END -

(Copyright Workers World Service: Everyone is permitted to 
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