---- Brian Winans wrote -----
 
----- edit -----
Yet, the only way this procedure would be needed is if the Electoral College
is split 269-269 if an elector switches their vote or abstains. A Republican
West Virginia elector has already vowed to switch his vote if Bush wins his
state.
------------
 
Does it trouble anyone else that an elector has already said he will switch his vote? If I'm understanding this right he will be switching it to Kerry but what if it was the other way around?
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Sunday, October 31, 2004 12:08 AM
Subject: RE: [Zappa-List] Who do you really think will win? Gamble on the election?


My money would be on a Bush and Edwards administration.  Read on:

WASHINGTON -- If the presidential election is as close as many expect it to
be and neither President George W. Bush or Democratic presidential nominee
John F. Kerry can earn the 270 electoral votes to be elected president, then
the U.S. House of Representatives would be called on to choose the winner.

The 12th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which was ratified in 1804 in
response to the 1801 presidential election when Thomas Jefferson failed to
receive an electoral majority, gives the House the responsibility of
choosing the president, while the U.S. Senate picks the vice president.

Only two times in U.S. history has this happened. The House chose John
Quincy Adams instead of Andrew Jackson in 1825 because several third-party
candidates sifted electoral votes away from them. In 1837, the Senate was
asked to choose the vice president after a disputed race before the time
that political parties ran on the same ticket.

While this scenario is certainly not probable, it is quite possible
considering the closeness of the candidates this year.

The new president and vice president would be chosen by a joint session of
the House and Senate on January 6, 2005 when they officially count the
electoral votes for each candidate.

If neither candidate receives 270 votes, then Bush would likely be reelected
since control of the House is solidly with Republicans.

Each of the fifty states receives one vote as prescribed by the 12th
Amendment and Republicans have a majority delegation in 30 of those states.

Yet, the only way this procedure would be needed is if the Electoral College
is split 269-269 if an elector switches their vote or abstains. A Republican
West Virginia elector has already vowed to switch his vote if Bush wins his
state.

Additionally, Colorado's ballot initiative that would split that state's
electoral votes rather than the usual winner-take-all for the winner of the
popular vote could play a role in making the presidential race tighter than
expected.

Finally, if the Democrats regain control of the U.S. Senate in next week's
elections, then they would probably choose Democratic vice presidential
nominee John Edwards to join Bush in the executive branch.

_________________________________________________________________
Check out Election 2004 for up-to-date election news, plus voter tools and
more! http://special.msn.com/msn/election2004.armx



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