I really like Nate's methods. He just published a very good book on making predictions - the key is to keep aware if the limits of what you know. And now off to vote. On Nov 6, 2012 12:35 AM, "Bill!" <billsm...@hhs1963.org> wrote:
> > > I know this is not like any other one you've seen. I think it's because > all the other news media want the election to seem close so you'll stay > tuned. This is what the New York Times forecasting group has been saying > for months now... > > > New York Times 538 Blog Forecast as of Nov 05 - 11:59 PM: > > Electoral Votes: Obama 315 - Romney 223 > > Chance of Winning: Obama 92% - Romney 8% (Wow!) > > Popular Vote: Obama 51% - Romney 48% > > The entire forecast can be seen here complete with charts and graphs: > http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ > > ...Bill! > > >
