*e f l e c t i o n s  o f   F i d e l  C a s t r o*

*Havana.  **February 3**, 2011 *

*Reflections of Fidel
The die is cast for Mubarak

(Taken from CubaDebate)*

THE die is cast for Mubarak and not even the support of the United States
can save his government. An intelligent people, with a glorious history
which left its mark on human civilization, live in Egypt. "From the height
of these pyramids 40 centuries contemplate you," Bonaparte exclaimed, it is
said, in a moment of passion when the encyclopedists’ revolution took him to
that extraordinary crossroad of civilizations.

At the end of World War II, Egypt was under the brilliant leadership of
Abdel Nasser who, in conjunction with Jawaharlal Nehru – heir to Mahatma
Gandhi – African leaders Kwame Nkrumah, Ahmed Sekou Toure and Sukarno,
president of the recently liberated Indonesia, created the Non-Aligned
Movement and promoted the struggle for the independence of former colonies.
The nations of South East Asia, the Middle East and Africa, such as Egypt,
Algeria, Syria, Lebanon, Palestine, Western Sahara, the Congo, Angola,
Mozambique and others, immersed in the battle against French, British,
Belgian and Portuguese colonialism backed by the United States, were
fighting for their independence with support from the USSR and China.

After the triumph of our Revolution, Cuba joined that movement which was on
the march.

In 1956, Britain, France and Israel launched a surprise attack on Egypt,
which had nationalized the Suez Canal. The bold act of solidarity on the
part of the USSR, which even threatened to deploy its strategic missiles,
paralyzed the aggressors.

The death of Abdel Nasser on September 28, 1970, was an irreparable blow for
Egypt.

The United States continued to conspire against the Arab world, which holds
the largest oil reserves on the planet.

It is not necessary to put forward many arguments, suffice it to read the
news cables on what is inevitably occurring.

Let’s see the news:

January 28:

"(DPA) – More than 100,000 Egyptians took to the streets today to protest
against the government of President Hosni Mubarak, despite a ban on
demonstrations issued by authorities…"

"The demonstrators set fire to Mubarak’s National Democratic Party offices
and police surveillance posts, while in central Cairo they threw stones at
police who were attempting to disperse them with teargas and rubber
bullets."

"American President Barack Obama met today with a committee of experts to
assess the situation, while White House spokesman Robert Gibbs warned that
the United States is to reevaluate the multimillion-dollar aid it gives to
Egypt in line with the development of events.

"The United Nations also issued a strong message from Davos, where Secretary
General Ban Ki-Moon was present this Friday."

"(Reuters) – President Mubarak orders curfew in Egypt and the deployment of
army troops backed by armored vehicles in Cairo and other cities. Violent
clashes reported between demonstrators and police.

"Egyptian forces, backed up by armored vehicles, were deployed on Friday in
Cairo and other large cities in the country to end huge popular protests
demanding the resignation of President Hosni Mubarak.

"At least 410 people were wounded during Friday's protests, some in a
serious condition with bullet wounds, medical sources said, while state
television announced a curfew in all cities."

"The events represent a dilemma for the United States, which has expressed
its wish for democracy being extended throughout the region. However,
Mubarak has been Washington’s close ally for a number of years and the
recipient of much military aid."

"(DPA) – Thousands of Jordanians demonstrated throughout the country today
after Friday prayers calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Samir
Rifai and political and economic reforms."

In the midst of the political disaster striking the Arab world, leaders
meeting in Switzerland considered the causes which gave rise to the
phenomenon, which they even described as collective suicide.

"(EFE) – Various political leaders at the Davos Economic Forum are asking
for a change in the growth model."

"The current economic growth model, based on consumerism and without taking
environmental consequences into account, cannot be maintained for much
longer because the survival of the planet goes along with it, various
political leaders in Davos warned today."

"The current model is collective suicide. We need revolutionary thinking.
Revolutionary action," Ban warned. "Natural resources are constantly more
scarce," he added, during a debate on how to redefine sustainable growth in
the framework of the World Economic Forum.

"Climate change is showing us that the old model is more than obsolete,"
insisted the UN leader.

"The Secretary General added that, in addition to basic resources for
survival such as water and food, ‘another resource is running out, time to
tackle climate change.’"

January 29:

"Washington (AP) – President Barack Obama tried the impossible: winning the
hearts and minds of Egyptians furious with their autocratic ruler while
assuring a vital ally that the United States has his backing.

"The four-minute speech Friday evening represented a careful balancing act
for Obama. He had a lot to lose by choosing between protesters demanding
that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak step down from a government violently
clinging to its three-decade grip on the country.

"Obama didn't endorse regime change. Nor did he say that Mubarak's
announcement was insufficient."

"Obama's address was the most forceful of the day, but it stuck largely to
the script already set by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and
White House spokesman Robert Gibbs."

"(NTX) – *The Washington Post* today asked the Obama government to use its
political and economic influence in order to persuade President Mubarak to
step down in Egypt."

"The United States should use all its influence, including the aid of $1
billion-plus which it provides for the Egyptian army every year, to ensure
the final result (Mubarak’s resignation), stated the editorial."

"…In his message on Friday night Obama said that he would continue working
with President Mubarak and lamented the fact that he has not mentioned
possible elections."

