Saint George Ribbon 2.jpg

 

 

Putin - the incredible Abou Ali

 

 

Ghassan Kadi, The Saker, Iceland, 7 October 2015

 

As the news of the Russian military action in Syria intensifies and takes
more rather affirmative steps, the rest of the world cannot help but to look
with a mixed bag of emotions all the way from awe to gratitude, anxiety,
disappointment, frustration or fear and many others in between. Diverse as
they may be in their outlooks, all observers are united in their gasps of
disbelief.

 

It may look daunting to ascertain what best represents the major point of
view of each stakeholder concerned, let alone to bundle the whole lot
together in a manner that makes a comprehensive sense. However, if the main
punch lines are considered simultaneously, the picture becomes much clearer.

 

One can almost conclusively say that the Russian strikes of one single week
have been at least much more effective than those of the US-led coalition
conducted over the whole last year or so. The actual news of Russian
missions are not very detailed. They come in dribs and drabs without the
American Hollywood-style razzmatazz that we have got used to ever since the
1991 Operation Desert Storm in Iraq. However, the fact that enemies of the
legitimate government of Syria are upset, to say the least, is a clear
indication that the Russian strikes are achieving their objectives.

 

Why else would Saudi Arabia be formally asking for Russia to stop its
strikes? (1). The Saudis have had quite an intensive dialogue with the
Russians in the last two years or so. Ever since Prince Bandar returned from
Moscow empty handed in the middle of 2013, the Saudis realized that as far
as Russia was concerned, Syria was a redline. Perhaps they didn't realize
how red that redline was; not even after the Russians brokered a peace
initiative between the Saudis and the Syrian government, an initiative that
only resulted in one formal meeting between government officials. The Saudis
remained obstinate, and imagined that they could push Russia further and/or
coerce it into submission; not knowing to what extent Russia was prepared to
go after it had exhausted all avenues of diplomacy.

 

As for Turkey, according to M. Nour-Eddin's article in the Lebanese daily,
Assafir, published on the 3rd of October 2015 under the title of "Russia in
Syria; Mass Turkish Losses" (2), Russia has tried very hard at different
levels to bring Turkey into a brokered peace deal that would see the end of
the "War On Syria". The Russians have also tried to include Turkey in an
anti-terror axis alongside Russia and Iran, but to no avail. Russia had gone
further earlier when it used economic incentives for Turkey using the "South
Stream" pipe line. But President Putin was getting quite annoyed with
Erdogan who would promise one thing and then do exactly the opposite.

 

Now the Turks are also pleading for the cessation of Russian strikes on
Syrian soil. The recent incursions of Russian fighters into Turkish air
space are leaving them extremely concerned, huffing and puffing that they
would affect the rules of engagement, but, for anyone to fathom that Turkey
would dare shoot down a Russian fighter/bomber they would have to wait and
see this eventuate.

 

For the first time in nearly five years, and in a bizarre twist of fate, the
table has turned and the Turks are now worried about their own sovereignty
and about the events to the south of the border after they have opened the
flood gates for jihadists, looters, and arm supplies. From masters of the
scene, the Turks have been reduced to beggars, and from Sultans to serfs.

 

With a war that he created and spinning out of control, a new war with the
Kurds and growing animosity with Russia, Erdogan is going to find it very
difficult to score the election win he dreams of next month. Perhaps out of
all of elements of the Anti-Syrian Cocktail, none is angrier with the
Russian intervention in Syria than the Turks and no individual is a bigger
loser than Erdogan himself.

 

Russia has "gone too far", so they say, and indeed Russia has gone much
further than anyone's expectations. But perhaps we have seen nothing yet.
Retired American General Michael Flynn told RT that he is not surprised to
see Russia's reaction because Russia had redlines that were crossed (4). He
diplomatically stopped a bit short of blaming the US itself for deliberately
crossing those redlines, but according to him, when a superpower gets pushed
to a certain limit, reactions of this caliber are to be expected.

 

In going "too far", Russia has in reality imposed its own no-fly-zone over
Syria after America and its allies failed to do this at least twice in the
UNSC (5). In reality, all that Russia needed to make this imposition was the
consent and approval of the Syrian government. But with this Russian
no-fly-zone, all nations are excluded; except for Russia and Syria. What is
of interest here is that Israel is also excluded, and the news of a heavy
air defense system within Syria is a huge concern for the Israelis.

