Plan ponders most pressing issues
  Xu BinglanChina Daily | April 6,2005
  http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2005-04/06/content_431623.htm

 
Plan seems to have become an outdated word in recent years as China 
leaves behind the days of a planned economy.

But that does not mean it is a bad word. The question is what you 
mean by it. It can be a set of detailed stipulations such as how 
much money should be spent in the steel sector, how much rice should 
be produced and how many socks should be manufactured.

And it can also be an outline of policy guidelines which hint at the 
direction the country will take in its future development.

China will enter its 11th Five-Year Plan period next year and it 
seems this plan will be of the second category.

The National Development and Reform Commission has invited a group 
of researchers from government think tanks to draft the plan, which 
later this year will be circulated among government departments and 
provincial governments for comment. A revised version will then be 
submitted to the National People's Congress (NPC) during its 2006 
session.

A good five-year plan is crucial as new problems keep emerging and 
the country needs well-thought-out strategies to deal with them.

Implementing the plan is important, but on a par is its formulation 
because when you detect problems you have to pick priorities and 
make strategic choices to tackle them, said Li Shantong, a veteran 
development strategy expert with the State Council Development 
Research Centre.

China faces a myriad of problems and challenges with new issues 
arising by the day.

But finding the focus of the 11th Five-Year Plan is not as 
overwhelming as it could be, as the vast majority of problems in 
recent years have fallen into four categories.

They are: how to guide the economy to a more efficient growth path 
to save natural resources and protect the environment; how to 
facilitate the process of urbanization; how to address social issues 
such as unemployment and the wealth gap; and how to position China 
in the world economy and co-operate with other economies.

Although the Chinese economy has become more efficient, it still 
lags well behind other economies in this regard. The country 
consumes far more energy and other resources than advanced economies 
for a comparable output. This growth pattern is not sustainable.

The country's environment pollution is also being stretched due to 
the rapid growth of heavy industries.

The environment, energy and natural resource issues should be the 
top concerns for the 11th Five-Year Plan, said David Dollar, the 
World Bank's China Programme director.

A key reason for China's lack of efficiency is the distorted price 
of land, water, energy and other resources, as well as loose 
regulations on quality and environmental protection.

This must be addressed.

Chinese experts have coined a phrase for the pursuit of a more 
efficient growth model, it is: "changing the approach for growth."

The more desirable approach the experts are promoting does not only 
concern consuming less resources and being more environmentally 
friendly, it is also about higher added value.

In global competition, many Chinese products are still on the lowest 
rung, and thus receive poor returns. Solving the problem requires 
innovation and the introduction of new technology.

And urbanization is a must for China's development, a process that 
has been accelerating.

China's urbanization rate stands at just above 40 per cent 
currently. It has the potential to reach between 55 and 64 per cent 
by 2020, depending on the policies the country adopts and other 
related factors, according to an estimate made by the State Council 
Development Research Centre.

But, however impressive this rate appears, the process of 
urbanization has not been entirely successful.

In fact, a debate is still raging over whether China should choose 
large cities or small ones when selecting an urbanization model.

On a local level, governments have basically followed their own 
agendas when following the process, meaning urbanization has often 
taken place in a rash and careless manner. Urban planning has been 
so poor in some cases that farmers who have lost their land to 
development have not been properly relocated or compensated.

Millions of farmers have thus rushed into cities which are 
unprepared for their arrival, leading to many social problems.

But such problems are not only caused by an influx of rural workers 
into cities.

The major social issues China needs to address in the coming years 
also include employment, the income gap, social security and social 
mobility.

Addressing these issues is vital in meeting the country's goal of 
building a so-called "harmonious society."

In the employment sphere, the key problem is how to create new job 
opportunities to make up for the job losses caused by economic 
restructuring and technological upgrading. A key to this is how to 
improve vocational training, which has long been a weak link in 
China's system of education. China has abundant sources of labour, 
but is short of skilled workers. This is a looming headache for the 
manufacturing sector.

China's income gap has been widening, mainly caused by thriving 
private and foreign businesses, whose owners and employees generally 
earn more than the rest of society.

But it would be unwise to limit income growth in the private sector.

The country is facing a pressing need to balance efficiency and 
social equity.

Income growth is a necessary incentive for maintaining the vitality 
of the economy.

On the other hand, the poor should also be taken care of.

This leads to the next issue, the building of a social security 
network.

A social security network is in place in cities. It is non-existent 
in the countryside and needs to be established from scratch.

So building a rural social security system needs to go on the 
agenda. The integration of the urban and rural networks in the 
future should also be taken into account.

The Chinese economy is becoming increasingly intertwined with the 
global economy. China and its economic partners seem not 
sufficiently prepared for its emergence as a world economic power.

To maintain a good external environment, China needs to deal with a 
series of issues such as improving trade relations with its 
partners, enhancing its position in the global industrial value 
chain, safeguarding itself against international economic pitfalls 
and utilizing overseas investment and resources in a more effective 
way.









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