"The daily described as ‘unrealistic’ the positions of Obama and Vice
President Joe Biden, who informed a radio station that he would not call the
Egyptian president a dictator and that he did not think that he should
resign."

"(AFP) – American-Arab organizations have called on the government of
President Barack Obama to stop supporting the Mubarak dictatorship in
Egypt."

"(ANSA) – The U.S. once again stated that it was ‘concerned’ about the
violence in Egypt and warned the Mubarak government that it cannot act as if
nothing has happened. Fox News says that Obama is left with two bad options
in relation to Egypt.

"…he warned the Cairo government that it cannot go back to ‘shuffling the
cards’ and acting as if nothing had happened in the country.

"The White House and the Department of State are closely following the
situation in Egypt, one of Washington’s principal allies in the world, and
the annual recipient of $1.5 billion in civil and military aid."

"The U.S. media is giving extremely wide coverage to the disturbances in
Egypt and noting that, in whichever way they are resolved, the situation
could result in a headache for Washington."

"If Mubarak goes down, Fox stated, the United States and Israel, its other
main ally in the Middle east, could have to face a government of the Muslim
Brotherhood in Cairo, and an anti-Western swing in the North African
country."

"We have backed the wrong horse for 50 years," former CIA officer Michael
Scheuer told Fox. "To think that the Egyptian people are going to forget
that we backed dictators for 50 years, I think is a pipe dream."

"(AFP) – The international community has increased its calls on Egyptian
President Hosni Mubarak to undertake political reforms and end the
repression of demonstrations against his government, which continue this
Saturday for the fifth day."

"For their part, in a joint statement on Saturday, Nicolas Sarkozy, Angela
Merkel and David Cameron asked the president ‘to initiate a process of
change’ in response to his people’s ‘legitimate demands’ and ‘at all costs
to avoid the use of violence against civilians.’

"Iran has also called on the Egyptian authorities to respond to demands from
the streets."

"On the other hand, King Abdala of Saudi Arabia considered the protests as
‘attacks on the security and stability’ of Egypt, perpetrated by
‘infiltrated individuals’ in the name of ‘freedom of expression.’

"The monarch made a telephone call to Mubarak to express his solidarity,
according to the official SPA news agency."

January 31:

"(EFE) – Netanyahu fears that chaos in Egypt could give rise to Islamist
access to power.

"Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu today expressed his fear that the
situation in Egypt could give rise to Islamist access to power, a concern
which he said is shared by leaders with whom he has talked in the last few
days."

"…the Prime Minister declined to make any reference to national news reports
noting that Israel today authorized Egypt to deploy troops in the Sinai
Peninsula for the first time in three decades, which is considered as a
violation of the 1979 peace agreement between the two nations."

"For her part and in response to criticisms of the Western powers such as
the U.S. or Germany, which have maintained close ties with totalitarian Arab
regimes, the German Chancellor affirmed: ‘We have not abandoned Egypt.’"

"The peace process between Israelis and Palestinians has been paralyzed
since last September, principally because of the Israeli refusal to halt the
construction of Jewish settlements in Palestinian occupied territory."

"Jerusalem (EFE) – Israel is leaning toward keeping in power Egyptian
President Hosni Mubarak, whom the Israeli head of state, Shimon Peres,
backed today on the understanding that ‘a religious fanatical oligarchy is
no better than the lack of democracy.’"

"The statement by the President of the State of Israel coincides with
national media reports of Israeli pressure on its Western partners to lower
the tone of their criticisms of the Mubarak regime which the Egyptian people
and the opposition are trying to overthrow.

"Unidentified official sources quoted by the *Haaretz* newspaper stated that
the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs sent a communiqué on Saturday to its
embassies in the U.S, Canada, China, Russia and various European countries
to ask ambassadors to emphasize to their respective national authorities the
importance for Israel of stability in Egypt."

"Israeli analysts are noting that Mubarak’s fall could endanger the Camp
David Agreements which Egypt signed with Israel in 1978 and the subsequent
signing of the bilateral Peace Treaty in 1979, above all if the consequence
should be the rise to power of the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood, which enjoys
broad social support."

"Israel sees Mubarak as the guarantor of peace on its southern border, in
addition to being a key support in maintaining the blockade of the Gaza
Strip and isolating the Hamas Palestinian Islamist movement."

"One of Israel’s greatest fears is that the Egyptian revolts, following in
the wake of the Tunisian ones, could also reach Jordan, thus weakening the
regime of King Abdala II, whose country and Egypt are the only Arab nations
to recognize Israel."

"The recent appointment of General Omar Suleiman as Egyptian vice president
and thus, a potential presidential successor, has been welcomed in Israel,
which has maintained close cooperative relations with the general in the
context of defense."

"But the direction being taken by the Egyptian protests does not allow the
continuity of the regime being taken for granted, or that Israel can
continue to have in Cairo its principal regional ally in the future."

As can be observed, the world is simultaneously and for the first time
confronting three problems:

Climate crises, food crises, and political crises.

Other grave dangers can be added to these.

The constantly more destructive risks of war are very much present.

Will the political leaders have sufficient serenity and equanimity to face
up to them?

The future of our species will depend on that.

*Fidel Castro Ruz
February 1, 2011
7:15 p.m.*

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