 

The Israelis suspect that this is not an interim measure that will be
suspended once the Russian mission is accomplished. The Russians have built
themselves a base in Lattakia, and it is their first and only base outside
the soil of the Russian Federation, and they are not going to dilute that
300-400 km radius of air-defense zone around that base for as long as the
base is operative, and operative it shall remain.

 

Firas Al-Shoufi of the Lebanese online daily, Al-Akhbar, has put it very
bluntly when he stated that Russia is making it clear to the USA that the
Mediterranean is not a part of the Atlantic (6). In other words, the
Russians are now saying to their American counterparts that the
Mediterranean, or at least the Eastern Mediterranean, is under Russian
domain; not American, and that Israel will have to live with this reality
and accept it because it has no other choice.

 

The Americans themselves are perhaps more shocked by Russia than most, and
they are at total loss. Ever since the demise of the USSR, the Americans
have been employing highly sophisticated military hardware designed to fight
other super powers in their little-big wars against unmatched, much weaker
and poorer armies. Now, they realize that if they venture into Syria and
take a stand against the Russians, they will have to be prepared to face
their match; something they are not prepared to do. America will not
confront Russia because it is a bully and a bully only picks on those
weaker.

 

And even though the Americans have admitted that the "moderate rebels"
training program has failed abysmally, they remain adamant that Russia
should avoid bombing moderate rebels. In a gesture that is partly diplomatic
and partly sarcastic, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov asked the Americans to
identify for him who are those moderate rebels. Yet, his request did not
receive a response because no response could be found. In another rather
sarcastic yet humorous statement, Lavrov clearly stated that if a fighter
looked, walked and fought like a terrorist, then he is a terrorist (7). But
it wasn't until he said that the FSA is in reality a "phantom structure"
that he openly and clearly said that there are no such rebels in Syria as
moderate rebels (8).

 

All the while, America still claims that it wants to aid moderate rebels (9)
and some reports indicate that it is prepared to arm them and train them.
Keeping in mind that USD 500 mn training project has produced just five
fighters, that ambitious American dream coming to fruition remains to be
seen.

 

It is perhaps good enough to see that enemies of Syria, different members of
the Anti-Syrian Cocktail, squirm, each in his own way. More pleasing to the
ears perhaps is news of terrorist fighters fleeing. An estimated 3000 of
them have apparently abandoned their positions in Southern Syria and have
been spotted heading towards Jordan (10). Another 600 or so were seen
fleeing towards Iraq.

 

And finally, in as far as the supporters of Syria are concerned, it is
suffice to look at the position of Hezbollah via the eyes of Nabil Haytham
of the Lebanese daily, Assafir, on the 5th of October 2015. According to his
analysis and interviews of Hezbollah officials, he argues that the official
Hezbollah position sees in the full coordination between the Syrian Army,
Russia and Hezbollah the pretext of nothing short of "winning together"
(11).

 

As all have heard the news of the first Russian airstrikes in Syria in
disbelief, we look out for what will happen next with more disbelief. There
are now talks about expanding the Russian bombardments to include terrorist
bases in Iraq. There are even unconfirmed reports about preparations for a
Russian land assault.

 

President Putin is taking everyone by surprise. He is already at the
forefront leading Western leaders by leaps and bounds. In every step
forward, he is pushing his unmatched opponents many steps backward. In
Syria, Putin is endearingly nicknamed Abou Ali; a term given to someone who
is tough and, the world is learning that when he talks business, he means
business. The credibility of his resolve and action makes him well and truly
the incredible Putin, and an incredible Abou Ali.

 

1. http://goo.gl/TsnSU0

2. http://assafir.com/Article/448490

3. http://www.almanar.com.lb/wap/edetails.php?cid=20&eid=1320889

4. https://www.rt.com/news/317710-russia-red-lines-flynn/

5.
http://www.sott.net/article/302979-Russia-establishes-no-fly-zone-for-NATO-p
lanes-over-Syria-Pentagon-freaks-out

6. http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/243350

7. http://edition.cnn.com/2015/10/01/middleeast/russia-syria/

8.
http://fortruss.blogspot.com.au/2015/10/lavrov-free-syrian-army-is-phantom.h
tml?m=1

9. http://goo.gl/FbbR67

10. https://www.rt.com/news/317720-terrorists-leaving-syria-airstrikes/ .

11. http://assafi.com/Article/448762

 

 

From:  <http://thesaker.is/putin-the-incredible-abou-ali/>
http://thesaker.is/putin-the-incredible-abou-ali/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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