I don’t think it’s scope creep at all. The WG charter puts “Review and 
refinement of the DMARC specification” in phase III, after “Specification of 
DMARC improvements to support indirect mail flows”. It seems clear to me that 
standards-track DMARC needs to incorporate those improvements.

IESG accepted ARC as an improvement to support indirect mail flows, and I think 
a complete solution needs to incorporate that. I wish there were better data to 
support advancing ARC to standards track, and not just from Google (it has to 
work for smaller players as well).

But I am troubled by the possibility that ARC might require domain reputation 
to avoid ARC header fields supporting From address spoofing. One reason it 
might work for Google is because they’re big enough to derive their own domain 
reputation. We’ve not had success with domain reputation at internet scale.

No might about it -- ARC is only useful with domain reputation. Of course, DKIM is only useful with domain reputation, as were Domainkeys and IIM, so I don't see why it's a problem now.

We've been going around and around for years now. DMARC works pretty well for direct mail flows, so-so for simple indirect flows (forwarders) and really badly for mediated indirect flows (mailing lists.) There is nothing better than ARC to mitigate those problems and this WG certainly isn't going to invent anything now. I agree that at this point we don't have enough evidence to advance ARC, so we can punt the question of what or when to do with it to MAILMAINT or something.

Our choices are to say here's what DMARC does, it has these problems, here's how to use it for the situations where it works, here's how to sort of mitigate the ones where it doesn't. Or we can stamp our feet and say DMARC is BAD and we will not endorse it and NOBODY should use it, and the rest of the mail world will say isn't that cute, the IETF is having a tantrum.

R's,
John

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