Review: Made in China: a new economic era
  Author details challenges businesses face trying to compete


  Dallasnews.com | Katherine Yung| 22 January  2005   
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/stories/012305dnbusbo
ok.7cd58.html 


Anyone trying to understand what China's rise as an economic power 
means for U.S. companies would do well to pick up Oded Shenkar's The 
Chinese Century: The Rising Chinese Economy and Its Impact on the 
Global Economy, the Balance of Power and Your Job. 

The Ohio State University business professor and China expert urges 
readers to get ready for a world in which Chinese businesses and 
consumers will exert a powerful influence. 

"For companies, employees, and consumers, the question is no longer 
if and when China is coming, for it is already here, but how to 
prepare for the new economy," he writes. 

Mr. Shenkar makes a compelling case for China's coming world 
dominance, filling his book with impressive economic statistics. 

Factories in China already make 70 percent of the world's toys, 60 
percent of its bicycles, half its shoes and a third of its luggage. 
They also churn out half of the world's microwave ovens, a third of 
its television sets and air conditioners, a quarter of its washers 
and a fifth of its refrigerators. 

And that's just for starters, because China is rapidly moving into 
high-end products like plasma television sets. 


Another Japan? 

Only fools would dismiss the importance of China in the world 
economy � look no further than steel prices to understand its 
impact. But some people have likened fears about China to the 
concerns surrounding Japan in the 1970s and 1980s. 

Mr. Shenkar argues that China won't turn into another Japan, which 
is still struggling to recover from a decade of economic stagnation. 

China's massive population and resources give it leverage that Japan 
never had. It also receives a far greater amount of foreign 
investment. In addition, China's vast rural labor supply ensures 
that it will continue to dominate the production of labor-intensive 
goods even while moving into high-tech, knowledge-based industries. 

The Chinese Century provides readers with a historical context for 
understanding modern-day China's attitudes and ambitions, touching 
on the imperial period and the first three decades of Communist 
rule. 

Other than a chapter devoted to the problem of intellectual property 
protection, the author only briefly mentions China's other 
weaknesses and challenges, such as its troubled banking system. 

But he does get to the heart of what most U.S. executives spend 
their nights worrying about: how they can thrive against Chinese 
competition. The options Mr. Shenkar lays out are not reassuring, 
and all of them are being tried today. 


New models 

Some companies will be forced to buy Chinese-made parts to remain 
competitive. Others will need to move their production to China or, 
in some cases, Mexico or India. 

Producers can also try automation or other methods of increasing 
their productivity in order to compete. And finally, in what seems 
to be the best solution, they can try to go upmarket by creating 
more technologically advanced products or innovative ones. 

"Given the scale of its economy and its increased dominance in many 
product markets, the continuation of China's export drive will bring 
about commoditization of product markets that have previously relied 
on brand name and reputation for differentiation," Mr. Shenkar 
warns. 

"With China as the cost leader, manufacturers will have to meet or 
beat the Chinese 'pricing floor' that rests not only on cheap labor 
and subsidies, but also on massive use of counterfeiting and piracy 
to circumvent development costs." 

He says this kind of pressure on U.S. companies and workers could 
lead to cries for protectionist measures, trade wars and the return 
of job security to the forefront of labor negotiations. 

All of these challenges will test the United States in coming years. 
And Mr. Shenkar urges American businesses and workers to prepare for 
them. 

"As a whole, 'business as usual' solutions will no longer work," he 
writes. "Firms must rethink their entire value chain, which will 
likely lead to a new business model or to an outright exit." 


Katherine Yung covers international business for The Dallas Morning 
News.









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