The online ad attack
  Online advertising is becoming a serious rival to the traditional 
sort. Google's new advertising service could make the internet an 
even more valuable marketing medium.

  The Economist print edition | Apr 27th 2005 
  For graphix visit:
  http://www.economist.com/agenda/displaystory.cfm?
story_id=3908700&fsrc=nwl 
  

This year the combined advertising revenues of Google and Yahoo! 
will rival the combined prime-time ad revenues of America's three 
big television networks, ABC, CBS and NBC, predicts Advertising Age. 
It will, says the trade magazine, represent a "watershed moment" in 
the evolution of the internet as an advertising medium. A 30-second 
prime-time TV ad was once considered the most effective�and the most 
expensive�form of advertising. But that was before the internet got 
going. And this week online advertising made another leap forward.

This latest innovation comes from Google, which has begun testing a 
new auction-based service for display advertising. Both Google and 
Yahoo! make most of their money from advertising. Auctioning keyword 
search-terms, which deliver sponsored links to advertisers' 
websites, has proved to be particularly lucrative. And advertisers 
like paid-search because, unlike TV, they only pay for results: they 
are charged when someone clicks on one of their links.

Both Google and Yahoo!, along with search-site rivals like 
Microsoft's MSN and Ask Jeeves (recently bought by Barry Diller's 
InterActiveCorp), are developing much broader ranges of marketing 
services. Google, for instance, already provides a service called 
AdSense. It works rather like an advertising agency, automatically 
placing sponsored links and other ads on third-party websites. 
Google then splits the revenue with the owners of those websites, 
who can range from multinationals to individuals publishing blogs, 
as online journals are known.

Google's new services extends AdSense in three ways. Instead of 
Google's software analysing third-party websites to determine from 
their content what relevant ads to place on them, advertisers will 
instead be able to select the specific sites where they want their 
ads to appear. This provides both more flexibility and control, says 
Patrick Keane, Google's head of sales strategy. Companies trying to 
raise awareness of a brand often want a high level of control over 
where their ads appear.

The second change involves pricing. Potential internet advertisers 
must bid for their ad to appear on a "cost-per-thousand" (known as 
CPM) basis. This is similar to TV commercials, where advertisers pay 
according to the number of people who are supposed to see the ad. 
But the Google system delivers a twist: CPM bids will also have to 
compete against rival bids for the same ad space from those wanting 
to pay on a "cost-per-click" basis, the way search terms are 
presently sold. Click-through marketing tends to be aimed at people 
who already know they want to buy something and are searching for 
product and price information, whereas display advertising is more 
often used to persuade people to buy things in the first instance.


Not too flashy
The third change is that Google will now offer animated ads�but 
nothing too flashy or annoying, insists Mr Keane. Google has long 
been extremely conservative about the use of advertising; it still 
plans to use only small, text-based ads on its own search sites. But 
many of its AdSense partners might well be tempted by the prospect 
of earning a share of revenue from display and animated ads too, 
especially as such ads are likely to be more appealing to some of 
the big-brand advertisers. Spurred on by the spread of faster 
broadband connections, such companies are becoming increasingly 
interested in so-called "rich-media" ads, like animation and video.

This could fuel online ad-growth even further. As advertising 
spending continues to recover from the slump that began in 2001 
after the bursting of the technology bubble, the internet has become 
the fastest growing advertising medium. Worldwide ad revenue on the 
internet grew by 21% in 2004, and it is expected to continue at that 
pace for the next few years, says ZenithOptimedia, a research firm 
(see chart). As Google and Yahoo! are two of the most widely visited 
sites, this greatly benefits them. Google recently announced a net 
profit of $369m in its first quarter from revenue that soared to 
$1.3 billion, up 93% compared with the same period a year earlier. 
Yahoo!'s first-quarter net profits more than doubled to $205m on 
revenue of $1.2 billion, up 55% from a year earlier.

Terry Semel, Yahoo!'s chief executive, believes there is a lot more 
growth to come as companies become more familiar with online 
advertising. As he happily points out, many big firms still allocate 
only 2-4% of their marketing budgets to the internet, although it 
represents about 15% of consumers' media consumption�a share that is 
growing. Many young people already spend more time online than they 
do watching TV. 

If Google can prove that bidding for display ads works, then its 
rivals are bound to follow with similar services. This could shake 
the industry up even further. DoubleClick, an online-marketing firm 
from the early days of serving simple banner ads to websites, was 
sold this week in a deal worth more than $1 billion to a private-
equity firm, Hellman & Friedman. Even though its prospects recently 
brightened, DoubleClick put itself up for sale after facing fierce 
competition. 

Other innovations in online marketing are said to be in the 
pipeline. Local search and its associated advertising opportunities 
are one huge growth area. Sites such as eBay, the leading online 
auctioneer, and Craigslist, which hosts local sites, are soaking up 
large amounts of spending that might otherwise have gone on 
classified advertising�and for everything from used cars to job 
vacancies. Yahoo! is expanding heavily into entertainment, with film 
and video clips providing another avenue for advertisers. This week, 
Yahoo! appointed another top executive to its media group, fuelling 
industry speculation that the website may start to produce its own 
entertainment content. Television stations would then have a lot 
more to worry about than just losing ad revenue to the internet.








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